Democrats are banking on the fact former President Donald Trump faces 91 counts spread across four indictments in Georgia, New York, and on the federal level, will put Joe Biden back in the White House.
Fifty-three percent of voters say they will not vote for Donald Trump next year; however, if Democrats hold onto Joe Biden, whose unpopularity shows in the fact he is neck-and-neck with his predecessor, should be setting off alarm bells at the Democratic National Committee (DNC).
The Real Clear Politics Average shows Trump and Biden tied at 44% as of Friday.
An incumbent Democratic president should be lightyears ahead of his Republican challenger, especially one under multiple indictments.
Joe Biden Faces Headwinds Against Donald Trump
The Real Clear Politics Average gives Biden a 54.1% disapproval rating.
Democrats are worried that black enthusiasm for Joe Biden is low and that could hurt the president.
Voters on both sides could end up sitting out the election, and decreased Democratic turnout could help Trump win.
“We have to meet them where they are and we have to show them why the political process matters and what we have accomplished that benefits them,” said Cedric L. Richmond, a former Biden adviser who is now a senior adviser at the Democratic National Committee, told The Washington Post. He said there would be a clear focus on making Black voters aware of how they have benefited from Biden administration policies, learning from the errors of past Democratic efforts that fell short.
“We will not make the mistake that others made of not drawing all the connections,” he said.
Analysts looked at the 2016 election and found evidence that reduced minority turnout cost Hillary Clinton the election, particularly in swing states including Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
Biden has proven to most voters that he is too old to be president. A Yahoo!/YouGov poll found that 67% of voters think that Biden is too old to be president, considering he would be 86 years old at the end of a second term.
Joe Biden won in 2020 because he was not Donald Trump, and because of the pandemic. Four years have passed, Americans are feeling the pinch in their wallets due to heightened food, rent, and fuel prices, and the president’s Bidenomics rhetoric is not resonating with voters. American prestige overseas has taken a nosedive, particularly in the Middle East, East Asia, Africa, and Latin America under Biden’s watch.
Trump, by contrast, remains popular in the Middle East, where the Arab media views the prosecutions against him as politically motivated.
Joe Biden also has questions about his alleged corruption that could harm him with swing voters who may be so disgusted with him and Trump that they just will not vote.
Strassel: Democrats Should Be ‘Working on plan B, C and D through Z’
Wall Street Journal columnist Kimberley Strassel reminds Democrats about what happened when they stuck with someone as hated and unpopular as Hillary Clinton.
Trump won because Hillary was viewed by voters as less likable in key swing states.
“Democrats and their media cheerleaders are blinding themselves to these liabilities—playing a game of See No Biden, Hear No Biden. They are working instead to keep Mr. Trump in the legal and media spotlight—the better to get him nominated. This is a repeat of the 2022 strategy, in which they labored to boost eccentric far-right candidates in GOP primaries, with the anticipation they’d later lose to Democrats,” Strassel writes. “That panned out for them in the midterms, but in a 50/50 country, and against an extremely weak incumbent, even Mr. Trump has playable odds. That Mr. Trump—with all his history, all his indictments, all the unrelenting media beratement—is still leading Mr. Biden in some head-to-head matchups ought to have Democrats working on plan B, C and D through Z.”
John Rossomando is a defense and counterterrorism analyst and served as Senior Analyst for Counterterrorism at The Investigative Project on Terrorism for eight years. His work has been featured in numerous publications such as The American Thinker, The National Interest, National Review Online, Daily Wire, Red Alert Politics, CNSNews.com, The Daily Caller, Human Events, Newsmax, The American Spectator, TownHall.com, and Crisis Magazine. He also served as senior managing editor of The Bulletin, a 100,000-circulation daily newspaper in Philadelphia, and received the Pennsylvania Associated Press Managing Editors first-place award for his reporting.
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