General Winter could soon be on the warpath in Ukraine, and it doesn’t appear he’ll be taking sides. More likely, the cold will be everyone’s enemy this coming winter. According to a recent report from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), the Kremlin is no better prepared for winter than it was soon after it launched its unprovoked invasion of Ukraine.
Russian troops are reportedly poorly-equipped for the coming winter, but Ukrainian civilians could be the ones who suffer the most as Moscow continues to launch strikes against the country’s energy infrastructure.
On Monday, authorities in Kyiv began to evacuate civilians from the recently-liberated areas of the Kherson region along with the neighboring province of Mykolaiv, as there are fears that the damage to the infrastructure is too severe for people to endure the upcoming winter. Residents of those two southern regions, which have been regularly shelled in the past months by Russian forces, have been advised by Ukrainian officials to move to safer areas in the central and western parts of the country.
The government is already providing transportation, accommodation, and medical care. At issue is that the areas where these civilians could head aren’t really all that much safer – as Russian missile and drone strikes have been targeting population centers across Ukraine.
It likely won’t be much warmer either for those being transported away from Kherson.
Winter Has Come in Ukraine
Already soldiers and civilians alike have faced an early winter. The first snow dusted the streets of Kyiv last week, beginning what is expected to be the hardest winter in the country’s modern history. Even if heavy snow doesn’t fall, millions will face cold and potentially wet weather without electricity, heat, or even water.
Moscow has essentially attempted to “weaponize” winter.
Russia’s systematic and repeated attacks on Ukraine’s energy and heating infrastructure have increased in the past month, and it has resulted in regular power outages even in some of the country’s largest cities. The situation is even worse in smaller towns, which are almost constantly plunged into cold darkness. More than 40 percent of the country’s energy facilities have been damaged by Russian missile strikes in recent weeks.
Ukraine’s energy ministry is now as actively engaged in the war as the troops on the frontlines working to repair damaged infrastructure as quickly as possible, and sometimes even coming under fire.
Unlike a natural disaster, the issue is that it is constant and ongoing. Repairs made one day are undone days or even hours later.
“Russia tries to destroy all the energy supply chains. Generating facilities – especially thermal power plants – distribution systems and power lines,” the energy ministry told NPR via statement before the most recent attacks.
Civilians across Ukraine now depend on gas-powered generators and firewood to provide electricity and heat. Nonprofit aid organizations, the United Nations, and Western allies are attempting to provide winter clothing, thick blankets, and heating equipment to those across Ukraine.
It will be a long, hard winter for everyone – soldier and civilian – in Ukraine.
A Senior Editor for 19FortyFive, Peter Suciu is a Michigan-based writer. He has contributed to more than four dozen magazines, newspapers, and websites with over 3,000 published pieces over a twenty-year career in journalism. He regularly writes about military hardware, firearms history, cybersecurity, and international affairs. Peter is also a Contributing Writer for Forbes and Clearance Jobs. You can follow him on Twitter: @PeterSuciu.
Gary Jacobs
November 21, 2022 at 8:02 pm
As difficult as the winter will be for Ukrainian civilians, the freezing of the mud and some of the streams will be better for the Ukrainian military to maneuver. The Images of MaxxPro MRAPS sliding in the mud with no traction are insane.
More insane are the images Russian soldiers are posting of their flimsy tents and lack of winter clothes. So while Ukraine is doing everything it can to help its civilians, Russia does nothing to help its own troops.
General winter may just lead the charge for the Ukrainian military very soon.
The most insane images going around right now are the masses of dead Russian soldiers strewn about Pavlivka and the rest of that area. So. Many. Dead. Bodies. Viewer discretion is advised.
Richard Bradley
November 21, 2022 at 9:33 pm
Let’s see one army has unmotivated soldiers, less than enthusiastic population, poor logistics and lacks winter gear, meaning soldiers will need to burn fires and run engines to keep warm, plus keep their vehicles from freezing up due to poor quality anti-freeze and the other has and a motivated population, and military equipped with warm uniforms and lots of thermal sights, who will prevail? One army is mostly made of poor people from regions with few skills and the other richer who know how to ski, act independently and have a wide range of skills, who will prevail? One army relies heavily on mines obstacles that will be buried in deep snow and the other on aggressive soldiers, who will prevail? One country is suffering from sanctions and lack of technical people and skilled workers and the other has access to European and US industry, access to all needed supplies and lots of skilled workers, who is going to produce lots of drones and other munitions? I spent more than a bit of time in the field in all kinds of weather during a few decades as an Infantry officer and know that the quality of soldiers, especially NCOs, and logistical support are what is vital to success.