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Will Democrats Really Dump Joe Biden for 2024?

Joe Biden
US President Joe Biden.

President Joe Biden has had a tough first year in office. After promising to “shut down the virus, not the economy,” Biden oversaw a rapid increase in COVID cases and multiple new strains of the virus. Inflation is running even hotter than the Fed expected, surging by 7.5% in January compared to the previous year, and the Heritage Foundation’s annual index of Economic Freedom put the state of the U.S. economy at an all-time low.

Combined with scenes of men falling from planes during the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan and widespread anger at Democrat-backed mask and COVID vaccine mandates, it’s no surprise that President Biden’s approval ratings are hovering at an average of 40% – with some polls showing the figure significantly lower.

While 2024 is still some time away, soon after this year’s midterm elections the Democratic Party will need to look inwards and decide whether President Joe Biden’s popularity can improve sufficiently to fend off a potential re-match with former President Donald Trump.

So far, it isn’t looking good.

Majority of Democrats Don’t Want Biden in 2024

Joe Biden isn’t only unpopular with Republicans and Independents – a new poll released by CNN on Sunday reveals how a majority of registered Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents think the party should look elsewhere for the 2024 nomination.

45% of Democrats said that Biden should be renominated, while 51% said an alternative should be found. Just 5% didn’t have an opinion.

Those who don’t want Biden to run again are split on the reason why, with some expressing discontent with his performance so far and others concerned that his poor performance puts the party at risk. 31% of those who said the party needs a new candidate said it’s because they don’t want Biden to remain in office, while 35% said they don’t think Biden could win against a Republican candidate.

CNN Conflates Biden Unpopularity with Trump’s GOP Dominance

Whatever way one looks at it, President Joe Biden is not on a good footing with American voters as a whole, and certainly not with his party.

CNN, however, curiously compared Joe Biden’s unpopularity within his party with the Republican Party’s (entirely expected and normal) uncertainty over who should be the next nominee, over two years away from the 2024 Republican National Convention.

“A significant number of both Democrats and Republicans currently hope to see their parties find alternatives to President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump in the next presidential election, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS,” CNN reported.

After revealing the results of the latest Biden poll, the news site described how Republican voters are “about evenly split between wanting their party to nominate Trump again (50%) or wanting a different candidate (49%).”

The comparison, however, does not take into account former President Donald Trump’s approval rating among Republicans during his time in office. Even during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic in mid-2020, Trump’s approval rating reached 90% according to a Hill-HarrisX poll.

If Joe Biden expects to take the Democrats’ nomination in 2024 as easily as Trump did in 2020, he’ll need to see his 45% support within his party rise significantly.

 Jack Buckby is a British author, counter-extremism researcher, and journalist based in New York. Reporting on the U.K., Europe, and the U.S., he works to analyze and understand left-wing and right-wing radicalization, and report on Western governments’ approaches to the pressing issues of today. His books and research papers explore these themes and propose pragmatic solutions to our increasingly polarized society.

Written By

Jack Buckby is a British author, counter-extremism researcher, and journalist based in New York. Reporting on the U.K., Europe, and the U.S., he works to analyze and understand left-wing and right-wing radicalization, and reports on Western governments’ approaches to the pressing issues of today. His books and research papers explore these themes and propose pragmatic solutions to our increasingly polarized society.

5 Comments

5 Comments

  1. Commentar

    February 16, 2022 at 8:52 am

    In all probability, Biden will dump himself. (Dump himself into the dust heap of history.)

    People generally age according to a gradually sloping-gradient manner but at some point after reaching advanced years, there’s a steep drop where the person’s faculties are noticeably affected. This is what has happened to JOE BIDEN.

    Biden is like a stiff (ded Mann) walking with hunched body and shuffling feet and fading memory and unable to collect or gather his train of thoughts, thus mumbling threats against Putin as if he was making them for the very first time.

    Biden will be finished before 2024 and will likely end up putting himself inside a wooden box.

  2. Mike Biggs

    February 16, 2022 at 11:35 am

    I’m getting very tired of seeing this deceitful line being repeated in the old stream media about the potato running again. He will not be running as he is incapable of any thought process due to advanced dementia and alzheimer. Such speculation is simply not being truthful as to the facts surrounding his advanced medical condition. There are already others democrats running to to Connecticut and trying the waters there for a run. They’re actions clearly show that he won’t be and can’t run for a 2nd term.

  3. The Viper

    February 16, 2022 at 2:57 pm

    Guarantee that after the midterms, the MSM will start the chatter about the 25th amendment. Kamala sucks, but they’ve gotta know they can’t do much worse than what’s happening with the vegetable.

  4. Tory Livingston

    February 17, 2022 at 8:40 pm

    Biden and Trump are the candidates for 2024. Both are a shoe in for their party’s nomination. Biden will finish his term, and yes he will run again. Who is going to replace him that is more popular? Oh just someone, like the Invisible Man, just someone. How about no one? It’s common sense. He’s the incumbent. If he wants the DNC nomination, he’s got it, and polls higher than other candidate within his party. Trump beats every candidate on the Republican ticket by a landslide all the same. 2024 will be a rematch of 2020, only this time Trump will win the election. It will be 1892 all over again. Everyone should see this coming rather objectively, and lay off all the worthless scenarios each thinks will play out. Trump will be the 45th AND 47th President, which is why no one is replacing Biden in the meantime, otherwise he would be the 48th. Our system is run by the numbers so that’s not happening. Trump is the next President. Not Harris, not anyone else. Argue about it perhaps, disagree maybe, but watch it happen.

  5. Tony77019

    May 31, 2022 at 9:30 am

    Biden is very weak. My friends tell me he’s senile, but he has always been a mess of contradictions. He just can’t sustain momentum because he gets in his way. I totally disagreed with withdrawing from Afghanistan, his press secretary is a Moveon.org snowflake, and he can’t even sustain popularity on Ukraine. Garland is horrible, there is no other way to put it.

    The midterms will be a wipeout, Biden will be impeached, and those Dems who always grind their teeth will have not choice.

    Schumer must be the worst majority leader in history. Another do nothing guy. I won’t vote for Republicans but, my God, wake up Democrats.

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