President Joe Biden has had a tough first year in office. After promising to “shut down the virus, not the economy,” Biden oversaw a rapid increase in COVID cases and multiple new strains of the virus. Inflation is running even hotter than the Fed expected, surging by 7.5% in January compared to the previous year, and the Heritage Foundation’s annual index of Economic Freedom put the state of the U.S. economy at an all-time low.
Combined with scenes of men falling from planes during the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan and widespread anger at Democrat-backed mask and COVID vaccine mandates, it’s no surprise that President Biden’s approval ratings are hovering at an average of 40% – with some polls showing the figure significantly lower.
While 2024 is still some time away, soon after this year’s midterm elections the Democratic Party will need to look inwards and decide whether President Joe Biden’s popularity can improve sufficiently to fend off a potential re-match with former President Donald Trump.
So far, it isn’t looking good.
Majority of Democrats Don’t Want Biden in 2024
Joe Biden isn’t only unpopular with Republicans and Independents – a new poll released by CNN on Sunday reveals how a majority of registered Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents think the party should look elsewhere for the 2024 nomination.
45% of Democrats said that Biden should be renominated, while 51% said an alternative should be found. Just 5% didn’t have an opinion.
Those who don’t want Biden to run again are split on the reason why, with some expressing discontent with his performance so far and others concerned that his poor performance puts the party at risk. 31% of those who said the party needs a new candidate said it’s because they don’t want Biden to remain in office, while 35% said they don’t think Biden could win against a Republican candidate.
CNN Conflates Biden Unpopularity with Trump’s GOP Dominance
Whatever way one looks at it, President Joe Biden is not on a good footing with American voters as a whole, and certainly not with his party.
CNN, however, curiously compared Joe Biden’s unpopularity within his party with the Republican Party’s (entirely expected and normal) uncertainty over who should be the next nominee, over two years away from the 2024 Republican National Convention.
“A significant number of both Democrats and Republicans currently hope to see their parties find alternatives to President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump in the next presidential election, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS,” CNN reported.
After revealing the results of the latest Biden poll, the news site described how Republican voters are “about evenly split between wanting their party to nominate Trump again (50%) or wanting a different candidate (49%).”
The comparison, however, does not take into account former President Donald Trump’s approval rating among Republicans during his time in office. Even during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic in mid-2020, Trump’s approval rating reached 90% according to a Hill-HarrisX poll.
If Joe Biden expects to take the Democrats’ nomination in 2024 as easily as Trump did in 2020, he’ll need to see his 45% support within his party rise significantly.
Jack Buckby is a British author, counter-extremism researcher, and journalist based in New York. Reporting on the U.K., Europe, and the U.S., he works to analyze and understand left-wing and right-wing radicalization, and report on Western governments’ approaches to the pressing issues of today. His books and research papers explore these themes and propose pragmatic solutions to our increasingly polarized society.