It has now been almost three years since the Norwegian Nobel Committee announced Abiy Ahmed as the recipient of the 2019 Nobel Peace Prize “for his efforts to achieve peace and international cooperation.” Abiy received international plaudits. CNN called him a “modern day African leader.” Other African leaders congratulated him on twitter.
Terrence Lyons, a professor of conflict resolution at the Carter School, praised other aspects of Ethiopia’s tremendous progress under Abiy. He released political prisoners and opened political space. “Political prisoners were released, the repressive civil society law scrapped, and independent media rebounded. Exiled movements that had been labeled as terrorists – such as Ginbot 7, the Oromo Liberation Front, and the Ogaden National Liberation Front – agreed to end their armed struggles and returned to Ethiopia and registered as political parties,” Lyons explained. He continued to report that Abiy had strengthened civil society and laid the groundwork for a Truth and Reconciliation Commission to explore the abuses of previous regimes. As important, Ethiopia began to meet its economic potential as an African giant.
From Promise to Pariah
Today, that promise is gone. The Nobel Committee may not be able to revoke its prize, but it chastised Abiy in a way that exceeded admonishments of other recipients whose commitment to peace eventually waned.
Abiy and his partisans believe such criticism is unfair. He and his supporters grow frustrated that the international community largely discounts their narrative surrounding the start of the Tigray War and its conduct. Too often, this frustration manifests itself in either personal attacks or conspiracy theories, both of which exacerbate Abiy’s relationship with the broader international community. It may be satisfying to blame others, but it is immature. If Abiy wants to know how he lost the world, he need only consider his own actions.
Alas, he is unwilling to do this. Earlier this month, I had the opportunity to sit in on a conversation with an Ethiopian Cabinet-level official and ask him what lessons the Abiy government had learned from the past two years of civil war. After all, there are two major parties to the conflict, and to suggest the fault rests solely with Abiy’s enemies is not realistic. Even if Abiy believes truth is fully on his side, responsible political and military leadership should constantly assess and adjust tactics. Abiy’s does not, for the simple reason they do not acknowledge mistakes.
This could suggest many dynamics, none of which is good for Ethiopia. First, Abiy may truly be unable to recognize the error of his ways. He may have a messiah complex and believe that he can do no wrong. Second, Abiy may so terrorize those around him that they either self-censor or fear contradicting their boss. In a sense, this was the dynamic at play when Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman allegedly ordered the murder of Washington Post columnist and Muslim Brotherhood activist Jamal Khashoggi. That many long-time visitors to Ethiopia report public fear approaching what Ethiopia experienced under the Derg should raise alarms.
Volume over Substance
Also contributing to the collapse of Abiy’s reputation has been the Ethiopian government’s over-the-top response to criticism and its ineffective diplomacy. Too often, Abiy and his regime substitute volume for substantive engagement. The Ethiopian Embassy in Washington, D.C. is a non-entity. Its diplomats are less active than those of countries a fraction of Ethiopia’s size.
Rather than engage professionally, the Abiy regime prefers to rely on trolls. Such tactics always backfire. They did not work for Somalia’s Mohamed Farmajo or Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Rather, online polemics became self-defeating as the leaders themselves began to confuse paid and imaginary courtiers with legitimate opinions. Trolls seldom change the opinion of policymakers for the simple reason that the latter do not spend their time online, let alone on a platform prone to manipulation and dominated by anonymous persons.
For the Ethiopian government to use trolls to punish opinions it dislikes also backfires because it antagonizes rather than changes minds. If Abiy’s government believed in the justice of its cause, it should be able to use facts to cajole and convince rather than simply lob insults. Perhaps Abiy believed he could use trolls to attack diplomats, foreign analysts, and academics, and then conduct business as usual through official channels. This fools no one. When government-paid trolls throw fireballs, it reflects on all serving Ethiopian diplomats and ministers. It disqualifies them in the court of normal relations.
Perhaps one of the reasons for Abiy’s slash-and-burn diplomatic strategy is a mindset that exaggerates Ethiopia’s importance to non-Ethiopians. At its core, Abiy treats anyone who does not agree completely with him as an enemy. Here, he repeats the experience of Erdogan, Turkey’s president. The West once saw Erdogan as a moderate and a bridge-builder. But years of dismissing even mild criticism as evidence of affiliation with terrorist groups backfired. Rather than being silenced, Abiy’s critics, diplomats, and even his earlier cheerleaders began to question his grip on reality. He antagonized so many figures at home and abroad that today he can rely only on his own family.
It is also incorrect to adopt the “with us or against us” mindset for domestic politics. When Abiy supporters suggest criticism of his conduct of the Tigray war means affinity for the Tigrayan People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), he appears paranoid if not a loon. That his supporters suggest criticism of Abiy and partiality toward the Tigryans is racist does Abiy no favors. It makes as much sense as suggesting that support for Ukraine over Russia is motivated by anti-white sentiment.
Confusing Propaganda with Reality
Abiy may be frustrated that the world in general and Washington, in particular, do not share his conclusions about the TPLF as a terrorist group. Arguments that the TPLF is to Addis Ababa what al Qaeda is to Washington are ridiculous. The TPLF was the dominant party in Ethiopia’s governing coalition from 1991 to 2018. While Abiy is correct that the TPLF committed human rights abuses during its rule – one in which he participated both as director-general of the Information Network Security Agency and later as a minister – simply reclassifying political rivals as a terrorist group and then growing angry when the international community does not follow suit is self-defeating. Even if the TPLF was a terror group, there is no justification for the collective punishment and mass starvation that Abiy has directed. Increasingly, Abiy’s vitriol toward the TPLF appears to be a projection or his own mindset, and not rooted in reality.
Abiy’s arguments fail to resonate in other ways. His supporters say the TPLF fired the first shots on Nov. 3, 2020, when Tigrayan forces attacked the Northern Command headquarters. But the speed and scale of the Ethiopian reaction suggest prior planning on Abiy’s part. This in turn leads foreign analysts to interpret Tigrayan action as pre-emption rather than aggression.
Allies also matter. To make peace with Eritrean dictator Isaias Afwerki is one thing; to collaborate actively with him is another. That Abiy appears to have blessed a foreign invasion of Ethiopia is treasonous on its face. Abiy’s alliance with former Somalian President Mohamed Farmajo, a man who collaborated with Al-Shabaab and sought to extend his own term illegally, is almost as stigmatizing. Friends matter. Simply put, Abiy’s hatred led him to the disqualifying embrace of rogues. He may blame the outside world, but he took that journey of his own accord.
The Problem is Abiy, not Ethiopia
Abiy embraces the attitude, l’état, c’est moi, but he is wrong. Ethiopia is a great nation. It is not a single man. Abiy’s campaign in Tigray has been a disaster. It should mark the end of Abiy’s rule, but that does not mean an end to Ethiopia – unless Ethiopians continue to follow Abiy on his suicide mission. Here, an Iraq analogy is useful. In the 1980s, Saddam Hussein slaughtered the Iraqi Kurds in the Anfal genocide. Rather than divorce Iraq completely, Iraqi Kurds still mark Iraqi Army Day each year on Jan. 6. To date, they realize Saddam was the problem, but see the Iraqi Army as an institution to respect.
A year ago, Abiy might have used external diplomacy to shield himself from accountability for his own actions. Today it is too late. He has condemned himself and Ethiopia to pariah status, and has become an impediment to both peace and to Ethiopia’s efforts to secure an influence commensurate with its size, history, and economic potential.
Abiy may persevere as Robert Mugabe did, but Ethiopia will pay the price, just as Zimbabwe did. The simple reality is the United States, European Union, and many African countries no longer see Abiy as redeemable. For peace and prosperity in Ethiopia, the only course of action is Abiy’s exit. If, when, and how that happens will be a question for Ethiopians only. The lone certainty is that Abiy’s legacy will be shaped less by his Nobel Prize and more by the revelations of a future Truth and Reconciliation Committee.
September 28, 2022 at 2:10 pm
Which is true,please help the people of Ethiopia.
Gosaye F Kaba
September 28, 2022 at 2:17 pm
I admire the remarkable details on the context of Ethiopia conflict and conclusion made. The depressing aspect of the article is the usual eurocentric view of Ethiopia that is no mention of the 62 million Oromos nation and other ethnic groups who are up in arms with Abiy regime.Most of all the article assume like many eurocentric writers binary view of the nation and nationality issue and the endless rehithoric to maintain the narrative that support the territorial integrity of the colonial boundary at any cost.
September 28, 2022 at 3:15 pm
Another well explained analysis about Abiy Ahmed Ali make no sense leadership.
September 28, 2022 at 3:15 pm
The author is a tplf salaried guy who sold his professional conduct for penny.
September 28, 2022 at 5:57 pm
I couldn’t agree more.
September 28, 2022 at 6:11 pm
I Don’t expect rational view from ProTPLF writer!
September 28, 2022 at 8:02 pm
You have made a slight change of approach, but always stanch advocate for the TPLF cause. Abiy enjoys strong support by most Ethiopians. He got elected with strong mandate during the war. The war against TPLF (not Tigray) has a very strong support in the rest of Ethiopia. Abiy has not found a way to save Tigray from TPLF, a party that remained a regional libation front even after 27 years of power over entire Ethiopia. These are all facts you do not wan to admit.
September 28, 2022 at 9:35 pm
This is not a serious article. First, the author blames Twitter online “trolls” on PM Abiy Ahmed. This is very simplistic and elementary. After all, is President Biden to blame for trolls that attack anything MAGA? Additionally, just because a majority of Ethiopians defend their country via Twitter/FB posts does not make them trolls…how about they just love their country which is being attacked by the likes of the author nonstop.
Second, the article is filled with conjecture such as diagnosing PM Abiy with a messiah complex. This is nothing but an opinion and you know what they say about opinions.
Third, the author offers no evidence for most of his claims such as “Abiy treats anyone who does not agree completely with him as an enemy”. What is the evidence for this claim? I can provide a lot of evidence of the opposite such as members of parliament disagreeing with him countless times and still maintaining good relations. He also released members of TPLF leadership and coup organizers (Sebhat Nega, Mulu G/Egziabher, Kidusan Nega) as a show of good faith.
Lastly, he argues that the the U.S, EU and other do not see Abiy as “redeemable”. Again, this is just the authors opinion. The evidence suggests otherwise. U.S Special Envoy Mike Hammer recently said he “appreciated” Abiys admin.
September 28, 2022 at 9:48 pm
Wow! What an insight article about Abiye psychi! Many say you released only a few pages and hid the rest not to expose Abiye’s weaknesses.
Others blame you as proTPLF.
Who tells the truth?
September 28, 2022 at 10:13 pm
Indeed, well said sir. As Eritrean I knew it, once he became a puppet of Issias Afewrki Eritrea,things could not go in the right direction and that was his biggest mistake.
Mohammed M Omar
September 28, 2022 at 10:14 pm
Nothing new in this article that has not been said before by Abiy’s detractors and tplf paid agents! Dr. Michael Rubin is a Senior Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), I rest my case! FYI: The Nobel prize is, as the name suggests, is a “peace prize” for making peace between Ethiopia and Eritrea after 20+ years of hostilities and that peace still holds thus the prize have nothing to do with what is going on currently in Ethiopia. Unless the prize is, not for peace but to buy his obedience to the US, EU and UN. Dr. Michael Rubin, we know who butters your bread!
September 28, 2022 at 10:33 pm
Where are you been when TPLF killing 1000s of people killed and tortured for 27 years. Abiy Ahmed did not choose the war. Peace always requires both side. The writer of this article is TPLF supporter because it’s not based on the truth and evidence. 100% biased.
Fesh T Michael
September 28, 2022 at 10:42 pm
A brilliant analysis that exposes the madness in today’s Ethiopia led by PM Abiy Ahmed
September 29, 2022 at 1:53 am
He might have lost the world support according to your site. But he gained whole Ethiopians heart and trust. He is the only president trying to work his way through legitimate way of work and developing the country.
So please kindly research and be loyal to your readers the least you owe the readers is your honesty not lies.
September 29, 2022 at 3:16 am
Ethiopian government they like all world good conditions my president soomaliya and reyzul wazare abeia ahmed good condition 2 country
September 29, 2022 at 4:08 am
The piece is full of weak and wishful analogies that are not up to standard and lack political knowledge. It is one-sided, politically motivated, slanted, and ineffective. Its faulty analogy portrays Ethiopia’s history, political resilience, and current position as simple and ruined by fabrication and sham on trash publications like this one. Person and publication are completely useless!
September 29, 2022 at 4:13 am
What is then the solution to the Tigris situation ? What actions should you recommend to either side?
How can Aethiopia be once again united?
Hellenic culture came from you and from Vedic before
Africa needs to be the leader once again
September 29, 2022 at 4:24 am
As soon as I saw the name Rubin I knew what to expect.
Lover of the TPLF.Say no more.
September 29, 2022 at 5:02 am
This article is based on assumptions and false narrative of Ethiopia. Why do these writers have to be sensational in their approach in making believe that they have the answers and profound analysis of the situation in Ethiopia. Give me a break.
September 29, 2022 at 6:17 am
Neither Abey Nor TPLF are important to Ethiopia. The issue is who is less harmful to Ethiopia and what is the stand behind this dictators?Well, PM Abiy does work for one Ethiopia while the stand of TPLF i.e Tigray people libration front, is to distablize Ethiopia and build the Greater Tigray republic on the burial of Ethiopians. For this, the TPLF has explicitly targeted two things. 1) Extending territory f Tigray through cleansing the neighbour ethnic Amhara. As you know, they already have stated explicitly that thier enemy is the ethnic Amhara. 2) Attacking the Ethiopian largest Northern command which had 70-80% the nation’s overall capacity. By now, TPLF is working on both of these and you said nothing about this. On the other hand PM Abiy wishes to see Ethinic oromo dominated Ethiopia.He also dies for power and can do it at all cost. I understand of course he tricked the western to sell Ethiopia on the cost of Nobel prize. Unfortunately, it did not worked out as intended and now you are working on it. However, we Ethiopians do not want both of these dictators. Dr. Michael Rubin seems to go for TPLF on behalf of innocent Ethiopians, as he does always. I do not think so you wrote this article on your own. I can see the words of Getachew Reda, who is the spokesperson for TPLF. Please, be human
September 29, 2022 at 6:43 am
Mr. Rubin, You can demonize PM Abiy all you want, whatever your motives are. However, Ethiopians are in full support of his regime no matter how says what. You can never convince us otherwise, Ever!!
September 29, 2022 at 6:46 am
I have one simple question.Have you ever visited the country? The tragedy in all this is that American foreign policy is shaped by people like you,pompous,self righteous and condescending. That mindset led America to disastrous war in Iraq. The war with TPLF is more than one person.Advocating for a duly elected leader to be removed will unleash the likes of destruction your pompous mind cannot even fathom.
September 29, 2022 at 6:57 am
The author is a paid agent who deliberately writes blatant lies and opposition against Dr Abiy Ahmed on behalf of the TPLF on various outlets.
September 29, 2022 at 7:25 am
TPLF-agent. I could try to see some of your points if it was not your obvious one-sidedness.
September 29, 2022 at 8:29 am
While writing these lengthy sentence, it seems that u are well paid to blacken one’s reputation and only side one group of people ignoring others as if Ethiopia is made up of one superior nation. You said nothing about the infliction of major population of the country. A dog barks to the gate of his master.
September 29, 2022 at 9:31 am
Analysis of a CIA paid pseudo analyst, protecting America’s Neo-Colonialism will not get you nowhere Africans came a long way understanding who their friends and their enemies are accept the slogan Ethiopians and many Africans are saying ” No More ” USA dictatorship in Africa, white men like you should swallow this bitter pill. Please stop writing anything about Ethiopians and Africans instead concentrate on US racial problems and Israel and Palestine conflict.
September 29, 2022 at 10:43 am
This is an intellectual prostitution. Very one sided and not objective.
September 29, 2022 at 12:07 pm
Thank you for your clear and uncompromising analysis of the situation in Ethiopia and Abiy’s role in the mess the country is in. In any developed society, seige and starving millions won’t fit into any of formal rules of engagement. To hold seige of a population, in order to break a nation, is what we are witnessing in Ethiopia. Unfortunately however, the world is choosing to look aside. Your clearly stated understanding of the situation hopefully will better inform the international community.
September 29, 2022 at 12:34 pm
Please be fair to make news, where you was TPLF trying to distorted & displace millions of our people this TPLF came to amhara region killed innocent people where you was that time our federal government sending humanitarian items by his Owen trying to solve the problem by dialogue that time the TPLF is going to killed our military , Now our federal government after too patience trying to offensive activity you are reporting one side this is not ethical, Dr Abiye Ahmed our pride wise leader we proud of his leadership’s his legacy’s is not only Ethiopia it is beyond .
September 29, 2022 at 12:43 pm
You made the Russian leader a Nobel laureate. So how did you break up Russia? You can’t touch Ethiopia. You know who you used to destroy the Derg government. The USA is the leader of a modern monarchy. People may be angry with Abiy Ahmed, but he will not come.
September 29, 2022 at 12:48 pm
Total rubbish, i have spent few minutes to go through this article, nothing more important is mentioned than what TPLF led crouds do?.
Ethiopians know how situations forced to go to war. Please mention one country leader who sit silently when few dozens of gangsters aim to desyrot his/her country. The noble peace prize is just nothing compared to one country’s sovereignty.
You can still spread hate & false narratives we Ethiopians determine to get rid of TPLF & CO.
September 29, 2022 at 1:36 pm
Your analysis concludes that you are either the neocolonialsit mind set writer or working for TPLF and collecting some $$ change.
All Ethiopians are with Abyi and Tigray brothers and sisters.
Do you really believe that the west cares for Tigray people more than Ethiopian citizens?
No one in their right mind thinks that the west cares for blacks let alone in Africa,the ones here in America are still living like slaves.
September 29, 2022 at 2:18 pm
Having a PhD, does not prove your intellectual capital being high unless and otherwise you use evidence-based analysis, and support your statement(s) with facts when you write about something. In your writing, you never mentioned about the brutal regime that was comprised of 99% of TPLF which ruled the country for 27 years under its arm fist. Let me give you one analogy. What was USA’s response to the December 7, 1941, the Japanese military launch (a surprise attack on the United States Naval Base at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii?) Did America kept quiet? No. But in retaliation to the Japanese brutal attack, America dropped atomic bomb on Hiroshima & Nagasaki. This action taken by America was direct result for the national defence, as it was attacked first. At the same token, after TPLF attacked and killed many members of the Ethiopian National Force who had camped in Tigray region. Do you think the Ethiopian government has to keep quite as if nothing happened? The massacred happened by TPLF forces on innocent Ethiopians in the place called Micadra, because of the dwellers are Amhara tribes. You never mentioned about this genocide either. I can mention many more attacks and killing of innocent Ethiopians by TPLF forces. Instead you write on your sugar coated non-factual story that seems like given to you by pro TPLF groups. Try to understand the difference between Tigray tribes who are part and parcel of Ethiopa whom every other Ethiopias love and adore and an elite members of TPLF who committed a lot of crimes in the name of Tigrian people on other Ethiopia tribes. We the majority Ethiopians think that it is only a personal attack directed towards Dr. Abeiy which your writing clearly depicts. Besides, Dr. Abiey is taking the country to a great progress and development, by which the TPLF members are very jealous of him doing better things to the people of Ethiopia on the contrary TPLF embezzled the country’s resources and wealth for 27 years. At last but never the less, Dr. Abeiy has full support of the people of Ethiopia and he is leading democratically elected government. Please stop being TPLF’s puppet. Instead use your brain correctly. Do your research, and look into carefully what the reality is on the ground.
September 29, 2022 at 2:20 pm
The article ignores POLTICAL VIOLENCE & WARMONGERING the root causes n essential characteristics of TPLF from it’s inception. TPLF(WOYANE) ruled by violence die by violence.
Abyi defected to Ethiopians side and confronted the vicious TPLF.The author seemed disappointed about Abiy for not kowtowing to USA &EU. The rest of the diatribes n self righteous statement is a smokescreen to hoodwink the gullible.Ethiopia is more than the twin evils of Tyrants. It’s only fate is determined by the valiantly patriots of Ethiopian people. TPLF & CO NUMERO UNO (NUMBER ONE) ENEMY AT THE PRESENT TIME.
BASHIR ALI FARAH
September 29, 2022 at 2:20 pm
Yes Viva Ethiopia. Thanks. United Ethiopia is essential. The TPLF with it’s mad leader should be eliminated and killed.
Exactly Dr Aby did great jobs with the peace with Eritrea. Now Ethiopia needs Unity and rid of Tigrenian bad leaders.
Professor Bashir Farah in political Science.
September 29, 2022 at 3:10 pm
A response to Yosi above
Since when is defending Abiy Ahmed a sign of defending Ethiopia ? Unless one is a deluded troll of course.
Yes Abiy Ahmed relies on trolls to do his public diplomacy as he see it. He has his trolls all over social media. He doesn’t hide this simple fact. Why would you ? He has Yutube channels on his pay – Yeneta being among the best known examples. A habitual liar , Abiy routinely spreads false information in a manner perhaps only rivalled by Trump himself.
Of course this is an opinion piece. What else did you think it was ! It is a well explained , well argued piece which coherently and plausibly analyses the true state of Ethiopia and the genocidal regime it has gripped it.
September 29, 2022 at 5:02 pm
Before came to write all faked notes better to see what happened in Ethiopia rural area
1/ do you have specific reason about the wars forward by TPLF.you don’t.
2/ why didn’t write about the death in Wollo region by TPLF attack. I am sorry.
3/l would like to remind you about Ethiopia, We Ethiopians know what to do,we fight to survive and extending.
September 29, 2022 at 5:26 pm
“…none of which is good for Ethiopia.” Really! Since when have you been appointed as advisor? Remember “Roosevelt declared the United States neutral” when Italy invaded Ethiopia
September 29, 2022 at 10:49 pm
Thi is why the world is in shambles, the thinking by the western scholars, the ” good guy and the bad guy” a notion that if you don’t follw me you are the enemy, this writing by the conservative, Dr.Michael Rubin is full of self-righteous zealotry and emperial narcissism. Africa needs brave and new leaders like Dr. ABYE, with astounding achievement in green preservation and agricultural production, Ethiopia
Will keep Dr.ABYE for peace and development. The struggle will continue against western scholars like you, who work for the interst of corporations.
September 30, 2022 at 12:17 am
The main problem of abiye ahmed is he don’t want be a puppet of the west thats why they try to black mail him tplf is rich they have money which they steel from ethiopia that they can hire this kind of person who can write bad article
September 30, 2022 at 1:29 am
This report was unfair especially, the Western don’t need a crtical as well as real leader in Ethiopia Dr. Abiy is abloutely genius & he couldn’t negotiate with Ethiopian National Interst that’s while they made tge country under sanction to accomplish their own mission.Therfore,We stand with Dr.Abiy Ahmed who was dedicated pays great concern on National Interst of the country.Pleasejust hadsof from Ethiopia!! There’s no more a puppet leader like TPLF who can be driven by your mission any more!!!
September 30, 2022 at 2:13 am
The mathematician neither bakes a loaf nor digs a field, but his science is the fundamental basis of knowledge to whose terms all things must be reduced for final and accurate expression. I don’t think you are. WHATEVER path in life a man may have chosen for himself or have had forced upon him, there comes a time when he looks back and asks himself whether it has been worthwhile, when he looks ahead and asks himself whether it is right to go on or had he better say and retrace his steps? The more sincere he is, the more faithful he is to the highest he knows, the oftener will come the heart-searching which is the highest tribute to Truth, a tribute infinitely higher than belief or sacrifice.
September 30, 2022 at 5:31 am
Full of garbage… We don’t expect rationale from a person who paid money from TPLF JUNTA. The worst thing is you are paid money that stolen from poor Ethiopians and in return you are disseminating fake information about the country. Very very sad… ?
September 30, 2022 at 5:35 am
Full of garbage. Actually, we don’t expect rationale from a person who paid money from TPLF JUNTA. The worst thing is you are paid money that stolen from poor Ethiopians and in return you are disseminating fake information about the country. It is very very sad ?
September 30, 2022 at 5:59 am
100 millioon people are with abiy ahmed.
Mind your own Bussiness
September 30, 2022 at 7:07 am
Rubin is paid Tplf
September 30, 2022 at 7:26 am
You just explianed other side of you government propoganda. Dr. Abiy might have his weakness but still doing his best to bring better future.
You wrote this not because you concerned for the conflict. You do not want to see Dr. Abiy as PM of Ethiopia.
September 30, 2022 at 11:51 am
“A year ago, Abiy might have used external diplomacy to shield himself from accountability for his own actions. Today it is too late. He has condemned himself and Ethiopia to pariah status, and has become an impediment to both peace and to Ethiopia’s efforts to secure an influence commensurate with its size, history, and economic potential.
Abiy may persevere as Robert Mugabe did, but Ethiopia will pay the price, just as Zimbabwe did. The simple reality is the United States, European Union, and many African countries no longer see Abiy as redeemable. For peace and prosperity in Ethiopia, the only course of action is Abiy’s exit. If, when, and how that happens will be a question for Ethiopians only. The lone certainty is that Abiy’s legacy will be shaped less by his Nobel Prize and more by the revelations of a future Truth and Reconciliation Committee.”
Great insight that should serve policy makers and delusional Abiy supporters.
September 30, 2022 at 2:25 pm
You have finally exposed the reality of what’s taking place in Ethiopia. About a year ago Abiy could have got away with the crimes he committed in Tigray. Thats no longer the case. At this point the only option left is to continue with the war…..peace would mean facing justices at ICC. We Tigrayan’s have been de-humanized, tortured stigmatized and received a collective punishment by associating us with TPLF. The main dilemma for the Western world is to imagine an Ethiopia post Abiy. While they are imagining from the sideline my concern is what will happen to the 110 Ethiopians? What about the besieged Tigrayan’s who are desperately crying out for an international help?
September 30, 2022 at 4:30 pm
No reason for the topic is mentioned in the narration; rather the personal hatred you have for the individual is illuminated. One thing you should know is that Abiy is an Ethiopian leader elected by most. then you have to respect THESE GREAT PEOPLE.2nd, the World is not only the US, Europe and the puppets of it; You should go back and refer to the statistics before publishing such one sided, biased article. In fact you should feel ashamed by the comments given above. 3rd, what we (the Ethiopians) need is just leave us alone; do not pour fuel on the situation. We have a nice culture and experience how to handle our conflicts. Democracy was with us before you and your land was explored when you were on the trees like aves. You , the world and, in fact, WE know that the war is not b/n TPLF and Abiy!!!
September 30, 2022 at 9:31 pm
Hope the Ethiopians will open their eyes and listen to your advice. Thank you ?
October 1, 2022 at 1:07 am
The only solution for Ethiopia future is Abiye to resign and new reconciliation all Ethiopian parties and to buil new Ethiopia with democracy systen then transitional goverment then one man and one vote.
Ethiopia need free gun and military man.
Ethiopians need good leader and realy democracy not only words. We know last 34 years Ethiopia was military systen was active. There was democracy system yesterday and today.
Meles=Abiye same mentality.
Abiye is going same the meles’s way he said good wordsbut his action is opposite.
We are somali regional state there is no goverment our region.Abiye has appointed Mr Mustafe. He is corruption person and send 2000 peiple to prison and use liyu policy to kill and pressure to a position parties.
We want to get our free speach and one man one vote. Free military and pressure.
Ruot Nyang Jueny
October 1, 2022 at 8:48 am
There is a sayings if you have money and power but not intelligent you can always buy intelligence people into foolishness they will be willing to be as foolish as you can pay for and through away as much wisdom as you require them to in the human market you never fail to find agreedy intelligent people who are willing for sale to the highest bidder t
This guy is the greedy intelligent willing to be buy and Bullying the leaders literally please guy the the world is change wait the time we will pay the price Abiy will preserve as you mention no more colonization white supermacy is no longer existed
October 1, 2022 at 11:16 am
Your article makes a reasonable attempt to explain the Abby regime action and misguided policies which has put Ethiopia currently close to a felled state.
Your view of Ethiopia pre Your Abye
October 1, 2022 at 12:05 pm
Your article on Ethiopia and Abiy is substantially correct and also indicates Ethiopia is on the verge of becoming
a failed state. You are being dishonest when you ignore Ethiopian economic, political, and social stability during during Meles and the coalition government. The TPLF does not hold sole responsibility for the problems of Ethiopia. It is a collective problem of Ethiopians in general.
October 1, 2022 at 7:30 pm
Here We Go Again!! Another Paid Agent In The Name Of “Expert” Is A Neocolonialist Hit Job Who Is Hell-Bent To Destroy Any African States And African Strong Leaders Who Stand Up Against Their Greed To Exploit Africa’s Raw Material. Look What They Are Doing In Mali, Congo, And Ethiopia Now Burkina Bay’s Coup. Mali’s Nearly 21 Million Citizens Are Poor And Among The Poorest Nations Of Africa While Its Gold Mineral Is Amassed In France And Its Uranium Is Used To Power France’s Electric Generators. Look At Congo’s Internal Chaos Fueled By The Western Long Hand To Loot The Wealth Of Congo. They Create Fringe Elements And Give Weapons To Both Sides When We Are Fighting Each Other So they can steal. The So-Called expert couldn’t even
mention TPLF’s horror, which is a designated terrorist group that was in power for nearly three decades stealing 30 Billion Dollars for serving the interest of these greedy western looters. Now, They are helping to reinstate this TPLF rogue terrorist group back to power by demonizing the democratically elected government of Ethiopia. Almost all western institutions, media, experts, and governments are working in coordination to destabilize any African countries for their raw materials.
October 8, 2022 at 9:02 am
Selective propaganda at its finest. Not mentioning TPLF tried to match to Addis and were stopped. Also failed to mention they tried several assassination attempts on him. He stopped the riots all over country. I was there when they had the votes in Ethiopia. They voted for him in majority. People were lined up everywhere all over that country in support. Only people that hate him right now are Tigray people because of the politics of TPLF and their families. TPLF kidnapped and massacred hundreds of thousands. Some justified some not. Some were terrorist. The TPLF needed to go and they were a very corrupt regime. They weren’t ready t give up power. Why is noone speaking of the current genocide of Amharas in Oromo regions were they are killing Amharas by the hundreds and thousands wiping out entire villages with support of TPLF and OLF/OLA…Biased journalism. Being that majority of the political alliances were with TIGRAY people who suppressed the majority ethnicities in the country.