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The Polls Say Donald Trump Is Going to Be President Again

Former President Donald Trump’s poll numbers remain solid despite being subject to two indictments. The second indictment, for obstruction of justice and the illegal retention of highly classified materials, likewise does not seem to have impacted him.

Donald Trump speaking with supporters at a campaign rally at the Phoenix Convention Center in Phoenix, Arizona. Image by Gage Skidmore.
Donald Trump speaking with supporters at a campaign rally at the Phoenix Convention Center in Phoenix, Arizona.

Former President Donald Trump’s poll numbers remain solid despite being subject to two indictments. The second indictment, for obstruction of justice and the illegal retention of highly classified materials, likewise does not seem to have impacted him.

“According to polls conducted before and after Trump’s indictment on June 8, Trump’s support levels in both the primary and general election don’t appear to have budged, even though a large majority of Americans view the charges as serious,” FiveThirtyEight reported.

“In the Republican primary, he is currently at 53.5 percent support,1 according to FiveThirtyEight’s national polling average. That’s little changed from June 7, the day before the indictment, when he was sitting at 53.8 percent. (The other candidates have all held roughly steady too.)”

This likely has to do with the perception that the decision to bring the charges against Trump was politically motivated. This is regardless of the possibility that the highly classified documents containing war plans, and information on intelligence operations in Trump’s possession could have fallen into the hands of foreign spies because they were not properly secured.

Donald Trump leads Biden in Real Clear Politics Average by 45 percent to 42.6 percent despite the indictment.

Polling Shows Americans See Donald Trump Indictment as Political

A Harvard/Harris poll found that 55 percent of Americans view the indictment as politically motivated.

“The view of the case appears to be worsening. Now there is less than a majority viewing the indictment as well-founded and justified. The poll shows that 83% of Republicans and 55% of Independents view the indictment as a political exercise. Not only do 56 percent view it as election interference but only 44 percent see it as ‘the fair application of the law,’” George Washington University Law Professor Jonathan Turley wrote on his blog. “The poll is also bad news for Biden. Some 65 percent believe Biden ‘mishandled’ classified material while 72 percent take that view with Clinton’s email scandal.

Turley continued: “The Justice Department and the media appear to have ‘lost the room’ with the American people. They are primarily appealing to Democrats who (at 80%) support the indictment. The FBI and the Justice Department made this perception worse through continual leaks to the media and allegedly staging the photo above after the raid on Mar-a-Lago.”

A Reuters/Ipsos poll found that 81 percent of Republicans believe that the case is political. Years of crying wolf and baseless accusations against Trump by the media and the Democratic Party have made so many Americans just tune out their heated rhetoric.

Russia Collusion and Hunter Biden Shield Trump

The Durham Report’s revelation that the allegation that Trump colluded with the Russians in 2016 was fabricated by the Clinton campaign in conjunction with partisan Democrats in the Justice Department causes many to question any evidence against the former president.

That combined with the Justice Department’s handling of Hunter Biden could blunt political fallout.

The lenient prosecution of Hunter Biden only serves to confirm the narrative that serious prosecutions are reserved for Republicans and that the scions of Democratic Party families are above the law. According to Marco Polo’s analysis of the Hunter Biden laptop, the younger Biden likely committed numerous counts of violations of the Foreign Agents Registration Act, drug crimes, firearms offenses, and influence crimes, yet he avoided being prosecuted for those alleged crimes.  

Considering that the Democrats impeached Donald Trump for allegedly interfering in the 2020 election with his request that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky look into the Bidens’ business deals in Ukraine, it could open Joe Biden to a payback.

Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan questioned the motive for the prosecution saying Trump was “leading in every single poll not just in the Republican primary but against his likely Democrat opponent President Joe Biden.” Jordan’s committee would have jurisdiction in the event Republicans decide to impeach Biden in retaliation.

John Rossomando was a senior analyst for Defense Policy and served as Senior Analyst for Counterterrorism at The Investigative Project on Terrorism for eight years. His work has been featured in numerous publications such as The American Thinker, The National Interest, National Review Online, Daily Wire, Red Alert Politics, CNSNews.com, The Daily Caller, Human Events, Newsmax, The American Spectator, TownHall.com, and Crisis Magazine. He also served as senior managing editor of The Bulletin, a 100,000-circulation daily newspaper in Philadelphia, and received the Pennsylvania Associated Press Managing Editors first-place award for his reporting.

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Written By

John Rossomando is a senior analyst for Defense Policy and served as Senior Analyst for Counterterrorism at The Investigative Project on Terrorism for eight years. His work has been featured in numerous publications such as The American Thinker, Daily Wire, Red Alert Politics, CNSNews.com, The Daily Caller, Human Events, Newsmax, The American Spectator, TownHall.com, and Crisis Magazine. He also served as senior managing editor of The Bulletin, a 100,000-circulation daily newspaper in Philadelphia, and received the Pennsylvania Associated Press Managing Editors first-place award in 2008 for his reporting.

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