China is going to invade Taiwan very soon. The official Pentagon assessment on this matter indicates that Beijing will make a play for Taiwan in 2027. Many U.S. military leaders and experts, including myself, have expressed skepticism of that claim. They think that the official Pentagon assessment is too generous.
In fact, China might decide to invade Taiwan in the next year or so.
There is some circumstantial evidence indicating that Beijing was seriously considering attacking Taiwan last year. According to private intelligence firm Bellingcat, Chinese President Xi Jinping in December 2021 told his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, that China was planning to invade Taiwan in the fall of 2022.
Some analysts believe that Xi backed away from that timeline after witnessing the forceful Western reaction to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Nevertheless, for China, reclaiming Taiwan is as much of an existential ideological mission as it is a vital geopolitical one. After all, the Chinese civil war never fully ended. It was simply frozen when the losing side in that fight — the nationalists — managed to escape total destruction by seeking refuge 100 miles off China’s coast, in Taiwan.
Since that time, recapturing the tiny island has been an obsession of every Chinese leader. Xi Jinping, who fancies himself as the next Mao Zedong, believes he will be the Chinese ruler who completes this task.
The future belongs to the side that wants to win it more. While the United States has remained consistent in its support of Taiwan, Washington refuses to clarify its position on the matter. Yes, it sells weapons and provides support for Taiwan’s military. But, to what end?
Standing with Taiwan Will Be Harder Than Most Realize
After all, the Americans and Chinese have a deep, long-lasting trade relationship. That relationship has been controversial in the United States, but most U.S. politicians — including former President Donald Trump — ultimately prefer to preserve American trade ties with China.
President Joe Biden got himself into a bit of diplomatic hot water last year when he said on two different occasions that if China invaded Taiwan, his administration would defend the embattled island democracy. Shortly thereafter, however, Secretary of State Antony Blinken reiterated America’s opposition to any unilateral attempt by either Taiwan or China to change the status quo.
In other words, if Taiwan opted to declare independence from China (which would undoubtedly trigger a Chinese attack on Taiwan), the United States would likely not have Taiwan’s back.
Suppose, though, Taiwan does as is expected of it and it maintains its neutrality on independence. Most Taiwanese voters prefer to maintain the status quo wherein they govern their affairs, but they are not recognized as a totally independent nation-state, to placate the increasingly twitchy Beijing.
What if, despite these facts, Beijing still attempts to annex or blockade the island democracy?
The Warring Factions Misinterpret Each Other
China’s leaders truly believe that the United States is a spent force. They think that the U.S. is a great power in terminal decline, and if China’s leadership had the gumption, it could knock America’s potemkin force over. China’s leadership assumes that America’s political class does not ultimately want to risk a world war over Taiwan — especially given how economically dependent on China the global economy is.
China has therefore developed a suite of capabilities designed to stymie any U.S. military response to a potential Chinese attack on Taiwan. Chinese military doctrine calls for robust strikes in cyberspace, in space (with counter-space weapons meant to disable critical U.S. military satellites), across the electromagnetic spectrum, and utilizing long-range missiles designed to destroy critical U.S. military installations in Guam, Japan, and throughout the region.
All these moves will take place well before any Chinese invasion force nears Taiwan.
By stacking their heaviest punches upfront, Beijing thinks that they can render the Americans so dazed and confused — inflicting so much damage at the outset of a fight — that Washington will stand down and abandon Taiwan rather than risk losing an outright war to China.
A War with China Will Be Protracted and Brutal
Any confrontation with China will be bloody, it is believed. Recently, noted military scholar Hal Brands predicted that the Americans would respond to a Chinese attack on Taiwan. Contrary to what war planners in Beijing and Washington think, any war will be long and brutal.
The world would see a conflict akin to the gruesome combat of the First World War, where the warring parties, after being disabused of their initial belief that the fight would be short and decisive, began embracing increasingly grandiose war aims to justify the loss of lives and resources.
The better solution for Washington would be to avoid a fight entirely. Failing that, Washington must first make its forces more survivable. The U.S. military in the Indo-Pacific has already begun to harden existing military facilities that would be targeted in that opening salvo by China.
Next, American forces must be scattered throughout the region to avoid giving China’s forces large targets.
After that, the United States Space Force must spearhead a comprehensive remake of U.S. military satellite architecture. As it stands, U.S. satellites are far too vulnerable to attack and disruption. Larger, older satellites comprising sensitive military constellations should be replaced with smaller, less sophisticated systems that are easily replaceable but are far greater in number, so as to prevent loss of capabilities.
Those satellites should also be better integrated with civilian and allied systems so that if any of them are taken out in a Chinese “space Pearl Harbor,” the U.S. military can reliably offload some functions to nearby, non-U.S. military systems to keep the Americans engaged in any fight with China.
The Space Force, along with the Missile Defense Agency and the Space Development Agency, must make it clear that they are developing space-based missile defenses both against conventional nuclear weapons as well as against China’s growing, sophisticated arsenal of hypersonic weapons.
The Americans must demonstrate these abilities as soon as possible. Meanwhile, the Space Force must also display its own capacity to disable Chinese satellite constellations as a form of deterrence.
As relates to any potential maritime fight over Taiwan, forget about aircraft carriers. Submarines must be the tip of the spear. China is actively tracking U.S. military movements in the Indo-Pacific. Their intelligence agencies must see that Washington is fully committed to deterring any potential invasion of Taiwan.
America is the Safe Power, China is the Aggressor
On the diplomatic front, however, Washington must insist that it strives to maintain the status quo. Taiwan will be left to manage its own affairs, but it will not seek independence. This will show the world that the Americans are not the aggressors here, but are instead the upholders of a regional order that has existed since the end of the Second World War. Beijing is, in fact, the aggressor.
If these moves are made by a disciplined and committed Washington beginning now, the timetable for China’s invasion of Taiwan will be pushed back. Should that invasion scenario be pushed back far enough, given some of the negative domestic trends China is facing over the next decade, Beijing might decide attacking Taiwan would be too costly an endeavor.
As Hal Brands has recently assessed, though, this present moment is decisive for Taiwan’s future.
America must prepare itself for what will be a brutal fight. It is imperative to stress, though, that preparing for such a fight while demonstrating our commitment to the status quo will buy everyone the time they need to allow cooler heads a chance to prevail. Should the hotheads win, it will allow for the Americans and their allies to survive the opening salvos of China’s first strike and hit back twice as hard.
The one thing that cannot be allowed is for the United States to simply abandon Taiwan to China, as many on the right and far left are arguing. Should Washington shirk its commitment to Taiwan, Beijing will move its forces beyond the first island chain and press deeper into the Pacific. Eventually Chinese forces could move right up to Hawaii and threaten the United States in its own hemisphere, as the great realist John Mearsheimer has warned.
These are the stakes.
MORE: The F-35 Now Comes in Beast Mode
MORE: Why the U.S. Navy Tried to Sink Their Own Aircraft Carrier
A 19FortyFive Senior Editor, Brandon J. Weichert is a former Congressional staffer and geopolitical analyst who is a contributor at The Washington Times, as well as at American Greatness and the Asia Times. He is the author of Winning Space: How America Remains a Superpower (Republic Book Publishers), Biohacked: China’s Race to Control Life (May 16), and The Shadow War: Iran’s Quest for Supremacy (July 23). Weichert can be followed via Twitter @WeTheBrandon.
May 9, 2023 at 10:29 pm
1. There hasn’t been a major Naval conflict since the Falklands war over 40 years ago.
2. The US Marine Corp. has abandoned contested amphibious assaults as suicide.
3. The Moskva was sunk by 2 experimental Ukrainian missiles.
4. The evolution of weapons from Industrial Age dumb weapons to Information Age smart weapons, has made many common weapons systems obsolete including: Tanks, Cannons, and surface warships.
5. Taiwan has been preparing defenses for 70 years, and has at least 1,200 anti ship missiles and thousands of short range ATGM’s that can be used on ships and landing craft within a few miles of shore (drones?).
6. Western businesses would leave/boycott China like they did Russia, and a 1st island chain blockade would end China’s shipping trade, 98% of China’s foreign trade.
7. China imports 75% of its food and energy, and foreign trade is directly responsible for 40% of its GDP.
8. Even if China just tries to blockade Taiwan, free passage of the China sea will end, and China will permanently lose its trade even if the war ends quickley.
9. China hasn’t fought a war since it lost badly to Vietnam in 1979 44 years ago, and it has no combat tested veterans.
10. China has never fought a major or minor contested amphibious assault, something the US Marines now reject as suicide.
11. All recent war simulations show most surface warships getting destroyed including any US Carriers involved.
12. The corrupt Communist Chinese military is unlikely to perform any better against the affluent, democratic, high-tech Taiwan (makes its own smart weapons) with its 100 mile moat, than the corrupt Russian military has against the poorest in Europe, barely democratic, and low-tech Ukraine with no moat.
13. Western style “Field Armies” cannot be compared to authoritarian “Regime Protection Armies” on a man to man or equipment to equipment basis, they are Apples to Oranges. The Russians had a 3 to 1 advantage against Ukraine, and were still repulsed.
May 9, 2023 at 10:52 pm
The relevant question now is…would uncle Sam invade china via taiwan.
China invading taiwan would not be possible until it has a fleet of space bombers circling overhead, like a pack of vultures.
Recently, or days ago, it landed its CSSHQ or x-37 lookalike at a secret base in Lop Nor about 160km south-west of jiuquan launch center, itself a secret base long closed to foreigners.
The CSSHQ is a forerunner of china’s future or coming spacebomber, one specially optimized for war with US.
Once uncle Sam is confronted by the appearance of the “china spacebomber” he will back off and thenvfor china, taking over taiwan would be a cinch. A walk in the park.
Until then, an invasion of taiwan is NOT possible.
Rather, an invasion of the mainland is HIGHLY possible at this juncture, considering that soon the Pacific forces would get its hands on Ford aircraft carriers, f-35B jets and hypersonic arsenals.
Thus, it is a race between china and uncle Sam. Nothing to do with taiwan which is just an appetizer, nothing more.
So, the country with the wisest heads will get ahead of the race between china and uncle Sam.
The race to have a fleet of spacebombers ready or that fleet of Ford aircraft carriers ready.
Who will be the wisest of them all. Biden who’s claimed he has helluva wisdom or xi jinping the top bribe-giver.
Both are unrestrained globalists and thus heading for a showdown.
But only the scientists, engineers and technicians shall have the final say.
Bombs away falling right from space, or incessant hypersonic fires shooting from the east. Who shall triumph. Let’s wait and see.
May 10, 2023 at 12:28 am
We made this likely when we first removed recognition of the ROC at the UN and gave their seat on the security council to the ChiComs. Right now, the “arms” sold to Taiwan since 2015 haven’t been delivered… and their orders have been diverted to a much more peripheral issue like the Ukraine war.
May 10, 2023 at 12:50 am
World War Three is totally unavoidable because of the big clash of globalism in the 21st century.
As Putin said on Victory Day 2023, the current Great Trouble arises because the western global elites.
These elites want to impose their global woke philosophy or woke religion on the rest of the world. Whether you like it or not. Doesn’t matter.
Thus world war 3 is coming. Could happen as early as just after January 2025 when the 47th president has been sworn in. Recall the days of 2001.
But these globalists don’t understand that the coming world war three will be deeply or greatly affected by the availability of space weapons and advent of space warfare.
What did the head of British RAF mike wigston said in 2020. The war of the future will be won or lost in space.
He was just echoing the warning given by Patrick Shanahan, then acting US Defense Secretary, who earlier in 2019 confidently declared the next conflict would take place in space. Not in the water, land or air. But in space.
Thus for the current ukro proxy war, Russia must immediately employ nukes so that the fighting can be stopped immediately.
Then prepare for space war. The war in which FOBS gliders sweep around the globe, flying for over 40,000km or more, waiting for the signal to de-orbit and strike the enemy.
That’s world war three.
May 10, 2023 at 3:49 am
God bless people in the world.
Because of sin, people in China have believed atheism since 6000 years ago, and worshiped the created beings which are minerals, plants, animals and people as gods, so the China civil war again and again, and most people ignore murder and robbery, only want to surrender for saving themselves, and curse the gods which they worship.
After the nineteenth century, the people of Europe and America who did not obey the Ten Commandments invaded Asia, and the Japanese and Chinese who did not obey the Ten Commandments believed that the people of Europe and America declared war on Asia. However, the British people who don’t obey Ten Commandments say these wrong behaviors of the people in Europe and America are imperialism, so the people in Japan and China believe socialism and evolution, worship democracy and science, and join the Communist Party. The sin of Japan and China people cause the East Asia war in the first half of World War II, and cause the China civil war in the twentieth and twenty-first centuries. Moreover, the sin of Europe and America cause the Nazi and Communist Party.
So people in the world should confess sin and repent to God, shall confess that the China civil war will not end until people obey Ten Commandments, shall confess that the world revolution and socialism warfare will not end until people obey Ten Commandments, shall confess that the First Strike is coming again until people in America and China and Korea and Japan obey Ten Commandments.
God bless America.
May 10, 2023 at 6:46 am
So the author is a clairvoyant and can predict how other nations will act? Wow, where were you the last 10 thousand years of human history?
I don’t know if the ChiComs will invade Taiwan or not. What I do know is that if they do, it will almost certainly fail, and will be more likely than not to cost the ChiComs their regime.
Much is made in the media of Xi ordering his military to prepare for a Taiwan invasion. Well, the USA prepared for an invasion of Japan in the 1920s with their Plan Orange. It was only after the Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor that we put that plan into effect, modified heavily by having to simultaneously fight the Germans and Italians in North Africa and Europe.
Every military plans for contingent wars, and they war game them constantly.
What we also know, or at least should know, is that the invasion of Taiwan by the PRC would be the worlds largest, most difficult, bloodiest, and most costly invasion of all human history, putting the D-Day invasion of Normandy to shame … and that invasion used armed forces many many times the size and equipage of the PLA and the PLAN. Such as, over 6 thousand ships … thousands of landing craft … over 2 million soldiers … ten thousand aircraft.
And even then, the invasion only barely succeeded, mostly due to the incompetence of the German defenders and their political leader Hitler.
And that was all to invade a mostly unoccupied coast of France mostly peopled by German soldiers, and the civilian population was extremely hostile to those German forces. Whereas Taiwan is occupied by over 27 million Chinese who definitely support their own forces and government and will resist the ChiComs to death.
If the PRC devoted even 1/10th the resources needed to barely successfully invade Normandy to invading Taiwan, the rest of the country would likely revolt against the regime. What most people forget is that most of the PLA is necessary just to suppress their own people.
RICHARD R HERSHBERGER
May 10, 2023 at 7:45 am
“China is going to invade Taiwan very soon” we are told, written in the voice of utter certainty traditionally heard at the racetrack from some guy about to lose his shirt. But there’s a link! Let’s check that out! It is an opinion piece written by (checks byline) the same guy, where he expresses “concern” that China is “looking for an excuse” to invade Taiwan “by the fall of this year.” Hmm… Better check the date on the piece. Oh, that was fall of last year. Good thing he didn’t put any money on that horse.
We continue: “The official Pentagon assessment on this matter indicates that Beijing will make a play for Taiwan in 2027.” And another link to check out: a report from two years back on testimony to Congress by General Miley. What does the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff have to say? “I see no evidence of that actual intent or decision-making. What I’m talking about is capability…” This is, the careful reader will note, nearly entirely unlike how it is characterized here.
This brings back fond memories of usenet days, when the ability to post links in support of your argument was new. There were those guys who routinely included links to sites that did not in fact support their argument, and indeed often directly contradicted it. The discussion that would follow was whether this guy was really this stupid, or simply a liar who assumed that no one would check. Now that I am older and sadder, but wiser, I have realized that the distinction is not all that important.
May 10, 2023 at 8:34 am
China’s leadership is equally inept to our’s and the Russian.
As our cities become inhabitable because of crime and self-defeating social policies, American families look for social safety and stability. Who would want their daughters exposed to Transmales at the YMCA?
All Xiping has to do is introduce Corpus Habeas into the Chinese legal code and give up his Taiwan kill lists and Asia, Taiwan and the West will gladly accept China’s global leadership.
An invasion of Taiwan on the other hand would make warriors out of the regular MSNBC viewer. It also would go nuclear as China would try to destroy our missile subs and we would have to launch before they are all gone.
Of course after a Chinese nuclear strike 90% of Americans will be dead within 4 weeks and the remaining survivors will be hunted by cannibalistic hordes, see the movie ‘the Road’
May 10, 2023 at 8:38 am
God bless people in the world.
ChiComs is not a good noun, it is like the N-word in the world.
They are China Communist Party, the CCP, they worship democracy and science, they believe socialism and evolution, so they will attack any people who get in their way, like murdering unborn people. If they are at a disadvantage, they will use atomic weapon.
If people complain about this endless competition, shall oppose the people who don’t obey Ten Commandments but only strive for balance of terror and rebalance.
God bless America.
May 10, 2023 at 9:02 am
An invasion of Taiwan (unprovoked) and a simultaneous strike on U.S. or Japanese soil (without provocation) is an act of war. There isn’t going to be a nautical mile of any transit route through the IndoPac that the CCP will not have to defend for itself to safeguard that massive volume of imported goods. And they do not possess the blue water navy or the logistical replenishment fleet to accomplish that mission over 1000’s of miles of IndoPac ocean. Any attempt to take Taiwan jeopardizes the global economy and the rest of the world will have something to say about paying that pricing for the CCP’s unprovoked actions. The CCP risks far more in closing the final chapter on the Chinese “civil war.” While the Taiwan question maybe settled in Xi’s mind but that’s a far cry from considering the likely consequence that the CCP doesn’t survive what follows. The U.S. political leadership would be well served in measuring their words more carefully. Walk softly… carry a big stick is prudent.
May 10, 2023 at 9:44 am
The greatest ever warmonger on Earth is now without a leash (UNSC being totally an empty vessel of no particular use) and has gathered for itself a powerful army of minions and vassals that are ready to die for the warmonger.
But wait. Wait. Before we started a mass panic or hysteria and straightaway surrender.
That warmonger and minions scenario was foreseen long long ago by the enlightened soul who gave mankind elaborately written warning about this mega ultra warmonger who incidentally rules wholly unquestioned over the kings of Earth.
What did the enlightened man say : The nations are caught up in his authority.
The world will bow down to this chief of devils.
And worship him as God.
That warning is just about coming to pass or coming to fruition. But will the warmonger, or chief of devils, enjoy the fruits of his lust.
The answer is no. The homeland of that warmonger at the end of it all will turn into a land dwelled by evil spirits and critters feeding on rotten meat. Thus ww3 is armageddon for that warmonger and his nation.
May 10, 2023 at 10:15 am
The author states, “China is going to invade Taiwan very soon.” And, in turn he relies on another article he links to which claims, “China’s deteriorating strategic situation…” is why they would invade Taiwan.
The author then states he agrees with assessments that China could invade sooner, rather than later.
Is this assessment like the intelligence agencies claiming Russia was “weak” economically and would freeze up upon an economic sanctions blitz of “Shock & Awe” proportions? — NOT!
Others have claimed China was going to decline… never happened… no real evidence China will now.
Likely, if the United States disavowed trying to peel Taiwan from China a military invasion would not happen.
In fact, it’s the U. S. via its statements, its actions, and meetings with Taiwan leaders that is most likely to precipitate a war against China over Taiwan.
The United States has recognized Taiwan as part of China (One China Policy) since 1943 @ the Cairo Conference.
Think: the U. S. didn’t renounce or renege on the “One China” policy during the Korean War when we were fighting the Communists. The U. S. didn’t renege during the Vietnam War when the Reds were supplying weapons to the North.
Nixon reaffirm the One China Policy upon opening diplomatic relations with Red China. Cater also reaffirmed the One China Policy and the Taiwan Relations Act affirmed the One China Policy by statute with qualifying language stating China should not militarily coerce Taiwan… the One China policy should be effectuated by peaceful means over time.
To renege or renounce 80 years of policy and statutory recognition is a HUGE mistake… China is not one of the ‘Indian Tribes’ where the U. S. could renege with little or no consequence… (U. S. Courts have corrected a number of U. S. actions concerning the ‘Indian Tribes’.)
The United States doesn’t have an International Law “leg” to stand on. The United Nations and the U. N. Charter all recognize Taiwan as part of China.
Almost the entire Community of Nations recognizes Taiwan as part of China, as does the U. S. and most, if not all of our important allies.
Defending Taiwan from China is “fools gold.”
The Red Line to draw is the South China Sea where China has annexed territory by Right of Conquest with militarily built up coral atolls against other countries’ 250 mile Exclusive Economic Zones.
China’s annexation has already been found in violation of International Law by the court @ the Hague.
Evidence is available that massive hydrocarbon deposits exist under the seafloor in the South China Sea, that is why China has annexed the territory in violation of International Law which incongruously they claim to respect.
This is where the United States should challenge China, not over Taiwan.
Defending Taiwan is a fool’s errand and a Strategic Blunder… those who want to do it are insane (warmongers) or corrupt (taking money)… or woefully uninformed.
Remember, those in Congress rattling the saber about Taiwan are the biggest takers of money via China connections… that’s what this is about… distracting from the corruption by being tough on Taiwan.
You guys are getting played by corrupt politicians who are distracting from their own corrupt money schemes involving China… what better way than rattle the saber about Taiwan… and look like a “tough guy”… when in reality you are really corrupt… with your hand in China’s pocket…what’s new in Washington D. C.
May 10, 2023 at 1:03 pm
Really?…..”common weapons systems obsolete including: Tanks, Cannons”…tell that to the Ukrainians and others successfully using both. In the wrong situation any weapon approaches uselessness. In the right situations any weapon can succeed.
May 10, 2023 at 1:07 pm
I’ll give you three reasons why China won’t invade Taiwan anytime soon.
1. China holds $1.1 Trillion (yes trillion) in US debt. That would be frozen or unilaterally abrogated in the event of armed conflict with the US.
2. China has a $400 billion/yr. trade imbalance with the US. Why would they kill the goose that lays golden eggs?
3. China and Chinese nationals have billions in real holdings in the US. Those holdings would be nationalized in the event of all out war.
Total cost to China would be well over $2 trillion dollars, not counting war losses. A loss of that magnitude would likely collapse the Chinese economy. Is an assault on Taiwan worth over $2 trillion to the Chinese?
May 10, 2023 at 2:27 pm
Regarding WWIII, there is a major shift in world power every 75-125 years. The last time that happened was during WWI and WWII. This realignment does not happen over night, but is protracted over 10-25 years, and is usually very bloody in terms of human lives and suffering.
We are at the start of a major realignment right now. The question we have as Americans, is do we allow this realignment to happen, to America’s detriment, or do we as Americans break out of the complacency, and do what the greatest generation did to overcome all odds, much of it very unsavory and unwoke?
If we loose, consider the world, where the permanent members of the Security Council of the UN are China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, and Venezuela.
May 10, 2023 at 5:04 pm
Senile Joe Biden has channeled Neville Chamberlain and will go in his footsteps to doom.
May 10, 2023 at 5:36 pm
I don’t trust China. I don’t trust our “allies” any more than China. WW2 was a long time ago. The Cold War was over a long time ago. Our allies have made new relationships based on economics and not on defense.
I have a feeling former world powers like Germany France and England will pay lip service to any Chinese invasion in Taiwan and so the normal half hearted “sanctions” and move on. This will leave America on the hook.
America needs to divorce itself from China. We are funding our own demise. We need to restore our manufacturing domestically with automation. This will keep costs down so Americans can get domestic products for a lower cost. The longer we wait the harder it’s going to get. Only the elite are benefiting from this arrangement we currently have.
May 10, 2023 at 6:35 pm
God bless people in the world.
Biden violates Ten Commandments, promotes socialism and evolution, provokes the socialism parties in China and Russia, cooperates with the socialism war in Ukraine, and the next China civil war will be a total war.
Truman violates Ten Commandments and launches an atomic war with Oppenheimer, allowing all people to live in the nuclear war.
F. D. Roosevelt violates Ten Commandments, helps the Communist Party to promote atheism in Asia, and implements the atheism policy in the United States to promote hero worship.
T. Roosevelt Jr. violates Ten Commandments, he likes to punish other people with a stick and soft speak, so he thinks himself as king of kings and lord of lords. Lenin, Hitler, Mussolini, Tojo Hideki, Mao violate Ten Commandments, so there is the first half of World War II.
Napoleon violates Ten Commandments and invades Prussia, and Clausewitz violates too, so Clausewitz thinks that Prussia must make total war, then people have World War I.
Rousseau, Locke, and Jefferson violate Ten Commandments, so there are Jacobin Party and Socialism Parties.
But the Republican Party forget Washington and Lincoln’s warning to them, the judgments of the LORD, they are helping the socialism warfare of Democratic Party and Communist Party, so we cannot prevent socialism warfare and future nuclear war.
However, we should obey Ten Commandments. When the people in Japan, one-Korea, one-China, Philippine, Vietnam, Singapore, India, Indonesia, Australia and New Zealand proclam neutrality during the war, we only trust God.
If the U.S. Army think that people in France will fight with them, we shall obey Ten Commandments first, because the police of France are under attack by socialism parties this week. I pray to the LORD for the suffering French police. But the USMC and Chaplain are in the trap of the Vietnam socialism warfare, many Taiwan province people who worship Democratic and Socialism and Evolution are repeating the sin of Maximilien Robespierre and Adolf Hitler and Vladimir Lenin and Mao Zedong, many pastors and priests and monks in Asia are promoting liberation theology, public theology, developmental theology and liberation Buddhism.
God bless America.
May 10, 2023 at 10:26 pm
Jim Higgins says, “Senile Joe Biden has channeled Neville Chamberlain and will go in his footsteps to doom.”
Actually, Joe Biden has said more than once the U. S. would militarily defend Taiwan.
Then underlings walk it back and say, of course, we support the One China Policy.
So, the President of the United States is saber rattling as much as any one.
Evidence exists Joe Biden has his hand in China’s pocket as much as anyone.
Is Biden being “weak” to threaten war against China over Taiwan… or is he the Chief distracter by acting tough on China (let Democrat Speaker Pelosi go to Taiwan) and saying the U. S. will defend China meanwhile Biden has taken millions of Dollars from Chinese sources through Hunter, the bag man, Biden.
Again, to go along with these corrupt politicians is to be played as a fool and a dupe.
Call them out for their corruption… not play into their distraction games by clamoring for war against China.
Taiwan is existential for China, at least that’s the way they think about it.
Taiwan is NOT existential for the United States… period.
May 11, 2023 at 5:26 am
God bless people in the world.
The book of Revelation is not truth, the author of Revelation does not confess his sin and repent to God, so the Revelation is the same as the Gnostics School.
This is also the reason for many debates after Vietnam socialism warfare. SBVT should talk about the war behavior of Democratic Party and Mr. Kerry by Ten Commandments, and first accuse Democratic Party of cooperating with Communist Party that occupy Asia and make a socialism alliance in the first half of World War II. Then talk about the moral responsibility of the Democratic Party provoking the Communist Party and causing the Vietnam socialism warfare.
Also because the Democratic-Republican party do not obey Ten Commandments, they do not talk about socialism warfare when they talk about strategy competition. They only talk about the competition of evolution and socialism, so they are promoting atheism.
If people believe the book of Revelation, but do not confess their sin and repent to God, the socialism warfare of the Democratic Party and the Communist Party will accomplish the second half of World War II with nuclear.
But Mr. Lincoln remind us to obey Ten Commandments, because the judgments of God are always true and righteous alltogether.
God bless America.
May 11, 2023 at 6:47 am
God bless people in the world.
In the book of Daniel, Daniel confess sin and repent to LORD, so Gabriel go to him and tell the end of the war and the desolate, but Gabriel imply the judgments will come in the end.
In the book of Revelation, the author of Revelation think that enemy will be defeat and he will win the war. The author of Revelation is the same as Joseph, Genesis 37:9, Joshua, Peter, Paul, and Martin Luther, they all think that they will win by themselves.
But war, even nuclear war, is not honor. The judgments of LORD are always true and righteous all together, we all should be humble before LORD.
God bless America.
May 11, 2023 at 8:40 am
On the Chinese side of the straight there are five or six missile sites within 200 miles of Taiwan, the closest slightly over 100 from Taipei.
There is no need for an invasion.
May 11, 2023 at 9:03 am
No, not with our depleted arms, downsized navy and pussified troops.
May 11, 2023 at 11:10 am
“China is going to invade Taiwan very soon.”
No. Anyone who has ever spent more than a week in Taiwan or had conversations with the people living there know this is an absurd Anglo fantasy.
Taiwanese are Chinese peoples. They desire reunification. Chinese have zero desire to invade the country. Tell that to any Chinaman or Taiwanese and they will laugh at you.
The Chinese and Taiwanese people are far less likely to “go to war” against each other than the American Democrats and Republicans are. We have far more animosity and weaponry here, and even groups on both sides that would support violent separation. Taiwan? Not a chance.
The only way there will be any military situation in Taiwan is if the US starts it.
May 11, 2023 at 12:52 pm
God bless people in the world.
Paul S is wrong.
From 1937 to 1945, people in the Republic of China attacked each other in the 20the century China civil war made by Russia Socialism Party and China Socialism Party. But the U.S. Democratic Party helped the China Socialism Party to promote The Communist Manifesto, so the China Socialism Party occupied mainland China, they are known as China Communist Party, the CCP.
After 1949, the CCP and the Republic of China had many battles on Taiwan Strait, so we had “Mutual Defense Treaty between the United States of America and the Republic of China”.
But now, most people in the Republic of China are educated by the Democratic Party to believe atheism, so some people of Democratic Party avoid military service. Moreover, the Democratic Party teaches people in the Republic of China to believe socialism and evolution, and to worship democracy and science. Therefore, most people in Taiwan Province, like people in mainland China, do not obey Ten Commandments. Because of violating Ten Commandments, most people in Taiwan Province are more unwilling to protect other people and their country, but they want to use the U.S. military. So Democratic Party tells people that the aircraft carrier is invincible, and keeps instigating Taiwan province independent war to lure the USN fight in the Taiwan Strait.
But after Pelosi provoked the CCP, and consumed too much weapons and ammunition in the Ukraine socialism warfare, and the Republic of China needed enough defensive weapons, it is difficult for the Democratic Party to maintain the Unified Command Plan.
God bless America.
May 11, 2023 at 1:19 pm
Ah military “analysts” telling us that a war is just around the corner and we need to increase military spending. As American as apple pie.
Why does anyone listen to any of them?
The bomber gap
The missile gap
The nuke gap
The domino theory
WMD in Iraq
Decades and decades of being wrong but making predictions to terrify people and keep on spending.
May 11, 2023 at 2:21 pm
The author is simply unserious. NATO has thrown everything it has at Ukraine and gained nothing. What in the world makes him think we can beat China at the same time as Russia?
May 11, 2023 at 3:25 pm
When the adults in the room lay out the reality… the war crowd get scarce.
It’s easy to be a shouting Yahoo especially when boobs like Biden claim an ultimatum… we will defend Taiwan.
Serious consideration… leads to one conclusion:
War against China over Taiwan is a Strategic Blunder.
And, it’s corrupt politicians rattling the saber the hardest.
Don’t get played… Taiwan is the shining object meant to distract you from politicians taking money with their right hand behind their back (connected to China or war contracts) and rattling the saber with their left hand out front, “WE HAVE TO DEFEND TAIWAN!”
People who say they want to be tough on China by defending Taiwan are in on the game…
Or they’re a useful idiot… don’t go along with it.
They’re trying to play you, too!
Don’t be a dupe.
May 11, 2023 at 4:25 pm
What keeps me up at night?
China = 1.4 Billion Chinese thinking people
USA 350 Million Potpourri of ethnicities non like minded individuals.
May 12, 2023 at 5:56 pm
Taiwan is part of China.
There we go. Just solved that U.S. war problem, and saved millions of lives.