Donald Trump Inches Ahead of Biden in Polls – The 2024 presidential race is shaping to be a nail-biter, as a recent Economist/YouGov poll suggests that former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden are neck-and-neck in a hypothetical match-up.
According to the survey published on Wednesday, Donald Trump narrowly leads Biden by a single point, with 44% of respondents favoring Trump and 43% supporting Biden. This result falls within the poll’s margin of error, adding an extra layer of uncertainty to the race.
A noteworthy 7% of participants indicated they would vote for an “other” candidate, 3% were undecided, and 3% stated they would not vote.
When respondents were asked who they believed would win in an election between Biden and Trump, Biden secured a slim one-point advantage.
Thirty-nine percent of those surveyed believed Biden would secure reelection, while 38% believed Trump would unseat him.
Biden Has Not Benefited From Donald Trump Charges
The poll also highlighted that only 38% of participants approved of Biden’s performance as president, whether “strongly” or “somewhat,” while 55% expressed disapproval.
In a hypothetical Republican primary race, Trump maintained a substantial lead over his competitors.
A resounding 51% of respondents stated they would cast their vote for Trump, firmly positioning him as the frontrunner. In comparison, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, Trump’s closest rival, trailed by a significant 37-point margin, garnering support from 14% of those polled.
This poll adds to the growing body of evidence suggesting that a potential rematch between Biden and Trump in 2024 would be a remarkably close race, given the margins of error typically associated with such surveys. A recent Harris-Messenger poll conducted by HarrisX yielded a similar outcome, with Biden narrowly ahead of Trump by a single percentage point, 45% to 44%.
It is worth recalling that in the 2020 presidential election, when Trump was the incumbent president, he received approximately 7 million fewer votes than Biden. Biden also secured 306 electoral votes compared to Trump’s 232.
Will Donald Trump Win The Nomination?
In the recent poll, 20% of Republicans still believe Trump should suspend his campaign, with 15% suggesting he should have been charged in the Georgia indictment. This aligns with the earlier poll’s results.
However, Trump remains the undeniable frontrunner in the GOP nomination race, with most polls suggesting well over half of Republicans plan to back him.
Trump’s favorability ratings with Americans continue to be considerably negative in the latest poll, with 31% favorable and 55% unfavorable—a status quo from the previous poll.
Despite this, Trump maintains a significant lead in the Republican presidential nomination race, with FiveThirtyEight’s polling average showing him ahead of his nearest rival, Ron DeSantis, by nearly 40 points nationally.
Notably, 50% of Americans in the recent poll, up from 49% earlier this month, believe Trump should suspend his campaign, signaling potential challenges for him in a general election.
Critics within the Republican party have long argued that Trump’s baggage could be a liability in a general election, despite his campaign labeling the charges as “un-American.”
Georgia Gilholy is a journalist based in the United Kingdom who has been published in Newsweek, The Times of Israel, and the Spectator. Gilholy writes about international politics, culture, and education.
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