After some heavy blows, including a fourth felony indictment handed down from a Georgia District Attorney and absence from the Republican primary debate, Donald Trump’s numbers are slumping in the polls. But only slightly.
The Trump Slump?
In a survey taken on Friday and Saturday by Emerson College Polling, Trump had the support of 50 percent of Republican primary voters, down six percentage points from a pre-debate survey by the same pollster.
Despite the 6-point drop in the polls over the past couple of days, Donald Trump still leads the Republican primary race by a significant margin, 36 points above the runner-up, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.
I wouldn’t be so quick to call this a decline of support for Trump. However, I do think there is still plenty of time for some of the other top Republican candidates like DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and maybe even Nikki Haley, to make up some ground.
Fact vs. Fiction
With information and opinions flooding the internet and social media, it really is difficult to discern the mood of the country and what’s happening out in the real world from what’s happening online.
One man claims on “X” (the social media platform formerly known as Twitter) that “the hood is waking up” and the “lower income blacks that the Democratic establishment has been holding on to – even they’re starting to see through the bullcrap.”
Another decries that black people will never vote Republican. “Anybody that is literally going to sit here and tell you that black people are going to vote Republican in any sort of big numbers in 2024 is lying to you. We really do underestimate as conservatives and Republicans … the amount of actual indoctrination that people are getting day in and day out, particularly the African American community.”
Everyone has an opinion of what’s going on and they are all too happy to share it.
Tune into Rachel Maddow, and you’ll be convinced Trump will be president for life.
Listen to Tucker Carlson, and Trump will be assassinated.
Is there any greater illustration of the lack of consensus in this political moment?
Is Donald Trump Electable?
Even for those who support Trump, his ability to win a general election is a great concern, particularly given the lengths the Democratic party will go to ensure he doesn’t.
Tucker Carlson commented on Trump’s inability to win the presidential election, not because he lacks backing, but because the Biden regime, as many conservatives now call it, is intent on destroying him.
In an interview with Adam Corolla, Carlson reiterated a theory he proposed in his interview on “X” with Donald Trump: that Trump may be a target of assassination.
“So if you begin with criticism, then you go to protest, then go to impeachment, now you go to indictment, and none of them work, what’s next? Graph it out, man. We’re speeding toward assassination. Obviously. They have decided that there’s something about Trump that’s so threatening to them, they just can’t have it.”
A Trump assassination seems a little farfetched, but we’ve seen the Clintons do worse and get away with it.
Regardless, when considering a Trump nomination for the Republican ticket in 2024, voters must concern themselves with his ability to win the general election, and likely not against Biden. The President is declining with increasing rapidity, and many are predicting he will not make it to the next election.
“He’s fading at a geometric, not an arithmetic rate. What I mean by that is each week it’s not just seven days worse, it’s twenty one days worse,” commented Victor Davis Hanson on a podcast with Megyn Kelly.
If the 2016 election taught us anything it’s to expect the unexpected. If the 2020 election taught us anything, it’s that Democrats will go to great lengths to prevent Trump from ever becoming president of the United States again.
The lesson of 2024 remains to be seen but we can be sure Donald Trump will be at the center of it.
Jennifer Galardi is the politics and culture editor for 19FortyFive.com. She has a Master’s in Public Policy from Pepperdine University and produces and hosts the podcast Connection with conversations that address health, culture, politics and policy. In a previous life, she wrote for publications in the health, fitness, and nutrition space. In addition, her pieces have been published in the Epoch Times and Pepperdine Policy Review.
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