Connect with us

Hi, what are you looking for?

Uncategorized

Russia Just Told The World Why It Would Start a Nuclear War

What is the level of threat that would make Russia start a nuclear war? Our own analysts explain Russia’s latest announcement.

Russia
Russia's Tu-160 Bomber. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

Kremlin Clarifies “Existential Threat” Precursor That Would Prompt Nuclear War – During the early days of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Kremlin appeared to lean into the use of vague threats of nuclear war as a way of discouraging Western countries from supplying Ukraine with weapons, ammunition, and other military equipment.

Speaking to CNN in March, senior Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov warned that an “existential threat” to Russia could be enough to warrant the use of nuclear weapons.

“We have a concept of domestic security, and it’s public. You can read all the reasons for nuclear arms to be used,” Peskov said. It prompted criticism from the Pentagon, with spokesman John Kirby describing the Kremlin official’s comments as “dangerous.”

“It’s not the way a responsible nuclear power should act,” he said.

In May, the deputy chairman of the Russian Security Council Dmitry Medvedev appeared to threaten Western nations in a Telegram post with possible nuclear war. The Russian official warned of a “catastrophic” conflict that expanded beyond Ukrainian borders.

“Such a conflict always has the risk of turning into a full-fledged nuclear war,” Medvedev said. “This will be a catastrophic scenario for everyone.”

Over the last six months, however, the closest the Ukraine-Russia conflict has come to a nuclear catastrophe has been the occupation of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant by Russian forces. The continued occupation of the nuclear facility carries with it the risk of missile strikes causing damage and triggering a nuclear meltdown.

This week, a Russian official provided some clarity on the Kremlin’s position on nuclear conflict and exposed Russia’s rhetoric on the matter as a bluff.

Analysis: What A Kremlin Official Said This Week on Nuclear War 

Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov explained Russia’s position on nuclear conflict in detail during an interview with Izvestia. The Kremlin official said that Russia intends to avoid nuclear war if possible and that only an emergency situation would prompt the Russian government to authorize a nuclear strike.

When asked what conditions would prompt Russia to resort to the use of nuclear weapons, Ryabkov referenced the doctrinal guidelines found within the “Fundamentals of the State Policy of the Russian Federation in the Field of Nuclear Deterrence,” a government document that outlines the Kremlin’s approach to the use of nuclear weapons.

“Russia hypothetically allows a nuclear response only in response to aggression with the use of weapons of mass destruction against us or our allies or aggression using conventional weapons, when the very existence of the state is threatened,” Ryabkov said.

Tu-22M3

Tupolev Tu-22M3 taking off at Ryazan Dyagilevo.

“The key word in both scenarios is ‘aggression.’ In other words, Russia’s use of nuclear weapons is possible only in response to an attack – for self-defense in extraordinary circumstances.”

The Kremlin official stressed that there is “no room for speculation for fantasy,” potentially implying that Russia has never come close to using nuclear weapons and is unlikely to use them at least in the short term.

Jack Buckby is a British author, counter-extremism researcher, and journalist based in New York. Reporting on the U.K., Europe, and the U.S., he works to analyze and understand left-wing and right-wing radicalization, and reports on Western governments’ approaches to the pressing issues of today. His books and research papers explore these themes and propose pragmatic solutions to our increasingly polarized society.

Written By

Jack Buckby is 19FortyFive's Breaking News Editor. He is a British author, counter-extremism researcher, and journalist based in New York. Reporting on the U.K., Europe, and the U.S., he works to analyze and understand left-wing and right-wing radicalization, and reports on Western governments’ approaches to the pressing issues of today. His books and research papers explore these themes and propose pragmatic solutions to our increasingly polarized society.

7 Comments

7 Comments

  1. Scottfs

    August 24, 2022 at 10:21 am

    The use of nuclear weapons would be folly. That is a line that has not been crossed, and is unlikely to be crossed.

    Yet the possibility remains, and the USA must modernize and maintain a robust nuclear deterrent.

    Only a madman like Hitler or Pol Pot or Kim Jong un would do such a foolhardy thing.

    It’s far more likely a war would start by accident.

  2. Dr. Scooter Van Neuter

    August 24, 2022 at 1:15 pm

    Russia’s desperate preening has fallen to the level of North Korea’s now that their military has been exposed for the feckless sh*tshow it is.

  3. GhostTomahawk

    August 24, 2022 at 2:34 pm

    Noone is using nukes. Speculating on their use is reckless.

  4. Dede1973

    August 25, 2022 at 4:20 am

    I was really hoping Russia would use nuclear weapons to annihilate the West. I keep my hopes high that will happen one day.

  5. Baba Yaga

    August 25, 2022 at 4:20 am

    1. russian nukes could be so rusty, without essential parts (stolen) – that russians might be afraid to use them.
    2. you gouys don’t understand russian mentality. It is like Russian roulette – it is not about common sense. Russians only care about showing “who is the boss” – consequences does not matter. So Putin can send nukes at any moment and NATO should be expecting that.
    3. NATO should deploy its army in Ukraine for the “2” reason – because if NATO doesn’t play this Russian roulette – they let russians win time and damages are only growing. There will be no peaceful resolution with Putin.

  6. peter mcloughlin

    August 25, 2022 at 10:21 am

    The gravest danger of nuclear weapons – and nuclear deterrence doctrine – is that all those who hold them are prepared to use them, under certain circumstances. Without the means and willingness, deterrence has no meaning. So, all are prepared to use nukes: and will if they lose control of the scenarios in which they will be used. Controlling those circumstances is the challenge, one which the world powers are quickly losing a grip on – as history warns.
    https://patternofhistory.wordpress.com/

  7. Aboli

    August 29, 2022 at 11:17 pm

    Communist China on the other hand won’t miss 300 million people as Mao said. The game is not just Russia and the US.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Advertisement