A new Emerson College poll shows Joe Biden’s disapproval numbers are rising.
The poll released Thursday showed that Biden’s disapproval rating increased by two points to 51% and 41% now approve of Biden’s job as president.
The poll of 1,000 voters took place on June 19-20 in the wake of Hunter Biden’s plea deal in which he agreed to plead guilty to two misdemeanors for tax crimes.
FiveThirtyEight puts Biden’s disapproval rating at 53.3% and his approval rating at 41.6%.
The Emerson poll found that 73% of Democratic voters would vote for Biden while only 15% said they would vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Trump and Biden were tied within the poll’s plus or minus 3% margin of error with 44% for Biden and 43% for Trump.
Democrats Scared of Joe Biden’s Unpopularity
Joe Biden and his unpopularity have Democrats running scared. Trump was the only president to have never topped 50% in the polls in the history of modern presidential polling.
“Throughout Donald Trump’s tenure in office, polls showed he was one of the most unpopular presidents in recent history. That made sense — Trump was bad at governing and seemed almost as if he were trying to be disliked. But for almost two years now, Joe Biden has been just as unpopular as Trump was, and at times even more so.
That’s not necessarily bad for the Democrats. But it’s bad for democracy,” Washington Post columnist Perry Bacon Jr. wrote. “The numbers behind Biden’s unpopularity are easy to understand.
He continued: “Like Trump, he has almost universal support within his own party, virtually none from the opposite party and terrible numbers among independents.”
Bacon notes that Biden and Trump each polled significantly lower among Independents at the same point in their respective presidencies at 33%. This is significantly lower than where either George W. Bush or Barack Obama were in the third year of their respective presidencies. Bush stood at 62% and Obama was at 46%.
“… [E]ven though Biden defeated Trump and Hillary Clinton didn’t, Biden is in many ways similar to Clinton, who was also never very popular. Both are skilled at behind-the-scenes governing and appealing to older stalwart Democratic voters on the campaign trail but struggle to connect with younger and less engaged voters,” Bacon said.
He warns that Biden could lose to either Trump or Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. He thinks Biden should be leading both; however, he is effectively tied with both.
National Public Radio (NPR) warns that Biden has significant warning signs among Independents and voters 18-29.
“Both groups give him just a 38% approval rating,” NPR said.
Biden in One-Term President Territory
The fact Biden’s polling numbers are in similar territory to where Trump was in his presidency. Biden used Trump’s unpopularity to cruise to 81 million votes an into turning Trump into a one-term president. Biden’s weakness could make him the first president since Benjamin Harrison to lose re-election to the man he defeated to win the White House in the first place.
“… [T]he “if not for Donald Trump” has been Biden’s calling card,” NBC News Chuck Todd and others wrote in a joint column. “Judging Biden against the Almighty? He’s in a difficult place for a sitting president. But against Trump? That’s a different story.”
John Rossomando was a senior analyst for Defense Policy and served as Senior Analyst for Counterterrorism at The Investigative Project on Terrorism for eight years. His work has been featured in numerous publications such as The American Thinker, The National Interest, National Review Online, Daily Wire, Red Alert Politics, CNSNews.com, The Daily Caller, Human Events, Newsmax, The American Spectator, TownHall.com, and Crisis Magazine. He also served as senior managing editor of The Bulletin, a 100,000-circulation daily newspaper in Philadelphia, and received the Pennsylvania Associated Press Managing Editors first-place award for his reporting.