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NATO and America Are Already at War with Russia

Russia
U.S. Army Sgt. Ryan Duginski, M1 Abrams Tank Master Gunner, assigned to Battle Group Poland, performs a tank remote-fire procedure to ensure firing capabilities function properly at Bemowo Piskie Training Area, Poland, Nov. 6. (Photos by U.S. Army 1LT Christina Shoptaw)

The West, in particular NATO and the US, are already at war with Russia. Our leaders just don’t know it or are in denial.

But there is one who does, Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine.

His courage and that of the Ukrainian people have been resounding lauded, yet we still fail to really act.

Fearing that we will be drawn into a direct conflict with Russia that will escalate to a nuclear exchange, we have become paralyzed, deluding ourselves that we can avoid a kinetic confrontation altogether through economic sanctions and supply of defensive arms to the Ukrainians.

But the power differential is just too great for this strategy to work, and these are just the beginning of Russia’s or Putin’s ambitions. And the actions are now notably embraced by China (meaning we’re not dealing with one potential threat, but two). But the real answer is, just as in the time of Nevil Chamberlain attempting to placate Hitler, we are already at war. And pretending we can avoid conflict will only serve to encourage Putin to go further.

We have effectively adopted a policy of running away when threatened by nuclear war. This gives Putin tremendous power. Why stop in Ukraine? It’s already been revealed Moldova is next. What do we do then? Do we again circle the wagons around our NATO allies as Moldova gets invaded, because Putin has repeated his threat to use nukes?

And how about Finland or Sweden, or other countries to the east that are not NATO members?

And how about when Putin decides to pick off those ex-soviet bloc countries who have managed to join NATO, will we again cower at the threat of nuclear retaliation?

Putin has paralyzed NATO by simply making a threat, and if he can do that, there is no end to it.

Likewise, China is watching closely and learning. If NATO and the United States remain feckless to the carnage that is currently Ukraine, how can we protect Taiwan or any other nation for that matter, in the Pacific or anywhere else?

All one needs to do is threaten with nukes. Just like in 1939, when England and France should have said no to the surrender of the Sudetenland, it was a prelude. And we all know now how far Hitler’s ambitions extended. The retreat has to stop now. Otherwise, we simply encourage both Russia and China.

And yes, there is risk. But, that risk doesn’t diminish with continued retreat. Like dealing with any playground bully, it simply increases with every step backward.

So what should NATO and the US do?

Quit worrying about being provocative, as we are eventually going to have to confront Russia directly, and do what we would do otherwise. Transfer to Ukraine both defensive and offensive arms to take on the Russians, including MiG-29s and Su-25s that are held by NATO members. Poland, Bulgaria, and Slovakia, all operate these aircraft which are staples for the Ukrainian air force and would require no additional training to fly. We could incentivize them and reduce the economic burden on these countries by offering to replace some or all these aircraft with used F-16’s, which they are all flying and converting their air forces to.

Likewise, a former Assistant Secretary for the Navy has recommended that we transfer three squadrons of A-10 tank busters that we are in the process of decommissioning to Ukraine and that we could do in a few days. Transfer three A-10 aircraft squadrons to Ukraine now (defensenews.com). He believes they could assimilate these planes quickly.

If necessary, implement a no-fly zone over Western Ukraine and enforce it, and mine Ukraine’s harbors in the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov to prevent resupply.

This will begin to even the odds. It’s not directly an attack on Russia – that interpretation will be up to them and it will be their move. But in short, provide Ukraine the capability that it really needs to even the odds. Not just short-range infantry weapons such as Javelin and Stinger. Effective as they are, they are not enough.

Yes, these actions might well draw NATO and the US into a direct conflict with Putin. But, guess what? We’re already in it, and we’re getting played. He’s the one pushing, and we keep backing up.

Yes, we are putting economic sanctions on Russia, but how much more carnage must we tolerate before we finally decide to act decisively? There is no guarantee that Putin will not use nukes, he is unstable, but they’re never will be. And in the meantime, China is assessing our actions.

Right now, they are seeing little courage and mixed resolve. And that must be encouraging.

Dr. James Refalo is a Professor at Cal State University Los Angeles and a former Surface Warfare Officer in the U.S Navy.

Written By

James Refalo is a Professor at Cal State University Los Angeles and a former Surface Warfare Officer in the U.S Navy.

11 Comments

11 Comments

  1. Mike Sloan

    March 4, 2022 at 3:53 pm

    Thank you so much for your very insightful article. Your views correspond exactly with mine. I sure hope our political leaders can very soon develop a clear understanding of the dire situation we all face, and find the will necessary to confront Putin. Many people are dying needlessly in Ukraine!

  2. yellowstoneuk

    March 4, 2022 at 7:43 pm

    Well written article, there is a phrase from Franklin roosevrldt , in which he stated we have nothing to fear but fear itself. I understand that the USA has to consider whether it’s advanced weaponry falls into the hands of the russians, who might copy it or produce counter measures. However I’ve seen documentaries on the A10 aircraft and was much impressed.
    Much of what Putin has done seems to me to be out of Hitler’s playbook. Hitler was quite successful initially through bluff and threat until he invaded Poland to trigger the 2nd world war.
    My own idea regarding the ukraine request for aircover, was why not send lethal drones where I think there is big scope for deniability if the russians kick up a fuss.

  3. yellowstoneuk

    March 4, 2022 at 8:05 pm

    The comment regarding to West half of ukraine for an air defence zone, seemed good idea. Seems odd that virtually all Russian activity confined to East ukraine, although that is generally Russian speaking. Suspicion is that russia does not have military resources to attack all of ukraine because it is so large..This in itself does appear to show weakness in the Russian part. The
    Ukrainian stats seem to indicate they are inflicting fatal Russian losses of approximately 1,000 per day.Obviously this takes no account of wounded. Now in Iraq, the American sounded to fatality rate was 8/1, so the Russian wounded could be 8,000 per day. On this basis the figures since invasion would be 8,000 dead and 64,000 wounded. The initial Russian manpower was 120,000 do about half of those russians are wounded and not able to be deployed.

  4. yellowstoneuk

    March 4, 2022 at 8:06 pm

    Seems odd that virtually all Russian activity confined to East ukraine, although that is generally Russian speaking. Suspicion is that russia does not have military resources to attack all of ukraine because it is so large..This in itself does appear to show weakness in the Russian part. The
    Ukrainian stats seem to indicate they are inflicting fatal Russian losses of approximately 1,000 per day.Obviously this takes no account of wounded. Now in Iraq, the American sounded to fatality rate was 8/1, so the Russian wounded could be 8,000 per day. On this basis the figures since invasion would be 8,000 dead and 64,000 wounded. The initial Russian manpower was 120,000 do about half of those russians are wounded and not able to be deployed.

  5. Alex

    March 5, 2022 at 5:05 am

    NATO has been at war with Russia for a long time. The endless attempts of the US and Britain led to this. It is already clear to everyone that no weapon will help Ukraine. All that remains is an information war about the low losses of Ukrainians and the heavy losses of Russians. But there is one thing: according to polls of Russians, they do not believe in such nonsense. Then who is it for? For Europeans who need to be convinced that Russians are weak? I am sure that in the event of a war, as soon as the Europeans suffer the first losses, they will immediately stop fighting and then it will be impossible to reload them with propaganda. No one in their right mind will fight on the territory of Russia – this is certain death for the attackers.

  6. Sailorcurt

    March 5, 2022 at 10:00 am

    As a former SWO, you should know that pilots don’t just jump into any old plane and fly. They need training on the specific flight characteristics, capabilities, functions and systems of that specific aircraft.

    So, we’re just going to dump a bunch of A-10’s on the Ukrainians and tell them “here, figure it out”? That’s a really good way to end up with a bunch of crashed planes and dead pilots.

    Enforce a “no fly” zone? With what? The EU’s militaries have been underfunded for so long, they hardly have any combat capable craft available. So, when you say enforce a “no fly” zone, what you mean is that WE should enforce a “no fly” zone. How many American’s are you willing to sacrifice to enforce this no fly zone? Russia is right next door and has ready access to their entire air force. We’d be sending planes and pilots halfway around the world just to get in theater. A “no fly” zone would be very short lived…as would our pilots trying to enforce it. We’re not talking about enforcing a “no fly” zone against Afghan goat herders here.

    The EU has been appeasing, doing business with, enriching themselves with and becoming dependent upon Russia for decades. They have consistently refused to invest sufficiently in their own defense and security and have just assumed that the US military members would always be there to die in their defense.

    How, specifically, is Russia’s attack on Ukraine (or Moldovia, or Finland, or Poland, etc etc etc) a threat to the security or sovereignty of the US? The only threats are to the financial interests of our corruptocrats and multinational corporation Oligarchs.

    I feel for the Ukrainians and laud their efforts to defend themselves against this. I have no problem providing them with the arms, equipment and ammunition to keep up the fight for as long as they can hold out. If Americans want to volunteer to head over there and pitch in with the fight, more power to them, but not a single American military member should be ordered into combat to fight a war that the Europeans themselves don’t deem important enough to prosecute…especially considering how inept and incapable our current military “leadership” has proven itself to be in recent years. I wouldn’t trust them not to screw this up and send thousands of troops to their doom.

  7. Sailorcurt

    March 5, 2022 at 10:07 am

    By the way…getting our military involved in Ukraine might interrupt their all-important “gender pronoun” training:

    https://townhall.com/tipsheet/mattvespa/2022/03/04/as-russia-invades-ukraine-our-military-is-making-service-members-take-gender-pro-n2604118

  8. Moonmac

    March 5, 2022 at 11:51 pm

    Putin is Hitler? We deserve a nuclear war.

  9. Alex

    March 6, 2022 at 12:11 pm

    Munmak: Putin is the one who destroys the Nazis. We anti-Nazis and anti-fascists support him from all over the world.

  10. Andrew

    March 7, 2022 at 7:40 am

    It’s gratifying that my thoughts have been so well articulated by the author here, and gar better than I could have done. The Mig 29s and Su-25s seem an obvious first step, so obvious I cannot see why we hadn’t already done it.

    The A-10s would have an immediate effect, reducing civilian casualties and fragmenting Russian forces.

    Today’s news that a village on the road to Odesa was hit by ship launched cruise missiles is an important wake up. I hadn’t seriously thought about mining Black Sea ports, but perhaps this would be useful at selected locations were an amphibious assault might take place. However, I do think that providing the Ukrainians with land based, long range anti ship missiles would be helpful.

    At the very least this would deter the BSF from launching missile attacks, at best, the sinking of key resources such as the cruiser Moskva would inflict a major psychological defeat on Russia. One should think about the sinking of the General Belgrano in the Falklands Conflict as a parallel.

  11. Alex

    March 7, 2022 at 4:34 pm

    Very interesting: who will give Ukraine A-10 and who will sink the cruiser Moscow? Bandera Nazi, when you drink glass liquid, at least eat leaves or whatever you have now in the most impoverished country in all of Eurasia.

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