The GOP will nominate Donald Trump to take on Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential election.
That is my prediction.
Think I am wrong?
Well, you can certainly hold me to it and roast me in the comments section below if I am, or tweet your critiques at me all day long.
I am a big boy. I can take it.
But all kidding aside, at least right now, Donald Trump is on the glide path and winning the GOP primary, getting set to take on Joe Biden in what could be a tough reelection battle for any Republican, especially if our current inflationary cycle is over.
Donald Trump Is In Trouble Longterm
But that is the only good news for former President Trump these days.
The simple fact is that Donald Trump is facing multiple court battles that could land him in prison, deny him the chance to run for office, and clearly keep him out of office if the charges stick.
In fact, let me take my prediction one step further: Donald Trump will win the 2024 GOP nomination for president and then, by the late spring or summer of 2024, face the real possibility of going to jail, creating a crisis for the GOP. He might just have to step aside.
My Republican colleagues really need to think about this possibility in the rush to anoint Donald Trump again as the King of the GOP.
What the heck do we do if Trump is heading to jail, say, three months before the general election, and we have no nominee to take on Joe Biden?
What is the backup plan if this were to happen?
Yes, I know what you are thinking.
Whoever Donald Trump taps for Vice President can fill that gap, no problem, right?
Well, not exactly. Who Trump then selects is going to be key. Ron DeSantis has already bowed out, so the possibility of a DeSantis vs. Biden 2024 brawl is over.
What if Trump selects Kari Lake or Marjorie Taylor Greene for VP? I highly doubt the American people are going to give the nod to either in a 2024 race, and the GOP would lose in a landslide.
Hey, look, my prediction could be wrong. But as the days pass, and the list of legal charges against Trump keeps growing, the chances of him getting hauled off to jail will grow. And it seems the GOP is not ready for what could be the end of Donald Trump.
Putting all their political eggs in the MAGA basket could be the Republican Party’s undoing for years to come.
Harry J. Kazianis (@Grecianformula) is a Senior Editor for 19FortyFive and serves as President and CEO of Rogue States Project, a bipartisan national security think tank. He has held senior positions at the Center for the National Interest, the Heritage Foundation, the Potomac Foundation, and many other think tanks and academic institutions focused on defense issues. He served on the Russia task force for U.S. Presidential Candidate Senator Ted Cruz, and in a similar role in the John Hay Initiative. His ideas have been published in the New York Times, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal, Newsweek, CNN, CNBC, and many other outlets across the political spectrum.