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The Dark Scenario: Ukraine’s Military Can’t Beat Russia and Collapses

T-90 Tank
Russian T-90 Tank. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

The War in Ukraine Could End Quite Badly for Kyiv: Last Wednesday, U.S. Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. Charles Brown said the United States was now considering sending American fighter planes to Ukraine to join its war against Russia. The CIA Director estimated as many as 60,000 Russians had been killed or wounded since February. Though many things seem to be trending against Moscow, for very practical reasons – of which few Westerners are aware – Russia has a plausible chance of winning its war against Ukraine, while Kyiv has virtually no such path.

This is the second in a series of three assessments of the possible outcomes of the Russia/Ukraine war between now and the end of 2022. In the first installment, we looked at the chances of a stalemate and a partial Russian victory. In this latest analysis, we look at the possibilities of either a total Russian victory or a total Ukrainian victory. Between the two prospects, this analysis reveals that Moscow has a chance of defeating Ukraine while Kyiv has virtually no chance of defeating Russia.

Ukraine War Scenario Three (Collapse of Ukrainian Army & Total Russian Victory)

Few in the West have considered this potential outcome, mainly because it is too unpalatable and painful to contemplate. Yet the conditions on the ground are such that it is not an unrealistic possibility.

In this scenario, Russia continues its relentless and methodical march through the northern shoulder of the Donbas battle, first completing the elimination of the north-to-south defensive line running through Seversk-Soledar-Bahkmut, and then continuing west to capture Slovyansk and Kramatorsk. Following the capture of those cities, the most likely next target would be Kharkiv, which Moscow would then be able to invest from the south, east, and north. Putin’s forces would then likely close off the western approaches to the city, cutting it off from any reinforcements or supplies from Kyiv, and then as they did in Mariupol, methodically begin pulverizing the parts of the city from which Ukrainian defenders fight.

Russia’s most significant accomplishment in this phase of operations won’t be the physical capture of territory as much as it will be the decimation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces as a coherent entity. Ukraine has been suffering upwards of 1,000 total casualties per day in the Donbas since mid-April, after losing thousands of their best fighters in the battle for Mariupol. Most of these losses have been to their most experienced and toughest fighters.

Replacements that have continued to come in often do not have even the most rudimentary of training; one study by the Modern War Institute estimated that “just 20 percent (of the Ukrainian personnel in replacement units sent to the front) had even fired a weapon before heading to combat.” As more of the original contingent of trained personnel are killed or wounded, the remaining force of inexperience and insufficiently trained troops will be at increased risk of collapse.

The reason: success or failure in modern combat rests not just on having trained individual soldiers and proper volumes of the right kit, but on having experienced and well-trained units. I cannot overstate the harm done to the Ukrainian Army in the loss of its troops – especially the tactical leaders at platoon, company, and battalion levels – since the war started last February, nor on the harm this loss has done to Ukraine’s ability to mount a credible counter-offensive threat. While it’s not optimal for replacements to be taught basic combat skills at the front, those that survive can become quite capable.

But training a military organization at company or battalion level to fight as a team requires considerable training, over months, and even that must start with experiences sergeants, lieutenants, and captains. You can’t “create” experienced leaders, they have to be grown over time, and there is no shortcut for creating them. Thus, the more Ukraine loses their experience troops in leadership positions, the less capable their overall force will be, no mater how many BTGs they eventually fill with new personnel.

HIMARS

Marines with Romeo Battery, 5th Battalion, 11th Marine Regiment, Regimental Combat Team 7, fire rockets from a M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) on Camp Leatherneck, Helmand province, Afghanistan, June 1, 2013. Marines with 5/11 are deployed to Afghanistan in support of Operation Enduring Freedom.
(U.S. Marine Corps photo by Sgt. Anthony L. Ortiz / Released)

The risk in this scenario is that at some point, the fabric of the UAF becomes too fragile to sustain its fight, and Russian forces could eventually rain enough artillery, rocket, and air strikes down on the Ukrainian troops that the integrity of their overall capacity breaks. If that happens, it is possible that Russian mobile troops could force a breakthrough and get into the Ukrainian rear areas, decimating Ukraine’s ability to sustain combat operations. If they get hit badly enough, their force in an entire region could collapse.

For this scene to play out, that implies the Russian military retains enough trained and equipped armored forces to maintain the relentless volume of artillery fire as well as tank units that can conduct the exploitation operation. If the Russian losses pile up faster than they can be replaced by qualified and trained units from elsewhere in Russia, then the scenario described in Option One becomes likely and Putin’s troops will be forced to settle in for a stalemate.

The risk to the Ukrainian government and viability of the state, however, goes up to dangerous highs if Putin is able to maintain sufficient force, equipment, and logistics to press the UAF to the point of breaking. As more time passes, it becomes increasingly irrelevant how many howitzers or rocket launchers the West gives Kyiv, because if this scenario manifests itself, there won’t be enough of a Ukrainian force remaining to adequately employ them.

Ukraine War Scenario Four (Ukrainian Victory)

Many in the West talk about a win for Kyiv. Retired U.S. Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges, for example, argues that if the West “stick together through this year,” he believes the war “will be over.” Zelensky and other senior officials routinely claim they will eventually win back all their territory, including Crimea. But there is virtually no foundation upon which to base such hopes. For that to change, Ukraine would have to reverse many imbalances and add capacity that doesn’t presently exist.

First, Kyiv would have to acquire a substantial number of top NATO-caliber air defense systems that have both short-range and long-range capacity, denying Russian fighters and bombers the ability to attack targets in Ukraine on the front lines, as well as from deep in Russian territory.

Second, Zelensky’s forces would have to continue to hold Russian troops at bay in the Donbas or at least prevent the loss of Kharkiv and Odesa, while simultaneously building an offensive ground capacity either in the safety of friendly nations or in secure parts of western Ukraine (I have previously covered in detail exactly what Ukraine would have to produce to form a viable offensive capacity). This requirement includes possession of thousands of armored vehicles, tanks, and howitzers, as well as over 100,000 additional troops.

Third, Ukraine would need to secure firm commitments from Western countries to produce and reliably ship routine volumes of small arms ammunition, large quantities of artillery shells, and enough food and water to sustain an army on the march. Relatedly, the would need the internal transport capacity in the form of a fleet of wheeled vehicles to ensure all the supplies could be transported from the western border of Ukraine to the frontlines.

M777A2 Howtizer

U.S. Army Soldiers assigned to 2-11 Field Artillery Regiment, 2nd Stryker Brigade Combat Team, 25th Infantry Division, conduct field artillery training on Warrior Base, New Mexico Range, Demilitarized Zone, Republic of Korea, March 15, 2015. The training was a part of joint training exercise Foal Eagle 2015 between the U.S. and Republic of Korea (ROK) Armies. (U.S. Army photo by Spc. Steven Hitchcock/Released)

And fourth, Kyiv would have to provide a credible offensive capacity in the air. There is presently talk of the U.S. Air Force providing United States fighter aircraft, but Soviet-era MiGs could be brought into action more quickly. Once this entire force has been assembled, it would have to be prepared to uproot a Russian force that would almost certainly have spent weeks if not months preparing elaborate defensive works and minefields. If the current Russian offensive stalls and a stalemate is achieved, Russian troops will begin to dig in and prepare for the Ukrainian offensive. There are many challenges to this potential scenario.

Ukraine has already lost breath-taking portions of its trained and experience force. Even if Kyiv recruited 100,000 men, they would not be able to recreate the training and experience of its unit level officers and sergeants it has lost to date; it is enormously difficult to maneuver entire formations without significant presence of trained leaders at the tactical level.  Fielding the comprehensive equipment set might be an even bigger challenge.

To produce the necessary quantities of kit needed for Ukraine’s offensive, many NATO countries would have to surrender significant amounts of its best, frontline tanks, howitzers, armored personnel carriers, scores of fighter jets, and substantial quantities of high-quality air defense systems. Without all these capabilities, there is no chance Ukraine could conduct a counteroffensive of sufficient power to uproot Russian forces from the conquered territories. To date, no country has come close to even offering, much less producing, the gear Zelensky’s troops would need.

Until all of these deficiencies have been resolved, it is virtually impossible to talk about a possible counteroffensive to drive Russia from Ukrainian soil. If Kyiv tries to cut corners, gets only part of the kit needed, or fills its formations with inadequately trained troops, the chances they die in combat and fail to drive Russia out is high.

Conclusion

It would take a country the size of Ukraine the better part of a decade and a massive level of support from friendly nations to recover from the devastation the Ukraine military has already suffered. The idea that the UAF – or the armed forces of any nation on earth – can recover from the level of destruction they’ve suffered to date and rebuild the strength necessary to drive an invader out while at the same time fighting an existential battle, is flatly unrealistic.

Russia continues to take severe losses itself. Putin’s forces are not immune to the consequences of losing trained and experienced personnel, but as previously noted, Russia has millions more men from which to draw new conscripts and hundreds of thousands of other active troops that can be repurposed to ground combat. It is by no means guaranteed that Russia would be able to achieve total victory over Ukraine, but the fundamentals are present to give the idea some chance of success. For Ukraine, however, there is minuscule chance of winning and a higher probability of failure if they try to launch an offensive.

An unemotional assessment of this war would lead to the conclusion that the Ukrainian political leadership should seek the best-negotiated settlement it could get now, while it still has complete control of Kharkiv, Odesa, and most of Donetsk Oblast – and before another significant city is turned to rubble and tens of thousands more of its citizens killed or wounded. But war is not an unemotional endeavor, and Zelensky has to make choices that are anguishing and very much filled with emotion.

No one can make these decisions but the people and leaders of Ukraine. But as this assessment reveals, the options for a Ukrainian military victory are likely to continue dwindling with the passing of time.

Now a 1945 Contributing Editor, Daniel L. Davis is a Senior Fellow for Defense Priorities and a former Lt. Col. in the U.S. Army who deployed into combat zones four times. He is the author of “The Eleventh Hour in 2020 America.” Follow him @DanielLDavis

Written By

Daniel L. Davis is a Senior Fellow for Defense Priorities and a former Lt. Col. in the U.S. Army who deployed into combat zones four times. He is the author of “The Eleventh Hour in 2020 America.” Follow him @DanielLDavis1.

47 Comments

47 Comments

  1. RepublicanslovePutin&hateAmerica

    July 25, 2022 at 8:43 am

    The Russian chimps are using tanks from WW2 now. So the Ukraine military collapsing won’t be happening.

    • Phil

      July 25, 2022 at 6:13 pm

      You’re delusional. And you offer no substance. Ukraine is losing 1k troops a day. Collapse is inevitable.

      • Serg Kharkov

        July 25, 2022 at 9:22 pm

        1k a day?)) Wow, i’m in ukraine army now, and u are crazy, if u believe in it

        • Froike

          July 26, 2022 at 11:19 am

          Slava Ukraina Brat.

    • Ezra Teter

      July 25, 2022 at 9:00 pm

      I bet you are some kind of liberal who calls other people racists. Anyway, calling any citizen of any country a “chimp” is about as racist as you can get. You are welcome to your delusions that Russia is getting their ass kicked but you should really consider how hateful it is to use that language with anyone. By the way, Russia doesn’t mind if you think they are losing while they are clearly not.

  2. Stefan Stackhouse

    July 25, 2022 at 9:01 am

    That plan for a Russian victory looks plausible on paper. As the old saying goes, though, no plan survives contact with the enemy. A continuing barrage of HIMARS into Russian ammo dumps and command posts should see to that.

    Sure, Ukraine can win. . . IF the US and its NATO allies ramp up the delivery of weapons systems to maybe two orders of magnitude above what they are doing now. That is a very big – and very costly – “IF”. I very much doubt that it will happen.

    I also doubt that any “negotiated settlement” will happen, either. That would require Ukraine to make permanent territorial cessions for a temporary peace. That is such an obviously bad deal that it is surprising that any “pundit” even suggests it.

    Most likely outcome: eventual stalemate and frozen conflict.

  3. KB

    July 25, 2022 at 9:17 am

    Say, isn’t this the same article you wrote last week? And the week before? And the week before? And the …

    • Froike

      July 26, 2022 at 11:20 am

      You noticed that too!

  4. ???

    July 25, 2022 at 9:22 am

    Mister Davis continues to write his usual scaremongering. ‘Ukraine is doomed’, etc.

    Mister Davis, sincere question to you: how daft are you? There is no negotiation possible with the russians, because they cant be trusted. What would you have the ukrainians do? Surrender and let the russians do their thing in Ukraine and just accept that they will be subdued for the rest of their lives?

    Would you trust your family in the hands of the russians? If so, please send your family to mariupol and keep us updated how they like it there.

    Its clear that Ukraine has a very though time ahead, but its not over yet. Im seriously doubting who is paying you to write this stuff over and over.

    • Ezra Teter

      July 25, 2022 at 9:05 pm

      I don’t think that collective suicide over territories where some people do want to remain with Russia is noble at all. And make no mistake that is what it will be if they insist on continuing to fight against a nation that clearly has larger artillery stockpiles than the rest of the world combined.

  5. Tallifer

    July 25, 2022 at 9:28 am

    If Vietnam and Afghanistan could defeat America, the Ukraine can defeat Russia.

    • MortenHJ

      July 25, 2022 at 12:35 pm

      The Afgans also beat the Sovjetys….

    • WAYNE

      July 25, 2022 at 7:16 pm

      everyone seems to think that Russia can do something that no one else has. Defeat and occupy a country with minimal troops. If all Russia plans on doing is bomb Ukraine off the map and leave than I can see that. The Russians lost all their frontline troops and equipment as well. Are the UK not training Ukrainians right now?

    • Froike

      July 26, 2022 at 11:21 am

      You noticed that too!

  6. Error402

    July 25, 2022 at 9:43 am

    Ukraine today is like germany at end 1944.

    In december 1944, german high command advised adolf zelenski-hitler the red army was planning a major major offensive with massive quantities of guns and rockets.

    They pleaded with hitler, pull all the forces on the western front and put them facing red army.

    Adolf zelenski-hitler said red army was a big bluff and besides, german military was about to get new wunderwaffe that would destroy even moscow. The red army will taste its “biggest defeat at the battle of berlin,” said adolf zelenski-hitler.

    History is repeating itself now in ukraine. Yesterday, fascist germany. Today, nazist ukraine.

    • KB

      July 25, 2022 at 10:48 am

      Only this time Russia doesn’t have the hundreds of thousands of trucks that America gave Russia so that they could even get to Berlin.

      In fact, Russia is just about out of transport. And ammunition. It has millions of men but nothing to equip them with, even if they wanted to fight in Ukraine, which it appears they don’t. And a lot of those men are from parts of the Russian Federation that are beginning to question the benefits of that federation. And thinking that with Russia weakened, now might be a good time to leave. Chechnya, for one, is starting to simmer again, and it appears that Kadyrov is hedging his bets.

      In fact, according to a real scholar, Timothy Snyder, the tough statements issued by a number of Russians lately have nothing to do with Russia’s real objectives, but are an effort by officials to position themselves for the power struggle following Putin’s fall.

      I’ve noticed that the Donbas front hasn’t moved in a month.

    • mcswell

      July 25, 2022 at 11:02 am

      I was worried there for a moment, until I read your last sentence: “Today, nazist ukraine.” I thought you were talking about the country of Ukraine, but obviously you’re not. The country that’s behaving like Nazis is Russia; Ukraine (as part of the USSR) defeated Nazis inside its borders in 1944.

    • MortenHJ

      July 25, 2022 at 12:36 pm

      You mean Russia is Germany in 1944 (invader) and Ukraine is the USSR.

  7. RZ

    July 25, 2022 at 9:55 am

    Dr. Doom has been prophesying a Ukranian collapse since February and has been consistently wrong. The Russian economy cannot replace the arms they are expending in Ukraine and the Russian Army is getting nothing from the rubble that it now controls. They’re Donetsk offensive seems to be losing steam every day. Meanwhile more British and American Weapons are arriving every day. The best Russia can hope for here is a stalemate but it’s looking less likely by the day.

  8. Joe

    July 25, 2022 at 10:00 am

    Both Russia and Ukraine has lost massive quantities of men and equipment. The difference between the two is that green Ukranian troops are fighting for their country while the Russian replacements don’t want to be there. There is no credible case for Dmitri, the plumber from Yekaterinburg to defeat Dmitri, the raw but willing freedom fighter from Lvov. Not gonna happen.

  9. Jim

    July 25, 2022 at 10:15 am

    Can the U. S. and the E. U. (NATO) afford the money for what it would take for Ukrainian victory?

    Does the U. S. and E. U. (NATO) have the short-term productive capacity (military arms productive capacity) to supply Ukraine the necessary kit?

    U. S. finances are not unlimited… yet victory for Ukraine would require a blank check that would make the Iraq total finance bill look restrained.

    Are the American People (the Sovereign) prepared to foot the bill?

    President Biden has to come to Congress & the American People and make the case.

    The foreign policy leadership can’t just simply flip a switch, no matter how much they want this policy.

    • Ezra Teter

      July 25, 2022 at 9:10 pm

      Those are all excellent questions. Too bad the people here who think that Russia is running out of ammunition don’t want to hear it.

  10. Michael Nunez

    July 25, 2022 at 10:21 am

    A pretty good assessment of Ukraine ‘s chances , and painfully true . Just the logistics of support and resupply across the vastness of Ukraine would take years to build up . That would take Trillions of Dollars that Ukraine does not have , and would also drain assets from other Nations . Zelenski is in a tough spot , yes …. .

    • Dr. Scooter Van Neuter

      July 25, 2022 at 3:15 pm

      Correct answer. As much as all freedom-loving individuals want Ukraine to crush Putin and his forces, factual logistics says this is nearly impossible.

  11. Rusnet

    July 25, 2022 at 12:31 pm

    Ukrainians don’t have any room for negotiation. Any deals achieved today will only give Russians chance to recover the loses, regroup and to continue offence operations tomorrow. It is cristal clear that this war is for all or nothing. Either Ukrainians are able to stop and eventually drive Russians back, or they eventually will lose the entire country.

  12. Craig Delfosse

    July 25, 2022 at 12:32 pm

    Ukraine so farehas shown far better military tactics then Russia. I certainly expect the upcoming southern offensive to regain most of the territory lost in the opening days. The quetsion is what has to happen for Russian forces to divorce themselves from their war-bent leadership? Is it even possible for them to do that?

    Another scenario is that outlying regions in Asia and/or Georgia start putting on separatist pressure forcing Putin to refocus on those areas.

    • Jim

      July 25, 2022 at 1:28 pm

      Triple down neocon.

  13. Neil Ross Hutchings

    July 25, 2022 at 1:31 pm

    AP reported today about Ukranian citizens returning to the frontlines, their savings exhausted and having no other options left. I fear western pocketbooks will soon be exhausted, too, along with public support for the war, perhaps when Europeans return from their August vacations. Regime change will likely happen first in Kyiv, not Moscow. Kyiv will then be eager to let the Russian government fund the rebuilding and support for the citizens left in what was once eastern Ukraine. This is the sad reality of this proxy war between the two superpowers.

  14. Underground Cities for Ukraine

    July 25, 2022 at 2:19 pm

    If Ukraine build enough underground cities, they would minimize Russian missiles.

    If Ukraine buid enough underground cities, they would minimize Russian artillery

    If Ukraine build enough underground cities, they would minimize Russian air superiorty

    If Ukraine build enough underground cities, they would stop Russian attacks

    Ukraine does need long range artilleries for counter attacks but first they need to build underground cities

  15. cobo

    July 25, 2022 at 2:32 pm

    “Russia has a plausible chance of winning its war against Ukraine…” Russia and the BRICS also have a plausible chance at tearing empire away from the western powers, and it seems the leaders of western powers are working as accomplices to their own destruction.

    “Ukraine War Scenario Three (Collapse of Ukrainian Army & Total Russian Victory)”…
    As I’ve stated before, NATO’s role of deterring aggression is obsolete. NATO needs to make war on its enemies. The United States needs to begin, now, universal conscription. We should also create, what I have termed, “Aztlan Brigades,” to offer citizenship to foreigners who fight on the side of the United States. The world we knew until recently is being stolen from us. The actions of our enemies have been underway for decades, to destroy the US as a society and destroy it as an economic powerhouse. Uh-uh. Get ready to fight.

  16. Dan Farrand

    July 25, 2022 at 3:04 pm

    Your assessments rest on this one assumption:

    “Russia continues to take severe losses”

    The only basis you have for that is the CIA’s estimates. Western intelligence agencies will always provide the information their master want to here.

    What if Russian losses are nowhere near the CIA’s hope for numbers are are completely sustainable.

    The bulk of the fighting appears to be borne by the militias, Russian National Guard (Chechans and others) and “volunteers”.

    I do think you are spot on in seeing Russia’s main goal being the destruction of the Ukrainian army.

    I therefore wonder if they have any real interest in taking Kharkov. Why not just surround it and starve it out. Allow nothing to come in and provide corridors for Civilians to leave.

    Isolate Kharkov and then drive south to cross the Dnieper with the aim of taking Oddessa from the rear.

    As you say, war is always unpredictable. To me the great unanswerable question is whose side is “time” on ? Does time favor the Russians or Ukraine ?

    I would say that Ukraine has already reached peak manpower and their ability to mobilize more bodies is already declining.

    Might winter turn out to be a positive for Russian operations.

  17. Scottfs

    July 25, 2022 at 3:32 pm

    The author fails to realize is there will be no negotiations that do not involved the total elimination of Ukraine as a country. That’s Putin’s goal and he will have it no matter the cost. Zelensky knows this, the Ukrainian people know this, everyone except the author knows this.
    Secondly, if Putin is made to understand there is no coming back for him as long as one Russian soldier remains on Ukrainian soil, that sanctions will remain, that Russia will count on a single hand its friends, the cost will be high. Russia can be defeated in this manner.
    India must be taught its support of Russian barbarism also will entail a high price.
    Then Russia truly will be in the axis of evil, and it will pay like never before. It will lose access to goids, technology, and customers for its blood gas.
    Let’s see how Russia enjoys that.

    • Wade Schuman

      July 25, 2022 at 6:23 pm

      Russia already lost all of that and more, it’s practically converting into a North Korea at this point. Which is pretty stupid because the middle class is the one suffering the most from all the punishment the west dishes out, they’re the people who resent and oppose Putin’s regime the most yet they’re the ones who get the brunt of the sanctions. Those of them who were pro-American will become resentful of the west now and they can’t even flee anywhere because of the worldwide rusophobia pushing them back, muslims weren’t treated this bad after 9/11.

    • Jim

      July 25, 2022 at 6:32 pm

      You present a false choice: Ukraine should sue for peace now and save what Ukraine has right now.

      (Which is a lot.)

      It would have been better to negotiate before the war started.

      But we are where we are, better to negotiate with what little leverage Ukraine has at the present time.

      Before Ukraine has even less to bargain with.

      Your demands are like a little child’s.

      You guys are spinning off into la la land.

      Come back to reality… come back to Realism.

      Come back before everybody is dead.

      Otherwise, have Biden come to the Congress & American People to justify your warhawk fantasies.

  18. Jan

    July 25, 2022 at 4:03 pm

    Daniel Davis,
    are you rooting for Putin this much?

    One has to be glad that you aren’t in the US army anymore..

  19. Goran

    July 25, 2022 at 5:13 pm

    Without a way to enforce a deal with Putin, there can be no deal with Putin. The guy is a liar bent on leveling cities and inflicting mass casualties, if there was a way of coming to an agreement with him, it would have been done by now. That is what Davis needs to focus on, defining a way of enforcing something, anything, that would potentially be agreed with Putin.

    • Ezra Teter

      July 25, 2022 at 9:16 pm

      To “enforce” a deal one needs power. We don’t have it.

  20. richard

    July 25, 2022 at 8:34 pm

    sir you have a glimpse of whats coming (i suspect you ‘know’ but for career prospects remain coy) to ukraine over the next 12 months or less.

    most of those remarking here are living in a 1980’s top gun simulation that bears no relation to the truth and the actual military reality of 2022 which is apart from atomic weapons the usa lost the arms race and is now in all likelihood to far behind to ever catch up…….as RE: full netcentric combat, EW, atmospheric hypersonic propulsion, metallurgy for high supersonic and hypersonic missile skins and the requisite specialized fuels to obtain hypersonic acceleration…..to name just the obvious

    the truth like reality is coming to call upon the collective west and the usa in particular well before 2023 concludes and if the rest of the country is as asleep (and i suspect it is) as this forum its going to be a bumpy ride as the country is wholly emotionally unprepared for the world about to be born.

  21. Tallifer

    July 26, 2022 at 8:10 am

    If the free world could defeat Hitler even though he overran France etc, we can also beat Putin. Fortunately, the Ukraine is more like plucky little Britain in 1940 than Poland in 1939.

  22. Froike

    July 26, 2022 at 11:25 am

    Sorry, I just don’t buy it. Russia is being bled dry Military and Economically. Russians are getting tired of getting their Boys sent Home in Body Bags. If The US and NATO keep supplying Arms to Ukraine, it may not result in a complete Ukrainian Victory, but it just might deplete The Russian Military to a point where they can’t invade another Sovereign Country. In The Near Future, I predict Russia will collapse and Putin will become as The Dust of The Earth.

  23. Jerry

    July 28, 2022 at 4:39 pm

    Lol. What bullshit are you being fed…facts don’t align with any of your opinionated statements. Absolutely worthless brother.

  24. Paul Marquardt

    July 29, 2022 at 12:03 pm

    This author has no confidence in a Free people.
    The Russians lost less soldiers in 10 years in Afghanistan.
    Ukraine took them from the #2 or 3 Military to 30 something.
    If they didn’t have Nukes it would have been over already. NATO would have ENFORCED a no Fly Zone months ago and still should.
    The Russian people have never experienced Freedom ( they are Brainwashed Nazi’s) controlled by thier Government
    When thier sons don’t return home Putin will have a heart Attack KGB style

  25. andrew korch

    August 14, 2022 at 8:38 am

    this guy is cluless doesnt he know that all nato countries has given ukraine over 5 billion dollars in funds and 5 himars and rusia has lost nearly 1500 tanks plus ammunition depots. Ukraine definatly has a fighting chance to rid russia of ukraine. This author is a piece of crap.

  26. GhostTomahawk

    August 22, 2022 at 2:02 pm

    It doesn’t matter what the west gives Ukraine. Dump as much money into that corrupt govt all you want… they’re losing a battle of attrition. BADLY. So unless the west wants to engage Ukraine will lose and the longer it goes on the worse it’ll be due to the fact there won’t be enough able bodied Ukrainians to rebuild. This eventuality will cause them to get into bed with more corrupt western kleptocrats looking to pilfer money from them… that’s given to them from western tax payers.

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    Brilliant!

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