Biden Support Falling Among Democrats – Warning signs for Joe Biden are mounting.
Support among Democrats for his re-election is soft. A new Gallup survey finds that Biden’s support among Democrats fell by 11 points in the past month to 75%, the worst rating among members of his part in his entire presidency.
His overall approval rating stands at 40.7% according to the Real Clear Politics Average. Softening support among Democrats could translate into reduced voter turnout next year due to voters staying home.
The Real Clear Politics Average puts disapproval of the president and his policies at 55.6%.
Gallup, however, puts Biden’s approval rating at 37%, which matches his personal low from April. He had been at 41% last month. His approval among Independents declined to 35%. At the start of Biden’s presidency, his approval rating stood between 49% to 57%.
This marks the third time that Biden’s approval rating has fallen below 40% since taking office, according to Gallup.
Joe Biden’s Support for Israel Hurting Him With Democrats
Much of this could be attributed to the generational divide among Democrats about the State of Israel.
Older Democrats in the Boomer generation grew up supporting Israel; however, younger Democrats have trended toward uncritically supporting the Palestinians.
“The latest downturn in Biden’s job rating, from an Oct. 2-23 Gallup poll, comes in the wake of the Oct. 7 surprise attack on Israel by Hamas militants that resulted in at least 1,400 deaths and more than 200 kidnappings. The attack by Hamas precipitated a counteroffensive by Israel, which has resulted in an estimated 5,000 deaths in Gaza thus far while also setting off a humanitarian crisis,” Gallup said.
“Immediately after the attack, Biden pledged ‘rock solid and unwavering’ support for Israel from the U.S., and he subsequently visited the country on Oct. 18 to reiterate that message. But Biden has faced criticism from some members of his party for aligning too closely with Israel and not doing enough for the Palestinians. Some prominent Democratic lawmakers and protesters around the U.S. have called for Biden to do more to help the millions of Palestinians who are in need of humanitarian aid as Israel attempts to eradicate Hamas.
Gallup continued, “… [T]he daily results strongly suggest that Democrats’ approval of Biden fell sharply in the aftermath of the Oct. 7 attacks by Hamas and Biden’s promise of full support for Israel on the same day. Biden’s current 75% approval rating among Democrats is well below the 86% average from his own party throughout his presidency.”
Reports suggest that Arab Americans in places such as Michigan, a swing state with a large Arab-American and Muslim population, could stay home next year due to Biden’s support for Israel.
“It could be a potential concern for the Biden administration, especially in Michigan, given it’s a pivotal swing state. Former President Donald Trump won it in 2016, while Biden narrowly secured it in 2020, thanks in part to the 35,000 Muslim and Arab voters. However, this support may waver, as some in this crucial voting bloc express feeling let down by Biden’s stance on Israel and Gaza bombing,” NewsNation reported.
Joe Biden Can Make a Comeback
A lot can happen in a year. Polling from the past shows that his former boss, Barack Obama, came back from a 41% approval rating a year out from the election to win in 2012 against Mitt Romney. Ronald Reagan returned from a 44% approval rating in October 1983 to win a landslide against Walter Mondale in 1984.
The next year should be a bumpy ride.
John Rossomando is a defense and counterterrorism analyst and served as Senior Analyst for Counterterrorism at The Investigative Project on Terrorism for eight years. His work has been featured in numerous publications such as The American Thinker, The National Interest, National Review Online, Daily Wire, Red Alert Politics, CNSNews.com, The Daily Caller, Human Events, Newsmax, The American Spectator, TownHall.com, and Crisis Magazine. He also served as senior managing editor of The Bulletin, a 100,000-circulation daily newspaper in Philadelphia, and received the Pennsylvania Associated Press Managing Editors first-place award for his reporting.
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