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The War in Ukraine Is Becoming a Giant Powder Keg

Ukraine Russia
Russian T-90 Tank. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

Ukraine War Update: The war in Ukraine continues with no end in sight.

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On day 351 of the conflict, the fighting on the ground continued, especially around Bakhmut in the Donbas, while Ukraine is also about to get more weapon systems from the West. 

Russian Casualties in Ukraine

Wednesday was the deadliest day for Russian forces in Ukraine, with more than 900 men killed or wounded. And just when it seemed that the Russian military couldn’t suffer the same number of casualties in just a day, the Ukrainians are claiming the same number of Russian casualties for Thursday too.

Overall, the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense claimed that as of Thursday, Ukrainian forces had killed approximately 135,010 Russian troops (and wounded approximately twice to thrice that number),

Destroyed equipment includes: 295 fighter, attack, bomber, and transport jets, 285 attack and transport helicopters, 3,255 tanks, 2,244 artillery pieces, 6,468 armored personnel carriers and infantry fighting vehicles, 463 Multiple Launch Rocket Systems (MLRS), 18 boats and cutters, 5,121 vehicles and fuel tanks, 232 anti-aircraft batteries, 1,967 tactical unmanned aerial systems, 211 special equipment platforms, such as bridging vehicles, and four mobile Iskander ballistic missile systems, and 796 cruise missiles shot down by the Ukrainian air defenses. 

Wagner Group Beatings 

The infamous private military company Wagner Group is once more in the news after a video emerged in which several mercenaries are seen beating up one of their commanders in the vicinity of Bakhmut

Wagner Group has been playing a major role in the Russian “special military operation” in Ukraine. But to meet its manpower demands, Wagner Group has been recruiting tens of thousands of convicts, including murderers and rapists.

According to the U.S. Intelligence Community, there are around 50,000 mercenaries in Ukraine, 40,000 of which are convicts and the rest 10,000 contractors, usually former military personnel.

In the Donbas, the mercenary group has been playing an important role. Wanger Group had been the main Russian force in the fight for Bakhmut for several months. The assault of the private military company reached its culminating point in December.

And while it looked like the Kremlin would be taking its foot off the gas and focusing its efforts elsewhere, the Russian military came in and largely replaced Wagner Group as the main fighting force for the Ukrainian town. 

More Tanks for Ukraine 

Denmark and the Netherlands joined Germany in committing to send Ukraine Leopard 1 main battle tanks. In a joint statement, the three countries announced that they would be refurbishing 100 Leopard 1 main battle tanks and sending them to Kyiv “to support Ukraine in their endeavor to withstand Russian aggression.”

According to the announcement, the tanks will be ready within the coming months, as will the training and logistical support for the Ukrainian crews.

Although older and technologically inferior to the Leopard 2, the tanks will still contribute to the upcoming Ukrainian counteroffensives as they largely match or outperform Russian tanks.

In a surprise visit, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky flew to the United Kingdom and France on Wednesday. His European counterparts indicated that Ukraine might be receiving more military assistance, including fighter jets, in the future. 

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Expert Biography

19FortyFive Defense and National Security Columnist, Stavros Atlamazoglou is a seasoned defense journalist specializing in special operations, a Hellenic Army veteran (national service with the 575th Marine Battalion and Army HQ), and a Johns Hopkins University graduate. His work has been featured in Business InsiderSandboxx, and SOFREP.

1945’s Defense and National Security Columnist, Stavros Atlamazoglou is a seasoned defense journalist with specialized expertise in special operations, a Hellenic Army veteran (national service with the 575th Marine Battalion and Army HQ), and a Johns Hopkins University graduate. His work has been featured in Business Insider, Sandboxx, and SOFREP.

4 Comments

4 Comments

  1. Jacksonian Libertarian

    February 9, 2023 at 10:45 pm

    How to win a war 101: Force the enemy to make frontal assaults on your prepared defenses, giving you a 3 to 1 advantage. Fall back slowly to make the enemy believe he is winning, while in reality he is exhausting his resources. Prepare a counter attack that will be a wide fast flanking maneuver that drives deep into the enemy’s rear nearly (always leave a way out) bagging the enemy’s frontline forces. Destroy and capture the routed enemy forces.

    Losing 900 troops a day is 27,000/month decimating the 200k-300k Russian troops engaged, this is unsustainable.

  2. TheDon

    February 10, 2023 at 9:10 am

    Or ukraine has 43 million citizens.
    Now is the time for all to take to arms.
    No amount of missiles, soldiers, tanks or fighters can overtake a united country.
    Russia cant continue with high losses decimating their military.
    The US should open fuel delivery shutting off russian sales, and all free countries should unite as on voice and all commit to weapon delivery increases as a unified group.
    Let russia know they face the world.
    Its there choice

  3. Cheburator

    February 10, 2023 at 12:42 pm

    TheDon

    There is no single country in Ukraine, no loyalty to Zelensky.
    If you don’t believe me, look online for a video of how mobilization is going on in Ukraine.
    There is a part of the population and oligarchs who usurped power after the putsch of 2014, and a significant part of the citizens is not only not loyal, but openly hostile to the regime – Donetsk and Luhansk generally took up arms, in Odessa on May 2, 2014 there was a complete massacre.
    So what kind of a single country can we talk about in the context of Ukraine?

  4. Raymond James

    February 11, 2023 at 4:18 am

    28 Army vet. Will be glad to see my M1 finally doing what it was designed to do, kill Russian orcs!
    I hope we start sending them the best of the best weapons we have. We designed them to kill Russians, now we can let our weapons do their assigned tasks in the hands of Ukrainian’s glorious warriors!

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