Connect with us

Hi, what are you looking for?

Smart Bombs: Military, Defense and National Security

China’s Ballistic Missile Arsenal Is A Clear Threat to the U.S. Military

China Carrier-Killer Missile Tests
Image from the now closed WantChinaTimes.

While attending the Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation’s (VOC) annual China Forum in Washington, DC, two weeks ago, one of the guest speakers inspired me to start a series for 19FortyFive on the People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA’s) ballistic missile capabilities.

(Subscribe to Our YouTube Channel Here.)

Last week, I covered the PLA’s intercontinental ballistic missiles. Now, let’s step down in size and examine China’s intermediate- and and medium-range ballistic missiles (IRBMs and MRBMs).

Definitions/Clarification

To the layman, “intermediate-range” and “medium-range” might seem like interchangeable terms, but that’s not quite the case. An IRBM is generally intended as a strategic weapon, with a range of 3,000 to 5,500 kilometers, while an MRBM is typically slated to be a theater ballistic missile, with a range of 1,000 to 3,000 km.

Dong Feng-3 (DF-3/DF-3A) (CSS-2) IRBM

As noted by David Webb in an info page for Riki Ellison’s Missile Defense Advocacy Alliance, “Designed to be China’s first modern missile, the DF-3 carries a range of up to 3,000 km and was deemed operational in 1971. The silo-based, single-stage, IRBM uses a liquid propellant and an inertial guidance system. The DF-3, and its improved variant the DF-3A, have largely been replaced by the DF-21 and only a minimal number of DF-3 missiles are suspected to exist today. Many outmoded DF-3 missiles have been outsourced to Saudi Arabia as well.”

Saudi Arabia’s purchase of the DF-3 in 2007 was motivated by concerns about Iran, which is curious in hindsight, given recent military cooperation between Iran and the PRC

The DF-3 and DF-3A are silo-based, single-stage, liquid-propelled missiles with a range of 3,000 km, capable of holding either a conventional or a nuclear warhead with a weight of 2,000 kilograms and a yield of 700 kilotons. The missile does not have multiple independently-targeted reentry vehicle (MIRV) capability. 

(NOTE: “Dong Feng/東風” translates to “East Wind.”)

Dong Feng-26 (DF-26) IRBM

The PLA officially unveiled this weapon in 2015 during its Victory Day parade and pressed it into service the following year. As MDAA notes, “The DF-26 is the first conventionally armed IRBM capable of reaching the U.S. territory of Guam, which houses Anderson AFB.

Indeed, U.S. analysts have dubbed the missile the ‘Guam-Killer.’ This capability could prove critical in a regional conflict because China could effectively strike the U.S. base with conventional warheads, without escalating to the use of nuclear weapons. The ASBM capabilities of the DF-26 would also put U.S. aircraft carriers in the region at risk.”

The DF-26 is a multistage, solid propellant missile that can travel 3,000 to 4,000 km. It can carry a conventional or nuclear warhead weighing 1,800 kg, with a yield of 5 to 10 kilotons. It does not have MIRV capability. It can be launched from both road-mobile and surface-to-surface platforms. 

Dong Feng-21 (DF-21) (CSS-5) MRBM

The DF-21 debuted in 1991. Even though this is an MRBM as opposed to an IRBM, it is considered to be the replacement for the DF-3/DF-3A. It is a two-stage, single-warhead, solid-propelled missile that is deployed on a semi-trailer transporter erector launcher with a maximum range of 1,800 km.

It carries a 600 kg conventional or nuclear conventional warhead with a yield of 300 kilotons. It is not MIRV-capable. 

According to David Webb, “Conventionally-armed DF-21s will allow the PLA to engage in theater-range ballistic missile opening or escalating strikes meant to counteract an adversary’s invading forces and infrastructures. This would also allow China to perform long-range preemptive, opportunistic, or suppressive, strikes that can interfere with adversaries attempting to assemble for an operation.

“The nuclear strike capabilities of the DF-21A and DF-21B act as an additional deterrent to other regional adversaries such as Japan, Korea, Russia, the Philippines, and Vietnam.”

Dong Feng-21D DF-21D (CSS-5)

Although a variant of the DF-21, the DF-21D merits its own entry on the MDAA webpage, by virtue of the fact that it is the world’s first anti-ship ballistic missile – it is intended to attack ships at sea.

What’s especially disturbing about this weapons system is that it is the fastest MRBM to date – it reaches speeds up to Mach-10 during the terminal phase – and can surpass existing U.S. missile defense systems such as the sea-based AEGIS ballistic missile defense system, which in turn means that U.S. aircraft carrier strike groups operating within the DF-21D’s 2000-km range envelope would be highly vulnerable to the missile’s predations. 

The DF-21D entered into service in 2012. In common with the earlier variants, it totes a 600 kg conventional or nuclear conventional warhead with a payload is 200 to 300 kilotons. It is not MIRV-capable. 

Looking Ahead

The next installment in our series on Chinese ballistic missiles will take a look at the PLA’s close-range ballistic missiles and short-range ballistic missiles. Stay tuned, dear readers.

More: MAGA Needs To Move on From Donald Trump

More: Would Putin Dare Use Nuclear Weapons in Ukraine?

More: Putin’s War Machine Won’t Fight in Ukraine? 

Christian D. Orr is a former Air Force Security Forces officer, Federal law enforcement officer, and private military contractor (with assignments worked in Iraq, the United Arab Emirates, Kosovo, Japan, Germany, and the Pentagon). Chris holds a B.A. in International Relations from the University of Southern California (USC) and an M.A. in Intelligence Studies (concentration in Terrorism Studies) from American Military University (AMU). He has also been published in The Daily Torch and The Journal of Intelligence and Cyber Security. Last but not least, he is a Companion of the Order of the Naval Order of the United States (NOUS). In his spare time, he enjoys shooting, dining out, cigars, Irish and British pubs, travel, USC Trojans college football, and Washington DC professional sports.

Written By

Christian D. Orr is a former Air Force officer, Federal law enforcement officer, and private military contractor (with assignments worked in Iraq, the United Arab Emirates, Kosovo, Japan, Germany, and the Pentagon).

2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. Commentar

    December 20, 2022 at 9:13 am

    China’s SRBM & MRBM arsenal is impressive but still not enough to deter the modern day genghis. Or the carpophorus of our 21st century.

    In early november 2022, apparently caused by a slip of the tongue, or perhaps in an unnguarded moment of excitably experiencing hubris or maybe hyperventilation, the boss of STRATCOM, adm charles richard let the cat out of the bag.

    To his audience he said the current proxy war on russia’s front doorstep is merely just a warmup.

    The BIG ONE, or the direct lunge at china by the War Dept or DoD, is yet to come.

    When that happens, china’s impressive SRBM & MRBM arsenal won’t really do or accomplish much good except possibly buy a coupla weeks respite.

    Thus china must look beyond ballistic missiles and view space or low earth orbit as the next wall of defense.

    A vast fleet of spaceplanes, space drones & space statiins will compel even the most audacious of genghis khans to think TWICE before embarking on any military adventure.

  2. Cheburator

    December 20, 2022 at 12:15 pm

    When I, 5 years ago, said – Chinese non-nuclear weapons reach up to Guam, that they answered me – “you’re lying, this cannot be.”
    And now, when the Chinese have directly stated that they can disable the entire ground infrastructure, destroy ships, make it impossible to deploy any expeditionary forces.
    What do mom’s strategists do – a surprised grimace and lament – “how did we lose sight of this.”

    It is the same with Ukraine – the goal of Darth Putin is not the subjugation of recalcitrant Ukrainians, his goal is the American and European economies. The United States is pouring billions of dollars into Ukraine, and the US economy is losing trillions due to inflation, what if the Federal Reserve stopped issuing and began to withdraw dollars from circulation. And how many times was the rate on loans raised?
    Now imagine that in modern conditions there will be a second Great Depression, how will this end for the US population?

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Advertisement