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What Will Joe Biden Do If Russia Does Invade Ukraine?

Russia Invades
A U.S. Air Force F-16 Fighting Falcon receives fuel from a U.S. Air Force KC-135 Stratotanker, deployed to Al Udeid Air Base, Qatar, above the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility, Dec. 2, 2021. The F-16 Fighting Falcon is a compact, multi-role fighter aircraft that delivers war- winning airpower to the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility. (U.S. Air Force photo by Senior Airman Daniel Hernandez)

Russia Invades Ukraine: What Would Joe Biden Do If Putin Does the Unthinkable? While tensions with Russia are sky-high, US President Joe Biden held a virtual conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss the situation in Ukraine.

The call between the two leaders came after several weeks of tension in eastern Europe, where Russia has amassed close to 100,000 troops on the border with Ukraine, threatening an invasion.

“I Don’t Accept Anybody’s Red Lines”

The two men spoke over a secure video feed and discussed the recent events around Ukraine.

“President Joseph R. Biden, Jr. held a secure video call today with President Vladimir Putin of Russia to discuss a range of issues on the U.S.-Russia agenda. President Biden voiced the deep concerns of the United States and our European Allies about Russia’s escalation of forces surrounding Ukraine and made clear that the U.S. and our Allies would respond with strong economic and other measures in the event of military escalation,” a White House press release stated.

The White House wants to make clear that any unilateral offensive action on the part of Moscow would result in a high price tag. However, what that price tag might be and to what extent the U.S. is prepared to go to defend Ukrainian territorial sovereignty are unknown. Economic sanctions against Russia are almost a given if Moscow invades, but U.S. military support to Ukraine is most likely out of the picture.

However, the White House can still provide valuable strategic and tactical intelligence to Kyiv, as it appears to already have been doing. Recent reports have stated that the U.S intelligence community assesses that Moscow can have up to 200,000 troops ready to invade by early next year.

“President Biden reiterated his support for Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and called for de-escalation and a return to diplomacy. The two presidents tasked their teams to follow up, and the U.S. will do so in close coordination with allies and partners. The presidents also discussed the U.S.-Russia dialogue on Strategic Stability, a separate dialogue on ransomware, as well as joint work on regional issues such as Iran,” the White House added.

On the Russian side of the argument, Moscow sees Ukraine as an integral part of Russia. Although the two countries share several ethnic and cultural norms, they are separate nations, and their citizens seem to believe that too. But in the eyes of the Kremlin, Ukraine is still part of Russia as it was during the days of the Soviet Union. And when Kyiv started moving over to the West, especially after the Euromaidan protests in 2014, Moscow became alarmed, invading and annexing Crimea.

The Kremlin has stated it—and its military movements in the region support it—that further Westernization of Ukraine, such as joining NATO or the European Union, is a red line that would trigger a Russian response.

The European Allies 

Following the call with the Russian leader, President Biden spoke with European allies, reiterating American commitment to push for serious sanctions in the event of a Russian invasion.

“President Biden briefed leaders on his call with President Putin, in which he discussed the serious consequences of Russian military action in Ukraine and the need to de-escalate and return to diplomacy. The leaders underscored their support for Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, as well as the need for Russia to reduce tensions and engage in diplomacy. They agreed their teams will stay in close touch, including in consultation with NATO allies and EU partners, on a coordinated and comprehensive approach,” an additional White House press release said.

1945’s New Defense and National Security Columnist, Stavros Atlamazoglou is a defense journalist specializing in special operations, a Hellenic Army veteran (national service with the 575th Marine Battalion and Army HQ), and a Johns Hopkins University graduate.

Stavros Atlamazoglou is a defense journalist specializing in special operations, a Hellenic Army veteran (national service with the 575th Marine Battalion and Army HQ), and a Johns Hopkins University graduate.

7 Comments

7 Comments

  1. Alex

    December 8, 2021 at 7:14 pm

    The US thirsts for war, but not with its own hands. The United States is pushing Ukraine in all possible and not possible ways to take actions that Russia regards as a threat to Russian citizens and will be forced to protect its citizens. Russia does not care about any sanctions, and the West has not understood this. Russia said about red lines and the cowboy rejected them. Now only a fool will try to ignite a war, because the war will not only be in Europe, Russian missiles will fly to the center of decision-making. Russia is ready for this. Are the US, US citizens ready for this?

  2. Jimmy John Doe

    December 9, 2021 at 4:45 am

    Biden mustn’t do anything dumb. His increasingly pronounced shuffling gait or style of movement should be enough cause to exercise caution. No need to start ww3.

    Why the need to move NATO nearer and nearer to moscow?
    To make a quick military invasion in the future, especially if a crisis erupts in the federation?

    Ukraine has become rabidly russophobic, similar to the woke (sense of realisation) of present day proto-fascist brits. These people don’t realise russia has enough nukes to vaporise them twice over. Thus very very easy for them to repeat adolf’s mistake. Biden must NOT provide these fools company.

  3. Patrick Starr

    December 9, 2021 at 11:24 am

    Biden will roll over and surrender.. or go full nuke as a over response. No middle ground.

  4. CDub

    December 9, 2021 at 11:47 am

    Biden will babble incomprehensible and do nothing.

  5. Donald Link

    December 9, 2021 at 4:59 pm

    Ukraine as a part of Russia is the reverse of the historical fact. Ukraine was a civilized, developed country and essentially western when Russians were still in bearskins and crude huts. Ukrainian missionaries brought Christianity to Russia and started the process of civilizing them (with mixed results). They also gave them an alphabet. What is happening now is simply Russia reverting to type. The proper response is not a nuclear confrontation but commercial, diplomatic and social isolation until the country’s politicians return to civilized norms.

  6. Stefan Stackhouse

    December 9, 2021 at 9:44 pm

    It took several hundred years for Muscovy to grow into the Russian Empire. It happened one little piece at a time, year after year.

    Putin is on record believing the breakup of the Soviet Union as being the biggest tragedy of the last century. He would like to see the old Russian Empire re-assembled. He is certainly not alone among the Russian people in those sentiments.

    Putin must certainly know his history, and understands that the project to reassemble to Russian Empire will once again proceed one piece at a time. It will be opportunistic, but Putin also knows that opportunities can be made to happen. He knows that his Russia must always be ready to take full advantage of each opportunity as it happens.

    What is playing out on the Russia-Ukraine border must be seen within this much larger and longer game. Unfortunately, most Americans, even in the foreign policy establishment, do not seem to realize this.

    It might be seen as advantageous to us for this new Russian Empire to be kept small and their desires to expand frustrated. That might be an understandable sentiment in theory. Unfortunately, the ground and the boots deploying upon it are all too real – as is Putin’s (and Russia’s) determination to reassemble their former empire. They will not be easily discouraged.

  7. Alex

    December 10, 2021 at 7:08 am

    Donald Link – This is a vivid example of Ukrainian Nazism. Complete ignorance of history, Russophobia and chauvinism. Whatever the name is, the Ukrainian Nazi is immediately visible. And yes – I’m not Russian, but Pole.

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