Lauren Boebert trails her 2022 opponent, Adam Frisch, by two points in an unusually early poll of the Colorado third district race – albeit one commissioned by one of the candidates.
See, Ya, Lauren Boebert?
It’s not very common for a Congressional district race to have general election polling 15 months before election day, but the Colorado Third District race next year isn’t like most.
It’s the district of Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO), the often controversial conservative lawmaker whose successful re-election in 2022 was the closest House race in the country. Adam Frisch, her Democratic challenger in 2022, is running again, while various other challengers have entered the race in both parties.
Now, there is word that a poll is out, which has Frisch leading Boebert 50 percent to 48 percent among likely voters. The poll was conducted by Keating Research, as reported by USA Today, but there is a big caveat- the poll was funded by Frisch’s campaign.
“This is the only poll that I have seen with Adam up,” Chris Keating, the pollster, told USA Today. Keating did say that his firm was the only one, in 2022, who saw that race as close, having shown Frisch down by two points in
“Frisch secures majority support in this poll despite an 8-point Republican registration advantage, while Joe Biden trails Donald Trump by 5 points in this district (44% Biden to 49% Trump),” Keating said in his polling memo. “Frisch is leading in this poll because he has a 17-point advantage with Unaffiliated voters (57% Frisch to 40% Boebert) and a 32-point advantage among Latino voters (65% Frisch to 33% Boebert).”
The poll also found that while Frisch is viewed favorably by voters in the district, Boebert is not.
“Lauren Boebert has a net negative favorability rating of -11 points with a 53% majority viewing her unfavorably and 42% favorably. Boebert is viewed unfavorably by 61% of Latino voters, 60% of Unaffiliated voters, 54% of men, and 52% of women,” the polling memo said. “Boebert is also viewed unfavorably by a majority of voters in each of the district’s four media markets: 61% unfavorable in the Albuquerque market,
54% unfavorable in the Denver market, 52% unfavorable in the Colorado Springs market, and 50% unfavorable in the Grand Junction media market.”
Frisch is known to have significantly outraised Boebert in the first two quarters of the year, pulling in $4.4 million between January and the end of June, compared to $1.6 million for the incumbent, in an indication that defeating Boebert is a big priority for Democrats nationwide. In addition, a nonprofit called Rocky Mountain Values is making a huge push to try to defeat the Republican incumbent.
Frisch touted the poll on social media.
“After losing to Lauren Boebert by just 546 votes last year, a brand-new poll now shows me LEADING Boebert by 2 points in our 2024 rematch,” the Democratic candidate said on X, the social media formerly known as Twitter.
While Boebert and Frisch are widely expected to face off in the general election, both candidates will face crowded primaries before that. Jeff Hurd, former board chair of the Grand Junction Area Chamber of Commerce, has joined the Republican race in the district joining Boebert and financial advisor Russ Andrews.
Frisch’s primary opponents include Grand Junction Mayor Anna Stout, and candidates Debby Burnett, David Karpas, and Adam Withrow.
Among many other high-profile incidents this year, Boebert introduced a resolution to impeach President Biden, which led her to have a high-profile confrontation on the floor of the House of Representatives with Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA), who had herself been attempting to impeach Biden for much of the year.
“I’ve donated to you. I’ve defended you. But you’ve been nothing but a little ***** to me,” Greene told Boebert, during the confrontation, as cited at the time by The Daily Beast. “And you copied my articles of impeachment after I asked you to cosponsor them.” Boebert is still part of the House Freedom Caucus, although Greene was subsequently removed from that group.
Author Expertise and Experience
Stephen Silver is a Senior Editor for 19FortyFive. He is an award-winning journalist, essayist and film critic, who is also a contributor to the Philadelphia Inquirer, the Jewish Telegraphic Agency, Broad Street Review and Splice Today. The co-founder of the Philadelphia Film Critics Circle, Stephen lives in suburban Philadelphia with his wife and two sons. Stephen has authored thousands of articles over the years that focus on politics, technology, and the economy for over a decade. Follow him on Twitter at @StephenSilver.