War in Ukraine Over in Two Weeks? After peace talks continued on Tuesday between Ukrainian and Russian government officials, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that the positions of both countries during the discussions are starting to sound more realistic.
In a video address released on Wednesday, Zelenskyy said that the meetings will continue and that he is informed that the positions established during negotiations so far “already sound more realistic.”
“But time is still needed for the decisions to be in the interests of Ukraine,” he added.
A senior official from the Ukrainian government also said on Tuesday that while the discussions were difficult, there is “certainly room for compromise.”
NATO Membership Off the Cards?
During a meeting with leaders of the Joint Expeditionary Force on Tuesday, President Zelenskyy indicated that Ukraine was willing to agree to demands from Russia that his country does not join NATO.
Zelensky took part in a meeting of representatives of the Joint Expeditionary Force, an Anglo-French military force, and offered his vision of how to stop Russian aggression in his country. Speaking to British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, Zelenskyy said that his people “will always remember who came to the rescue at the most difficult time” for the country and that the world needs to establish new security guarantees.
“The Russian invasion of Ukraine destroyed everything that security in our region – and I am sure international security – was based on,” he said. “The weight of the organizations we all hoped for, the force of international conventions, it has also called into question the world’s most powerful alliance, NATO.”
Ukraine has been trying to become a member of NATO since 2008, but Zelenskyy said that his country must admit that NATO does not appear willing to accept Ukraine.
“For years we have heard about the supposedly open door, but we have also heard that we should not enter, and this is true and we must admit it,” he said.
A Deal May Be a “Week or Two Away” – and Why That’s Convenient
Oleksiy Arestovich, one of Zelenskyy’s top aides, predicted that the war in Ukraine could end within a matter of weeks and that a peace deal will eventually be struck when Russian troops run out of resources.
“We are at a fork in the road now. There will either be a peace deal struck very quickly, within a week or two, with troop withdrawal and everything, or there will be an attempt to scrape together some, say, Syrians for a round two. And when we grind them too, an agreement by mid-April or late April,” Arestovich said this week.
“I think that no later than in May, early May, we should have a peace agreement. Maybe much earlier, we will see.”
Arestovich’s prediction that a peace deal could be struck within 14 days aligns with a prediction from a senior British defense source that Russian troops may only be able to keep up their current momentum for two more weeks.
“As long as we keep pressing they’ve got 10 to 14 days before reaching their culminating point. That’s when the strength of Ukraine’s resistance should become greater than Russia’s attacking force,” the British official told The Daily Mail.
Might Russia agree to a deal if its military is unable to take control of Kiev this month?
Jack Buckby is a British author, counter-extremism researcher, and journalist based in New York. Reporting on the U.K., Europe, and the U.S., he works to analyze and understand left-wing and right-wing radicalization, and report on Western governments’ approaches to the pressing issues of today. His books and research papers explore these themes and propose pragmatic solutions to our increasingly polarized society.
March 16, 2022 at 12:13 pm
What plans for Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine are known only to the Kremlin, the Russian Ministry of Defense and the Russian General Staff. Any articles about Russia’s plans by others are nothing but fantasies.
William Tolin Gay
March 17, 2022 at 12:28 pm
Firearm Safety Rule #2: Keep your finger off the trigger until you’re ready to fire.
The former head of the KGB doesn’t know how to handle a rifle. No wonder Russia is struggling in Ukraine.
Matthew H Jacobs
March 17, 2022 at 5:15 pm
IMO…When Putin takes the capital of Ukraine that starts the beginning of the Insurrection…
March 17, 2022 at 7:23 pm
One surprising thing has been made crystal clear by this Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Russia is far weaker, and less militarily capable than anyone thought.
If Russia is unable to subdue a small country on their doorstep without bringing in foreign mercenaries, their military capability has been clearly overestimated.
March 17, 2022 at 9:21 pm
Putin has a problem, Sergei Shoigu has many honors and is a good man to have in a logistics operation but his previous experience was in the Russian equivalent of FEMA. Dealing with emergencies. In a flood, blizzard or other disaster nobody is destroying your supply lines or flanking you positions. What Putin needs is a general that can anticipate the foe and knows when and where to consolidate. The catch is that such a general also knows when a war is dishonorable. When it is lost. He knows when to fall back and when to surrender. General von Choltitz, Paulus, and admiral Dönitz all knew when to surrender even though they all expected the noose. None were hung. The best Russian officers will know this. Putin needs an obedient fighting fool. They do not win wars.
March 18, 2022 at 2:08 am
Two weeks is when Ukrainian troops run out of groceries. Not accepting the Russians are out of supplies since they didn’t use much to control the areas they targeted.
April 25, 2022 at 9:17 am
827249 271009good post. Neer knew this, thankyou for letting me know. 719924