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Donald Trump Looks Unstoppable for 2024 According to Poll

Image by Gage Skidmore. Donald Trump speaking at CPAC 2011 in Washington, D.C.
Donald Trump speaking at CPAC 2011 in Washington, D.C.

A new poll just released shows that despite what seems like countless problems, Donald Trump still dominates the GOP heading into the 2024 GOP primary.

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But, of course, we have no idea if this will last, and with no one else in the field, well, we can only speculate on how things will shake out for Republican Party

According to Morning Consult, “[J]ust over a year out from the Republican Party’s first presidential nominating contest, Trump remains the front-runner in a hypothetical crowded field, backed by 48% of potential Republican primary voters.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who is expected to launch a campaign after his state’s legislative session ends in May, is backed by 31% of the potential GOP electorate.”

Morning Consult also had a little more data to share as well: “Trump’s Favorability Rating Is Improving: After several weeks of trailing DeSantis’ popularity level among the prospective 2024 primary electorate, Trump is closing the gap.

The latest survey found 77% of potential primary voters hold favorable views of the former president, higher than any other potential candidate in the mix. 

News Cycle Improves for Trump: A month ago, potential Republican primary voters were 15 percentage points more likely to have recently heard something negative about Trump than something positive. Now, they’re almost evenly split, with 34% reporting hearing positive news and 33% hearing negative information.”

Donald Trump Heading to a Win? 

What this means is hard to say, and likely means nothing for a very simple reason: the first GOP primaries are a long time out. 

As one former Donald Trump White House staffer told me this morning: “Polls like this are totally meaningless and worth nothing even a few weeks from now to be very honest and candid. Remember back in 2012; we were all talking about Rick Perry as being the next president? The bottom line is until we get close to the primaries, this is all just something to watch and learn from. Stay tuned, I guess.” 

I do know one thing; it will be a lot of fun to watch for sure. 

Written By

Harry J. Kazianis (@Grecianformula) is a Senior Editor for 19FortyFive and serves as President and CEO of Rogue States Project, a bipartisan national security think tank. He has held senior positions at the Center for the National Interest, the Heritage Foundation, the Potomac Foundation, and many other think tanks and academic institutions focused on defense issues. He served on the Russia task force for U.S. Presidential Candidate Senator Ted Cruz, and in a similar task force in the John Hay Initiative. His ideas have been published in the New York Times, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal, Newsweek, CNN, CNBC, and many other outlets across the political spectrum. He holds a graduate degree in International Relations from Harvard University and is the author of The Tao of A2/AD, a study of Chinese military modernization. Kazianis also has a background in defense journalism, having served as Editor-In-Chief at The Diplomat and Executive Editor for the National Interest.