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The Great Russian Invasion of Ukraine Has Stalled Out

Ukraine NLAW
NLAW missile. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

On day 28 of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Russian forces largely continued to be stalled across Ukraine. The fierce fighting in Mariupol continues as Russian troops are trying to enter the city.

Meanwhile, the Ukrainian military is launching limited counterattacks in places to regain lost territory and take advantage of the Russian disarray.

Ukrainian Counterattacks and Diminishing Russian Combat Power

In its daily estimate of the conflict, the British Ministry of Defense assessed that almost all Russian advances have stalled, with Ukrainian units even mounting counterattacks at places.

“Despite heavy fighting, Ukrainian forces continue to repulse Russian attempts to occupy the southern city of Mariupol. Russian forces elsewhere in Ukraine have endured yet another day of limited progress with most forces largely stalled in place. Several Ukrainian cities continue to suffer heavy Russian air and artillery bombardment with the UN reporting that more than 10 million Ukrainians are now internally displaced as a result of Russia’s invasion,” British Military Intelligence assessed.

The Russian military has launched more than 1,100 ballistic and cruise missiles of all types to Ukraine.

Furthermore, for the first time in the war, the Russian combat power seems to be falling, a result of the high casualties that the Russian troops have been suffering since the start of the war.

“We have assessed that for the first time that the Russians may be slightly below a 90 percent level of assessed available combat power. Again, let me remind, that s of the combat power that they assembled in Belarus and in the western part of their country prior to the invasion. It is not an assessment of all Russian military power. But we assess that for the first time, they may be just a little bit below 90 percent on that,” a senior U.S. Defense official said in a background press briefing.

The Ukrainian Ministry of Defense claimed that as of Wednesday, Ukrainian forces have killed approximately 15,600 Russian troops (and wounded approximately thrice that number), destroyed 101 fighter, attack, and transport jets, 124 helicopters, 517 tanks, 267 artillery pieces, 1,578 armored personnel carriers, 80 Multiple Launch Rocket Systems (MLRS), four boats, 1,008 vehicles, 70 fuel tanks, 45 anti-aircraft batteries, 47 unmanned aerial systems, and 15 special equipment platforms, such as bridging vehicles.

Acts of Defiance 

Officials at the Ukrainian Railways claimed that there is no railway connection between Ukraine and Belarus in the north. The reason seems to be several acts of sabotage on the part of Belarussian railway workers, who have disrupted their country’s railway system to prevent Russian reinforcements and supplies from reaching Ukraine.

Belarus has been the staging point for the Russian fronts on the north of the battlespace. Belarus is only 200 miles from Kyiv, and the Russian forces that have been trying to capture the Ukrainian capital have used the Russian client state extensively.

1945’s New Defense and National Security Columnist, Stavros Atlamazoglou is a seasoned defense journalist specializing in special operations, a Hellenic Army veteran (national service with the 575th Marine Battalion and Army HQ), and a Johns Hopkins University graduate. His work has been featured in Business InsiderSandboxx, and SOFREP.

1945’s Defense and National Security Columnist, Stavros Atlamazoglou is a seasoned defense journalist with specialized expertise in special operations, a Hellenic Army veteran (national service with the 575th Marine Battalion and Army HQ), and a Johns Hopkins University graduate. His work has been featured in Business Insider, Sandboxx, and SOFREP.

5 Comments

5 Comments

  1. Alex

    March 24, 2022 at 11:07 am

    Author, look at the map of hostilities so as not to disgrace yourself. How many kilometers have been covered? What cities are captured? Well, I’ll give you a hint: several tens of kilometers to the west have been covered, the city of Izyum has been taken under control. Can you tell us in what directions the Russian army and the army of the people’s militia of Donbass passed? What other cities have been taken under control or should I tell again?

  2. Bertram

    March 24, 2022 at 11:41 am

    The worse the situation on the ground becomes, the more strident the denials become.

    Алекса́ндр. Is it your position that the invasion is going according to plan? That Putin is happy with the progress? Does Putin know where his defense minister is? He has gone missing.

    There are also 14,000 Russian troops missing. Perhaps they are with the 600 tanks and armoured vehicles that are no longer responding to calls.

    Yes. Everything is going swimmingly un Ukraine. Nothing to see here. Move along please.

  3. Alex

    March 24, 2022 at 1:02 pm

    Bertram, you wrote what Ukrainian propaganda broadcasts. Should I have a dialogue with you? And yes, I once wrote that the “missing” Minister of Defense of Russia did not “report” to the Pentagon and the CIA where he is, but – he also forgot to report to you 🙂

  4. Jacksonian Libertarian

    March 24, 2022 at 8:48 pm

    It hasn’t stalled, it was repulsed, and is in the process of being routed.

  5. Alex

    March 26, 2022 at 3:41 pm

    Russia destroyed? Wow! When will Ukrainian rubbish be near the Kremlin? 🙂

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