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Smart Bombs: Military, Defense and National Security

Putin Has a Problem: Russia Is Out Of Options To Win the War in Ukraine

Ukraine Ka-52
Ka-52 Alligator helicopter. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

On day 37 of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Russian troops are still failing their primary objectives while the Ukrainian forces are launching limited counterattacks, reclaiming lost territory.

Meanwhile, a helicopter raid on an oil depot in the Russian city of Belgorod raises questions about the identity of the attackers.

The drama in Mariupol continues. Russian forces have failed to take the city with ground troops, and so they have resorted to a campaign of indiscriminate bombing. A humanitarian relief convoy is trying to reach the Ukrainian port city.

Ukraine Counterattacks 

In its daily estimate of the war, the British Ministry of Defense assessed that the Ukrainian military is counterattacking in places and making topical gains. It remains to be seen what actual offensive capability the Ukrainian military can mount—defending is easier than attacking.

“Ukrainian forces have retaken the villages of Sloboda and Lukashivka to the south of Chernihiv and located along one of the main supply routes between the city and Kyiv. Ukraine has also continued to make successful but limited counterattacks to the east and northeast of Kyiv. Both Chernihiv and Kyiv have been subjected to continued air and missile strikes despite Russian claims of reducing activity in these areas,” the British Military Intelligence assessed.

The Ukrainian Ministry of Defense claimed that as of Friday, Ukrainian forces have killed approximately 17,700 Russian troops (and wounded approximately thrice that number), destroyed 143 fighter, attack, and transport jets, 131 helicopters, 625 tanks, 316 artillery pieces, 1,751 armored personnel carriers, 96 Multiple Launch Rocket Systems (MLRS), seven boats, 1,220 vehicles, 76 fuel tanks, 54 anti-aircraft batteries, 85 unmanned aerial systems, 22 special equipment platforms, such as bridging vehicles, and four mobile Iskander ballistic missile systems.

Of course, these numbers should be taken with a grain of salt. Official numbers are always erring on the side of more enemy casualties. But independent reporting from the ground and official U.S. and NATO assessments indicate that the Russian military is, in fact, losing troops and materiel close to the Ukrainian figures.

Meanwhile, the U.S. is committed to providing Ukraine with the means to resist the Russian invaders.

“I think it is self-evident based on what we’ve seen since Putin invaded on February 24 — as we’ve seen their economy collapse; we’ve seen the ruble collapse. You know, the impact of his choice has been significant. And we’re going to continue to advance our strategy of doing everything we can to ensure that Ukraine is — has what they need to continue to push back on Russian aggression,” White House Director of Communications Kate Bedingfield said during a press conference on Thursday.

Strategic Strike or False Flag?

On Friday night, two Mi-24 helicopters attacked an oil depot in the Russian city of Belgorod, which is close to the Ukrainian border. Video footage of the attack shows the helicopters launching several missiles against the humongous oil storage tanks.

But the Ukrainian General Staff hasn’t verified that the attack against the oil depot was conducted by Ukrainian helicopters, raising questions if the event was a Russian false flag operation in order to justify more brutal methods against Ukraine.

But besides launching a tactical nuke, the Russian military can’t really do anything more. They’ve already fired more than 1,500 ballistic and cruise missiles against military and civilian targets and are shelling Ukrainian cities indiscriminately.

1945’s New Defense and National Security Columnist, Stavros Atlamazoglou is a seasoned defense journalist specializing in special operations, a Hellenic Army veteran (national service with the 575th Marine Battalion and Army HQ), and a Johns Hopkins University graduate. His work has been featured in Business InsiderSandboxx, and SOFREP.

1945’s Defense and National Security Columnist, Stavros Atlamazoglou is a seasoned defense journalist with specialized expertise in special operations, a Hellenic Army veteran (national service with the 575th Marine Battalion and Army HQ), and a Johns Hopkins University graduate. His work has been featured in Business Insider, Sandboxx, and SOFREP.

6 Comments

6 Comments

  1. Alex

    April 1, 2022 at 8:45 am

    Judging by the map of hostilities, things are very bad for the Ukrainian military and the Nazis, Russia is liberating more and more settlements, surrounding the remaining enemy forces. We can all see the video from independent journalists in the USA, Germany, China and other countries right from the war zone and they confirm the data on the war maps.
    I have only one question: why not be ashamed to write your fantasies diluting them with false propaganda of the Ukrainian authorities? In the 21st century, finding truthful information is very, very easy.

  2. Shaz

    April 1, 2022 at 9:49 am

    Alex, It would seem that you’re only interested in reading Putin’s fairy stories. How you have the nerve to tell anyone that they should be ashamed when your thug Putin is on a murdering rampage.
    There is absolutely no justification for destroying a Country, displacing millions of people, killing civilians, let alone Putin’s pathetic excuse of a few so called right wingers or so called (Nazis). Insanity!
    Putin thought Ukrainians were like the Russian people, without a backbone and would cower to his Russian thugs. How wrong he is.

  3. Alex

    April 1, 2022 at 11:52 am

    I absolutely do not care that some Bandera Nazis or just stupid people think that I am Russian. Call me an Ethiopian. I have already mentioned the names of respected journalists from the United States and Germany who were or are right now in Ukraine. Your lies are just as indifferent to me. But on the other hand, thanks to real journalists, different people saw how the Nazi Bandera Donbass were tortured and killed for 8 years. These facts cannot be hidden by any lies and propaganda. The special military operation for denazification and demilitarization is carried out not by the Ways, but by the Russian military, supported by 84% of the population of Russia and 100% of the population of Donbass. If you do not know something or are stupid – keep silent, no one will know about your stupidity.

  4. Jason

    April 1, 2022 at 12:53 pm

    Alex, you are a dirty stinking russian troll. The end.

  5. Robert

    April 1, 2022 at 1:16 pm

    AH Alex, the perpetual Russian troll on this page. I hope you get to experience the “liberation” the people are horrifically suffering through in Ukraine. The Russians are recording their war crimes on their phones and are being found on their rotting corpses, they’ve executed civilians, raped women and children, and have put a stain on Russia and it’s supporters that can never be washed off. Enjoy supporting the modern day Hitler, history will judge you people as harshly as the supporters of Hitler.

  6. Alex

    April 3, 2022 at 7:30 pm

    How easy it is to expose a Bandera Nazi: there is not a single video where Russians commit war crimes, but there are dozens and hundreds of videos of Bandera Nazis, where they torture and mock not only Russians, but even Ukrainians, if the Ukrainians want to leave the settlement and do not want to be a human shield. Not a single war crime of the Bandera Nazis will go unpunished.

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