Joe Biden climbed back into the lead against Donald Trump in the latest poll of 2,008 registered voters conducted by the University of Virginia’s Center For Politics. Biden leads Trump in the poll by a 52 percent to 48 percent margin.
The poll found that 50 percent gave Biden a negative approval rating while 53 percent gave Trump a negative approval rating.
Several other polls show Biden narrowing the gap with Trump, likely buoyed by Biden’s strong stance in support of Israel in the wake of the October 7 Hamas massacre of 1,300 Israelis. It marked a rare decisive stance that Biden has made that has had broad bipartisan support among those in the center who decide elections.
Trump Keeps Slight Lead In Real Clear Politics Average
The Real Clear Politics Average shows Trump with a .3 percent lead over Biden by a 44 percent to 43.7 percent result.
Trump has fallen by a full point in the past week.
“When broken down by party, 88 percent of Democrat voters said they would be voting for Biden, while 90 percent of Republicans said they would choose Trump — if he is chosen as the GOP nominee. Independents were split; 49 percent said they would choose Biden, and 51 percent said their vote would go to Trump,” Hill staff writer Lauren Irwin writes. “Voters remain deeply divided over the 2020 presidential election, the poll found. Only 25 percent of Trump supporters believe the 2020 election was secure, free of fraud and that Biden was the fair winner.”
The survey also found progressive and conservative voters fall in line with the issues supported by their party’s candidate, while independents tend to favor Biden’s stance on the economy and social issues.
The University of Virginia survey found that only 25 percent of Trump voters thought the 2020 election had been fair.
CNBC Survey Shows Trump Leading
However, a CNBC survey found that Biden would lose to Trump by four points, 46 percent – 42 percent with 12 percent undecided.
“Both pollsters said that, given Biden’s poor numbers, Trump’s lead would likely be larger if not for widespread reservations about the former president himself. Yet, some of the data in the poll suggests that both independents and undecided voters would break for Trump,” CNBC said.
Biden’s approval rating on the economy struggles at 32 percent. Sixty-six percent of Democrats agree with his handling of foreign policy compared with 81 percent for his overall approval among Democrats.
He also struggles among minority voters.
Wildly competing and contradictory polling shows just how volatile the electorate is. Most Americans do not want another Trump versus Biden, which could depress turnout. A lower turnout model would favor Trump, especially if minority voters sit out the 2024 election.
John Rossomando is a defense and counterterrorism analyst and served as Senior Analyst for Counterterrorism at The Investigative Project on Terrorism for eight years. His work has been featured in numerous publications such as The American Thinker, The National Interest, National Review Online, Daily Wire, Red Alert Politics, CNSNews.com, The Daily Caller, Human Events, Newsmax, The American Spectator, TownHall.com, and Crisis Magazine. He also served as senior managing editor of The Bulletin, a 100,000-circulation daily newspaper in Philadelphia, and received the Pennsylvania Associated Press Managing Editors first-place award for his reporting.