Damning Polls Suggest Donald Trump Will Lose in 2024 – Recent polls indicate that former President Donald Trump may lose to President Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential election, despite the incumbent leader’s abysmal approval ratings and widely disliked running mate.
Among the polls suggesting Trump has an uphill to climb is one published by his own pollster.
Just One-Third of Americans Approve of Trump
According to a survey from Monmouth University published on Thursday, barely more than one-third of American voters have a positive view of former President Donald Trump. Just 36% of American adults said that they have a positive opinion of the GOP presidential frontrunner, while 63% said that they have an unfavorable view.
The troubling figures are the lowest in Monmouth University’s history of asking the same question, indicating that after federal indictments, the January 6 scandal, and a presidency plagued by progressive smear campaigns, the American people may be ready for a new candidate.
When voters were asked how likely they are to vote for former President Donald Trump if both he and President Joe Biden are the two parties’ nominees, just 26% of voters said that they will “definitely” vote for him and 14% said that they would “probably” vote for him. The figures show a drop in certainty among voters’ support for Trump since May 2023, when 29% said that they would “definitely” vote for Trump and 12% said that they would “probably” vote for him.
Those who said that they would “probably not” vote for Trump stayed at 8% between the two polls, while the percentage of those who said “definitely not” increased by 4% from 46% to 50%.
Donald Trump Donors Say He’ll Lose to Biden
After telling GOP donors in June that support for Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is a “myth,” Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio published new data this week that suggests the Florida governor may be a better choice for the Republicans.
According to a survey of 40 swing districts between July 5 and 11, former President Donald Trump is on track to lose to President Joe Biden by four percentage points, while DeSantis would theoretically beat Joe Biden by a fraction of a percent.
In targeted districts, President Joe Biden also leads former President Trumop by four points. The survey showed 43% of likely voters in these districts would “definitely” vote for Joe Biden while 35% would “definitely” vote for Donald Trump.
Overall, Biden took 47% likely support while Trump won 43%.
Jack Buckby is 19FortyFive’s Breaking News Editor. He is a British author, counter-extremism researcher, and journalist based in New York. Reporting on the U.K., Europe, and the U.S., he works to analyze and understand left-wing and right-wing radicalization, and reports on Western governments’ approaches to the pressing issues of today. His books and research papers explore these themes and propose pragmatic solutions to our increasingly polarized society.
From 19FortyFive
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