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Putin’s Nightmare: Russia’s Brutal Losses in Ukraine Are Climbing Fast

MLRS
MLRS combat firing practice, Republic of Korea Army The 5th Artillery Brigade.

The war in Ukraine continues now into day 211. The Ukrainian forces persist with their counteroffensives in the south and the east, while the Russian military is trying to make sense of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s decision to mobilize 300,000 reservists.

The Russian Casualties

Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Kremlin advisers might have called a partial mobilization of the reserves, but the Russian military in Ukraine is losing men left and right.

The rate of Russian casualties had slowed down over the past few days, but now it is picking up again. In the past 24 hours, the Russian forces have lost 400 troops (killed), 9 tanks, 28 armored personnel carriers and infantry fighting vehicles, 20 vehicles and fuel tanks, 9 unmanned aerial systems, 1 anti-aircraft system, 1 artillery piece, 1 helicopter, and 1 cruise missile.

Any reinforcements from the activated 300,000 reservists will take time to find themselves on the frontlines. In the meantime, the Russian military will have to make do with whatever scraps of units it can piece together to hold the Ukrainian counteroffensives in the east and south.

Overall, the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense claimed that as of Thursday, Ukrainian forces have killed approximately 55,510 Russian troops (and wounded approximately thrice that number), destroyed 253 fighter, attack, and transport jets, 218 attack and transport helicopters, 2,236 tanks, 1,341 artillery pieces, 4,776 armored personnel carriers and infantry fighting vehicles, 318 Multiple Launch Rocket Systems (MLRS), 15 boats and cutters, 3,630 vehicles and fuel tanks, 169 anti-aircraft batteries, 941 tactical unmanned aerial systems, 125 special equipment platforms, such as bridging vehicles, and four mobile Iskander ballistic missile systems, and 240 cruise missiles shot down by the Ukrainian air defenses.

Partial Mobilization or Mass Exodus?

The Russian military has to deal with the immense logistical challenge of incorporating 300,000 new troops into its formations or, indeed, creating new units for them. Then, it will have to equip and train them before they deploy to the frontlines.

Russia is likely to struggle with the logistical and administrative challenges of even mustering the 300,000 personnel. It will probably attempt to stand up new formations with many of these troops, which are unlikely to be combat effective for months,” the British Military Intelligence assessed in its latest estimate of the war.

Meanwhile, footage from Russia suggests widespread panic among the male population as thousands of draft-eligible males are trying to flee the country in every way possible, including driving to Finland, flying to Turkey, or taking the train to Belarus.

Su-35 over Ukraine

Su-35 over Ukraine. Image Credit: TASS/Russian state media.

This mass exodus is another example of the unpopularity of Putin’s war within his very own country.

“Even this limited mobilisation is likely to be highly unpopular with parts of the Russian population. Putin is accepting considerable political risk in the hope of generating much needed combat power,” the British Ministry of Defense added.

“The move is effectively an admission that Russia has exhausted its supply of willing volunteers to fight in Ukraine,” the British Military Intelligence assessed.

Expert Biography: A 19FortyFive Defense and National Security Columnist, Stavros Atlamazoglou is a seasoned defense journalist specializing in special operations, a Hellenic Army veteran (national service with the 575th Marine Battalion and Army HQ), and a Johns Hopkins University graduate. His work has been featured in Business InsiderSandboxx, and SOFREP.

1945’s Defense and National Security Columnist, Stavros Atlamazoglou is a seasoned defense journalist with specialized expertise in special operations, a Hellenic Army veteran (national service with the 575th Marine Battalion and Army HQ), and a Johns Hopkins University graduate. His work has been featured in Business Insider, Sandboxx, and SOFREP.

5 Comments

5 Comments

  1. aldol11

    September 22, 2022 at 3:35 pm

    breaking Russia up into 1000 pieces is necessary for the world peace
    we need to kick Russia into the stone age once and for all
    they have been doing this s..t for 70 years
    enough is enough

  2. Stoni

    September 22, 2022 at 5:31 pm

    Russia has a descending population and is far from the empire it one time was. The population, which is less than two average countries in Europe, is not even enough to secure their borders in their huge empty and remote country. Russia will most likely become a province of China in a few years. This can become the consequence of this Putin war after Putin have destroyed his own country and population. Economically Russia is doomed for decades, so I really don’t see any chance for them to survive as a respected partner for any countries after this Putin show is finished. Regardless Putin will be replaced and put in jail and we should give a new president a chance, but it is hard to see how this will work out for Russia.

  3. Friend

    September 22, 2022 at 9:13 pm

    They are supposedly reinforcing 6000 casualties with 300 000 new recruits. Go figure.

  4. Steven

    September 22, 2022 at 9:28 pm

    Folks, we are in the middle of WW3, and it started on 9/11/01. (oh, believe it…).

  5. Dr. Scooter Van Neuter

    September 22, 2022 at 10:26 pm

    It’s hard to win a war when your troops have zero motivation save for getting paid, and you’re not paying them. Russia’s failure is primarily due to low moral and the unwillingness to fight.

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