A Winter War in Ukraine Favors Russia and Will Be Bloody

Are you cool with your assessments still. Last I check you got nothing right about the war and you are singing the same toon again.

I am going to say your analysis of the war has been off time and time again.

What expanded military aid? I guess no one read the CNBC report recently that said the EU is tapped out and the US doesn’t have the industrial capability any more to keep up with the Russians. That is what happens when your corporations deindustrialize the country.

The West is taking Russia down. All Russia has at this point (other than stuff built in the 50’s) is nukes. Guess what, so do we. Plus there is cyber war, which no one ever mentions.

Cleary Davis wasnt paying attention to what happened last winter when Russia was forced to retreat from Kyiv, Sumy, and more…in the winter. Not to mention their soldiers getting frostbite because they thought the war would be over in 3 days and were not properly prepared.

This year we have plenty of evidence coming in from Russians themselves that their conscripts are less than well supplied, and that they will be forced to buy their own gear – if they can actually afford it – or find it when the prices arent being gouged by profiteering Russians. Some are even being told that they should ask their wives for female sanitary products to absorb blood if/when they get wounded. Have fun with that on the battlefield when Ukraine is raining down GMLRS rounds from HIMARS with warheads having 180,000 molten hot Tungsten steel fragments…per missile. At 6 missiles per pod thats 1 Million molten hot steel fragments blasting out per pod, as an air bust munition those fragments cover a fairly wide radius. Footage is already circulating of those rounds turning Russian armored vehicles into Swiss Cheese.

As well, despite Russia’s phony claims, the Kerch Bridge will take weeks to repair at best. Russia’s own people published footage of the damage from the rail lines showing Both rail lines have been damaged…and satellite images from Maxar show the ferry cue is miles long with trucks waiting. It will take a massive alternate supply effort for Russia to compensate for that loss. And the main rail line heading from east to west through the south of Ukraine is in firing range of HIMARS.

Time is especially running out for Russia’s troops in Kherson who rely on supply from Crimea. Ukraine is setting conditions for further advances by grinding down their forces with precision strikes, and denial of adequate resupply for such a large force. With the next advance in Kherson, they will likely be in artillery range of the Beryslav beachhead on the Dnipro, and perhaps even in HIMARS range of Chaplynka on the other side of the river where there is a very important airbase that the Russians use.

By contrast, Ukraine is being resupplied by 50+ countries. They are being sent hundreds of thousands of cold weather clothing items. And they are about to get another 10,000 fresh NATO trained troops from the program in the UK. I will take them over 100,000 Russian conscripts any day of the week.

Bottom line: Just as Davis has continued to be wrong about basically everything he has written about this war… he is wrong again this time as well. Time will tell how fast Ukraine proves him wrong, but the odds are strong they will do precisely that.

What an idiot Davis is. He’s been predicting doom and gloom for the Ukrainians since the first week of the war. I’m sure the USSR was sure they’d overwhelm Finland during the Winter War in 1939 also.

Russians will continue to be undertrained, under equipped and poorly lead regardless of the season. Plus, regardless of how many supplies you are stockpiling, they still need to get within 60 km of the front. “HELLO HIMARS” you moron. Meanwhile, the western Ally’s are promising millions of pieces of winter warfare gear to allow Ukrainian forces to fight through out this winter.

Mmmmm. A force being told to bring tampons and sanitary pads to the battlefield because their military has no supplies against a Ukrainian force getting full kit on a routine basis. Seriously, how does this idiot Davis have a job as an analyst??!!

The is technically over when France say they would not nuke Russia,if they nuked Ukraine Google France Nuke Russia

Biden’s proxy war in europe is going to bite him (or deep state / shadow govt/great shadow power cabal) in the backside.

Biden, put into white house by deep state cabal, thinks he’s a Mike Tyson, able to outdo both bill clinton & bush.

But Biden is d-u-m-b, totally dumb, or fubar dumb like Hitler.

Hitler failed to look real good at map of USSR before launching his ruinous war.

Biden has again also failed to look at map of Russia. It is no isolated Iraq, but instead has many long borders with many friendly nations.

Also, Russia has nuclear arsenal, despite its arsenal being now clearly inferior to America’s.

Biden’s war, especially after winter of 2022-2023, will compel Russia to reassess its view of Washington and regard it as a power that strictly & only respects military might, especially nuclear might, not any form of human reasoning or talking.

Thus after Russia uses nukes successfully against biden’s foot soldiers in europe, it must supply similar weapons to other countries like Iran and Armenia.

Armenia is another hotspot for US attention.The artsakh problem can be solved by negotiation, but US not interested in such a solution.

Armenia’s tormentor is Azerbaijan, an entity closely allied to turkiye which is an ironclad ally of Washington.

Turkiye is main or top bedpartner for US due to it fully enabling CIA & DoD operatives to work in Syria and Iraq both bordering turkiye.

Turkiye also hosts radar stations that are part of America’s vital globalized ABM system that’s focused on ensuring US winning coming nuclear wars.

Thus Russia must now start thinking on sending nukes to Yerevan.

More nukes all over godamn place is the right answer to Washington’s current approach of rejecting reasoning or negotiations and opting for proxy wars, economic wars, violent regime change and other uncivilized means.

Washington only believes in and respects military might and the best military might is a worldwide nuclear arsenal.

Other than supplying nukes to Washington’s potential enemies, Russia must also supply Hi-Tech delivery systems like underwater torpedo drones and hypersonic gliders and/or maneuvering nuclear-carrying warheads and space-capable FOBS craft.

Thus Biden is going to get bitten very very hard in the behind.The deep state is going to go bonkers over this bite.

Daniel. What arms production increases? Where are the new Russian supplies hiding? As soon as they get over the border to ukraine they are gone. Whether command posts artillery and radar units, or weapons supplies. all are seen by usa ukrainian inteligence, eavesdropping Awac’s or satellites, and systematically destroyed. Russia is fighting relatively blind.

The author’s analysis is flawed. Ukraine is fighting in Ukraine, not deep inside Russia. Ukraine’s winter is relatively mild. In the old days, equipment failure was a problem during winter time in Russia. However, all modern military equipment has been tested under severe winter conditions. Considering Russia’s poor maintenance, I doubt Russian tanks will start without any problem during winter time. As always, winter will slow down everything but I believe this winter will be a bloody one for Russia. The US finally started to deliver air defense systems and mass produce switchblade 600. Ukraine soldiers can trace artillery shells and hunt down Russian artillery and tanks without leaving their cars. The annual production capacity for switchblade 600 will reach 6000. Russia can say goodbye to artillery and tanks within a year. The Russian army needs a plan B now but I doubt they have one except Iranian flying lawn mowers.

The Red giant may possibly start the winter campaign with a big encirclement of AFU forces in Kharkiv oblast. AFU forces are very vulnerable there when winter comes, very vulnerable almost sandwiched between Belgorod oblast and the LPR.

It remains to be seen how it will turn out. By the way, according to the local booksellers in the Red giant, the population is ordering and buying more books about the Second World War than ever before.
A real boost for booksellers.

The Red giant’s people are becoming committed to their common cause.

This seems so off. Blowing up apartment buildings and attacking power plants does not equate to destroying critical military infrastructure. And the one thing that Ukraine has succeeded at beyond expectations is destroying Russian military infrastructure – the “stockpiles” that the author claims the Russians are building. And finally, hard to see how untrained conscripts are going to succeed where Spetsnaz, elite airborne units and guards tank armies failed, particularly as the first line equipment gives way to third line poorly stored equipment. But hey, maybe the author’s right. We’ll see soon.

how can a winter war favour the side which is not capable of giving their soldiers socks, let alone anything else

Bad analysis. Winter war requires that the soldiers be properly equipped and supplied. Logistics and training are the keys to cold-weather campaigning. The Russian side is an incompetent botch, with legendary bad logistics, troops lacking cold weather uniforms, and terrible discipline. They are facing a Ukrainian Army that is highly motivated, increasingly equipped with Western state-of-the-art weapons, and which just received 500,000 Canadian winter uniforms. I fail to see how this favors the Russian rabble.

Still trying to decipher the meaning of the statement “we will continue to provide support for as long as it takes”. Were there any unbiased reporters present at the press conference to ask exactly what that statement means? One thing we can be sure of is that there are many months, if not years, of foggy messaging and reporting ahead. I just hope when this war is over that it will have been deemed to be worth all the death and destruction.

Caution: “Pagar” and “Yrral” are paid russian trolls.

It would be nice if the site owners would do something about it..

Jim, Yrral, Pagar, et.al

Jim especially… your pretense that Ukraine has no relevance to the US is yet another absurdity that you and others continue to peddle for no valid reason. In reality, There is quite a long list of reasons why Ukraine is actually important to the US, but let’s start here:

Yours is worse than a Trumpian statement about “America First” [to the detriment of all else], and completely ignores our alliance structure and what is important to them. After 9/11 when we invoked article 5, NATO, the EU, Australia, and others stepped up for us when it wasnt necessarily in their vital interests to do so. It is only right that we do this for them now. Consistent polling shows Ukraine has the support of %70 of people in the EU countries, even if it means they pay higher bills while Russia is defeated and they make the transition away from Russian oil&gas.

As well, Russia’s centuries long history of imperialist aggression against its neighbors is seen as an existential threat by Russia’s neighbors. Based on that history, and Putin’s insistence on continually invoking the history of imperialist land thieves like Peter and Catherine the not-so-greats… if you really think that Russia would stop at Ukraine if we didnt keep to this red line now, I have a gently used bridge in the Kerch Strait to sell you.

Just about Every Time there is a window of weakness shown to Putin is exactly when he launches yet another invasion. As I have stated repeatedly, in 2013 the US pulled the last tanks out of EU, and was full swing on the pivot to Asia…and a year later Putin invaded Ukraine. This time it was the Afghan debacle, and Putin smelling weakness believing the Us would not intervene on behalf of Ukraine. Putin has been trying to weaken and split NATO for a long time. If he was allowed to take Ukraine, even the southern belt all the way to connect with Russian troops in Transnistria…he would certainly have gone after the low hanging NATO fruit in the Baltics at some point. Much better to stop him now than to let him think he can test Article 5 later.

Furthermore, the combination of Russia and Ukraine is a major source of food for the world. The notion of allowing Russia to control the vast majority of that combination…even if a portion of that is to simply control the southern belt of Ukraine and deny them access to the Black Sea…is absurd. There was already almost a global food crisis. Rail lines are nowhere near the capacity of grain ships at sea. And we have already seen the political games Russia plays with turning on and off NatGas. Of course they would do the same with food. It is in fact a vital interest of the US to deny that to Russia.

Part of that is an own goal on us with the stupidity of regulations in places like my home state of California that have reduced food production in the central valley by %30 simply by mismanaging the water supply over decades. That still doesnt mean we should allow Russia a stronger position in the world food market. and I havent even mentioned the other natural resources Ukraine sits on.

Bottom line: the lot of you showing your various true colors as somewhere between overly pretentious about what you think you know [Jim], to blatant Putinista trolls [Pagar, Yrral, etc.]…all you succeed in doing is strengthening the resolve of people who actually understand what is at stake.

Per Jim and others: If you are reduced to name calling like a 5-year-old it means you’re in the middle of a temper tantrum. No one ever makes any sense when they are having a tantrum.

Tamerlane,

As usual your arrogance betrays you. You seem to be one branch of supposedly former military that is a poster child for why the US has made so many bad strategic decisions over the years.

Something akin to Newtons 3rd Law of Physics played out in geopolitics… you are the equal and opposite [yet equally bad] end of the spectrum of the mistakes made by the neocons. Except many of them eventually had the self awareness and humility to admit their mistakes. I see little possibility of that potential for humility in you…even under the high likelihood of Ukraine winning without Russia starting a nuclear war. You will still find some excuse to claim it wasnt a good idea to help Ukraine

As much as I disagree with Biden on basically everything else, I am also thankful that there are people with decision making positions who clearly understand this particular situation much better than people like you do.

Have a liberating day.

I am amazed at how bad the Russian Army is. But if Putin’s draft is even somewhat successful, he will be able to throw hundreds of thousands of new cannon fodder at the front, while using some of his thousands of micro-nukes to destroy the Ukrainians all along the Kherson front. The Russians could still lose, of course, since nukes don’t take and hold territory – only soldiers do that. Ultimately, it all depends on how well Putin’s draft goes.

The other question that will decide the war is the attrition – which side runs out of necessary weapons and ammo first? Russia is clearly running out of a lot of stuff, but so are we.

The war will be over by March.

Ukriane will be defeated and dismembered.

Another 100,000 Ukrainian soldiers will die.

The next thing you hear about will be cries of “a humanitarian crisis in Ukraine as Ukraine cannot feed, house or keep their civilians warm”. Millions will leave the ruins of Ukraine and make their way to Poland and Germany. Social disorder will spread to Europe.

Primary sources on Twitter contradict almost all of this article. Russian draftees get almost no training beyond individual firing of a few clips with their AK-47s. Tens of thousands of Ukrain’s troops are trained upt to NATO standards both internally and in NATO countries like Britain, Poland and Denmark. Russian draftees have already been sent to the front and captured.

The motivation of Russian draftees is suspect. Hundreds of thousands of Russian men left the country to escape the draft when Putin announced partial mobilization. The call up has been concentrated on ethnic minorities and the poorer regions of the Russian Federation. Russian draftees often have to buy their own uniforms, first aid kits, body armor, and other equipment. Army issue equipment is usually stolen and sold by corrupt supply officers. It’s doubtful Russia will be able to furnish winter uniforms to their mobilized soldiers.

Ukraine has captured more equipment than they have lost in this latest offensive. Even with all the equipment provided by other countries, Russia is still the biggest supplier of tanks, AFVs and artillery pieces to Ukraine. Ukraine has also captured large amounts of ammunition.

Russian logistics in this war have been really bad since Ukraine deployed HIMARS. Adding precision guided 155mm artillery shells like Excaliber to HIMARS, Ukraine has been able to destroy many Russian supply dumps and headquarters.

Russian Army supply is dependent on railroads, with a relatively small number of trucks to move supplies from the rail heads to the front. With the large scale destruction of Russian trucks, many civilian vehicles are now showing up in the Russian supply chain. Russian signals intercepts include lots of complaints about a lack of ammunition and artillery support.

The explosion and fire that caused partial destruction of the Kerch Bridge between Russia and the Crimea on October 8, 2022, has prevented all rail traffic and most road traffic since then. Only passenger cars have crossed the bridge. This reduces to a trickle the supplies and reinforcements that can get to the forces in Kherson Oblast and Crimea, particularly fuel. It’s likely that repairs will take months, because the original buiding project was a custom job with no standard parts.

In short, Ukraine has a lot of advantages not mentioned in this article.

Just from looking at the title i knew who the author was. Hey Daniel, I’m a little short for cash this month. Does Vlad pay by the word or is it a set fee per article?

Enfield wrote , “The Red giant’s people are becoming committed to their common cause.”

Interesting wording. A red giant is a star that is near the end of it’s life. An apt comparison for Russia.

“Amateurs talk about tactics, but professionals study logistics”

Lt. Col.Davis appears to be one of those officers who believe that the supplies will magically appear when the forces need them… Sort of like the Russians on the road to Kyiv in February. And we all know how that turned out.

Russia has had endless problems with logistics in this war, from having to rely on rail transport because their military lacks the modern integral road & air units to extend supply range to promised war stocks missing due to corruption and decades of inadequate storage and maintenance. Books will be written on Russia’s logistical failures in this conflict. But the biggest looming logistical catastrophe for the Russians is the one I see least addressed by analysts and the media. Russia’s rail transport system is on the verge of collapse due to sanctions.

Why? Because the Russian railroad industry over the last two decades converted their rolling stock to use more efficient, modern tapered roller bearing cassettes. And all the bearings were manufactured by Western companies in their home countries and then assembled onto the freight wagons by Russian joint ventures. All of those Western companies (Timken, Amsted, SKF, etc.) ceased selling bearings to Russia, pulling out of the joint ventures. Railroad wagon production in Russia ceased in April due to lack of bearings. But it is not just new cars that need these parts. A set of bearings only last for 125,000 – 160,000 km before they need replacement. By August, there were over 10,000 Russian railway wagons out-of-service due to needing replacement bearings. This number will grow month-by-month, with estimates suggesting that over 200,000 railway wagons being out of service by March….or about 40% of Russia’s total stock.

And to this point, Russia has not found a single foreign replacement for their Western railroad bearing suppliers. India and China both use joint venture production similar Russia, with the actual bearings being manufactured by Western companies in the USA, Sweden, Germany, or Japan….all of which are sanctioning Russia. While Russia might try to reactivate their old Soviet bearing industry (or rely on Chinese manufacturers using old Soviet equipment) these produce sleeve (aka friction) bearings, which have lower weight capacity and speed ratings than their modern Western counterparts.

Here’s an industry article on the problem…
https://www.railway.supply/en/russian-railway-is-on-the-verge-of-collapse/

1945 needs to drop this guy. It shows how an Army LTC may not be knowledgeable outside his field, in this case, unskilled in intelligence analysis. Not to say he might be an expert in his field…. which sounds like Operations, not intel.

The title “A Winter War in Ukraine Favors Russia and Will Be Bloody” explains nothing about *how* a Winter War would favor Russia, and *why* it would be bloody, and for whom.

Having a little bit of successful experience (7 years as FO, 22 years Army intel analyst), I respond:

Modern Armor Does Poorly Off Road, unless very cold or hard terrain. The terrain is cultivated mud for much of the contested areas so far, limiting wide scale armor maneuver to select areas. The ground is unfavorably soft. Armor drives on a road to a good solid location, sets up and missions, then leaves on a road. Key point to moving the armor: roads. Reason why Russian soldiers abandon many of their vehicles is that they can run and hide by foot, but they cannot run and hide mounted and having to use…. roads.

Ukraine averaged about 39F/4C – even the coldest snaps in the last five years were very short, with temps rarely sustaining lower than freezing more than few days. In short, no sustainable frost line, and most heavy vehicle travel limited to roads (which was seen in Russia’s initial invasion). This ain’t Finland, or even 1944 (thanks global warming). Opportunity *might* be in January for about three weeks – but at this rate Ukraine will be at the Russian border by then.

Also, land be mostly flat and clear farmland. Question: Do you know what they call Armor in flat and clear terrain? Answer: Dead.

Next, Ukraine isn’t simply on the offense but also pushing layered defense behind their offense. Should the vaunted and feared Russian Army finally snap close their devious plan and well laid trap against the unsuspecting Ukrainian Army… Bwahhh… I give up. The derision is too much. But even if – Russia won’t have to go far to hit the hypothetical wall, cement reinforced and well defended, supported by HIMARS. Russia doesn’t have the men, material, leadership and motivation. Mostly the motivation, proven in the last month. And those were the full timer, professional troops.

So in about 10 min addressing weather and terrain I have reasonably put forth that a Winter War will not favor Russia. Reading between my commentary, I agree that it will be bloody – for the Russians. And based on current events, it looks like it will be bloody for them if they stand in place or run like hell. And seeing the effectiveness of Russian logistics v. Ukraine ranged attack, I’ma guessin’ it’ll be cold and hungry as well as bloody for untrained, inexperienced Russian Reservists.

Davis seems to not have a good grasp on his last few topics. Maybe 1945 should look into getting someone else. At best, this opinion piece looks like he put it together in an hour, will all fluff and no meat. To put this out under a 1945 header is… embarrassing.

Does he get paid for this?

mawendt: “Davis seems to not have a good grasp on his last few topics. Maybe 1945 should look into getting someone else. At best, this opinion piece looks like he put it together in an hour, will all fluff and no meat.”

He is not an objective analyst, he is a propagandist who’s been promoting the “kneel before Putin or else” mantra since February. In some of his earlier pieces that almost gave me an aneurysm, he was pretty open about Ukrainians having to cave in before Putin beats the living daylights out of ’em.

I suspect his ramblings are published to ensure a somewhat objective treatment of the war, which goes to show how difficult it is to find arguments in support of the other side if they have to rely on this joker.

When I need to take my morning glory, I wipe with the writings of Daniel Davis.
Seriously though, when has Mr. Davis ever been correct regarding the Russia-Ukraine war? I think people must come here to humor themselves.

Fred,

Stopping Russia’s invasion in Ukraine is a not a vital US and NATO strategic interest.

The one way to ensure that Ukraine is raised to the ground, and the one way to increase the likelihood of nuclear escalation would be to “give” (at U.S. taxpayer expense I’d add) Ukraine long range offensive weapons and the carte blanche to carry strategic attack, mainly via air, into Russia, to destroy key roads, bridges, power plants, and military force/materiel concentrations. To green light our proxy state Ukraine taking this war on Ukraine ground is more than stupid, it’s suicidal. Russia is not an Iraq or a Libya for the U.S. to engage in regime change in or launch existential threats against.

If China launched Mexico into the continental United States conventionally, while rendering them assistance, guidance, arming, and intelligence… what do you suppose our response might be? If our very existence was threatened?

Are you a ten year old child writing out of bile and emotion? If not, you should probably reconsider how you are approaching this. Try transposing yourself into a Russian’s perspective of the issue… as this is the best available path for you to deduce reactions to your proposed policy paths.

Be best!

Tamerlane,

LoL, I actually use multiple reputable sources for polling. Not only have I never heard of ‘filesforprogress.org’ trying to go to that web address yields an error message. Repeatedly.

So I did a bit of digging and found what may be the likely source for your outlier poll. The Quincy Institute is the only one to have raised the possibility that the American public is growing weary of supporting the war in Ukraine with a poll conducted on their behalf by the left-leaning “Data For Progress”.

Now let’s consider the source. Quincy is a leftist think tank with a stable of “experts” who are clearly and firmly in the Russia appeasement camp – just like you.

Unlike the Quincy poll, the YouGov poll I cited asked a consistent set of neutral questions over time on Ukraine and Russia.

As well, I provided multiple sources from well known polling institutions that are well past the margin of error against you. Making your one poll an outlier, and revealing just how desperate you are to cling to anything out there on the fringes in order to pretend you are correct, when you are not.

There’s quite a bit more where that came from as well:

More from YouGov: In those same 10 countries, significant numbers – 62% in Poland, 57% in Sweden, 50% in the UK, 40-50% in France, Germany, Spain and the US – also felt existing sanctions were “not harsh enough” and should be strengthened.

Many western voters were willing to pay a price for this, with about half or more – 66% in Denmark, 63% in the UK – favouring sanctions even if their living costs increased slightly (support dipped if a “large increase” was implied, but by no more than about 10 points).

Only 13% of respondents in France, for example, backed recognition of Russian sovereignty over Crimea if Moscow gave up none of its new Ukrainian territory – but the percentage was not very different (17%) if it surrendered all of it. In Germany, the corresponding figures were 20% for “all” and 17% for “none”; in Sweden 13% and 10%, in Spain 18% and 16%; Poland 12% and 11%, Britain 10% and 6% and the US 15% and 13%.

On the key question of whether Russia was more to blame than the west, responses followed broadly the same pattern, with strong majorities in the core western alliance (up to 78% in Sweden, Denmark and the UK) blaming Russia, and correspondingly very low numbers (4% in Poland, 6% in Spain, 7% in France) blaming the west.

Similar results coming in from Gallup, Axios, and basically every other well known polling institution.

Gallup Sept 15,

66% Support Ukraine in reclaiming territory, even if prolonged conflict

%74 of Americans say US either doing the right amount or not doing enough to help Ukraine

Back to your Quincy poll, of course they asked loaded questions trying to tie inflation to the war. While it may have exacerbated inflation, massive federal stimulus over a span of years as well as extremely stupid policy here at home on energy, pipelines, Oil and Gas lease complications on federal land, and even stupid water mismanagement are all contributing factors to inflation…and are frankly much much much bigger culprits on inflation than Ukraine.

Americans are largely smart enough to see through your bogus attempts to blame inflation entirely on Ukraine considering inflation was already having an impact before the war in Ukraine started.

In my home state of California our governor could suspend the gas tax and the requirement to blend gas in our state for 2 years and the price of a gallon would drop by $2 per gallon instantly. That would have a ripple effect bringing down the cost of shipping all other goods. There is no reason other than stupid policy that California has close to double the price of gas as other places. I drove home from Vegas for CES and Edge2022 [formerly known as CES Government] January 8th, 5 weeks before the war…and just across the border of CA to NV the cost of gas was $1.50/gal less. Those stations were less than 5 miles apart.

On the Federal level, if Biden told the Fracking industry that there would be a price floor of $60 per barrel of oil for something like 3-4 years, and something similar on NatGas, that would provide a measure of certainty for an industry that has seen too many boom bust cycles to want to invest big right now. A lot of them are taking profits to pay back investors. A price floor would allow medium term investment in new drilling here at home to bring down the price of oil without relying on OPEC. And he can add in a whole bunch of aid to EVs, Solar, Wind and other clean energy so he can sell it to the left flank of his party. As a pragmatic centrist who hates the oil industry, I’m %100 in favor of that all of the above approach also.

As well, almost all the polling shows that Americans still don’t care about foreign affairs. In your Quincy poll, the Ukraine war ranked last among issues.

YouGov has just 6 percent saying “national security” is their most important issue [“foreign policy” clocks in at zero]. And that sentiment is justified. The war has had much less impact on the United States than the rest of the world. Unlike in Europe, there is little prospect of energy shortages here or any direct physical threat from Russia because no one is buying the notion that Putin will start a nuclear war over Ukraine, and people understand we have the energy resources here at home that need to be handled by better policy on energy… they are not at all tied to foreign policy.

Bottom line: Your attempts to pretend that your one poll of cherry picked / slanted questions are in anyway a full representation of reality have failed spectacularly. As well, many of the other questions asked show that most Americans and other westerners are not buying any of the other arguments you are making either.

NATO is an organization of war criminals… Alexander Dugin’s daughter was murdered in a NATO sponsored terrorist attack.

The best thing about Russia getting Crimea back… Catherine the Great took it from the Turks…

What happened right after Russia retook Crimea? The Russian FSB searched all the Turks living there… Why? Because NATO sponsors Islamist terrorism when it suits them to.

Neo-cons always worried about the wrong border . . .

cwspangle

Perhaps the most ignorant, and awkwardly racist anti-Jew cooment anyone has made here in awhile.

Perhaps you should study up on the Refuseniks, and the way that the USSR thoroughly oppressed their Jewish population…which led to over 1 Million Jews leaving the USSR at the first chance they were allowed to. The Commies were basically holding them hostage.

Not to mention the centuries long Russian tradition of oppressing Jews since before Catherine the not-so-great imposed The Pale of Settlement on 4.5 Million Jews, and the subsequent 150 years of pogroms meted out against Jews which blatantly and repeatedly raped and pillaged Jewish communities in the Russian empire. Just like they are doing in Ukraine right now.

I’m still not sure who is at the wheel of 1945’s comment ‘moderation’… but in today’s world it seems on many sides that the only minority that is acceptable to target with that type of fraudulent bigotry is Jews.

“ I’m sure the USSR was sure they’d overwhelm Finland during the Winter War in 1939 also.”

For all those who love the Finland-USSR analogy, you should remember that despite the Soviet miscalculations and the tenacity of the Finns, Finland lost that war and lost territory as well. Many Finns died (and many Russians, too)!

In any case, it’s a terrible model to use, because the results were not as usually suggested.

I continue to be amazed at the success of Western propaganda in the face of how wrong it has been about everything since the Iraq war run-up. Why would anyone believe a word of it?
But, people trip over each other to be the most fervent believers of obvious lies and fact-less spewage. It’s disgusting.
Does anyone remember just a few years ago when the US government failed to produce a *website* with a billion dollar budget?
This winter, Ukraine will be shattered. Europe will freeze and starve, and as soon as China makes a significant move, the US will drop Ukraine like the world’s hottest potato.
It hardly matters to the US political elite, though.. the real project is the transfer of wealth from US taxes into their war profiteering investments.

Love him or hate him, as I’ve said before Davis gets people talking, which is far better than the alternatives. 75 comments must be some kind of record for this site.