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AOC vs. Donald Trump in 2024? It Would Be Epic

AOC
AOC on MSNBC. Image Credit: YouTube Screenshot.

AOC vs. Trump – We’re still twenty-seven months out from our next presidential election, but already, speculation is mounting.

Each political party enters the 2024 election with notable uncertainties. On the Democrats’ end, their eligible incumbent, President Joe Biden, may not run for reelection. Not since Lyndon B. Johnson withdrew from the 1968 election has a sitting president, eligible for reelection, chosen not to run. Biden’s withdrawal would be historically unusual – yet, practical: he is very old and he is very unpopular. Were Biden to withdraw, it would inspire a mad scramble amongst DNC politicians seeking the top spot. Many prominent Democrats would vie to succeed Biden. One name that seems to be gaining traction as a future presidential candidate is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

AOC 2024? 

AOC’s political career began as an insurgency against longtime NY-14 incumbent Joseph Crowley. AOC won the seat in one of politics’ most stunning upsets. Ever since, she has been the darling of the progressive left, the DNC’s rising star, and perhaps the most famous member of the entire 435-person House of Representatives. Given AOC’s national prominence, it makes sense for her name to get tossed around as a presidential candidate; she is a full-blown celebrity politician in a culture that seems to value celebrity over roughly anything else.

And yet, AOC is not a serious presidential candidate. For one, AOC is a member of the House of Representatives. Several House members have gone on to serve as president. But only James Garfield was elected to the presidency directly from the House. Typically, House members move upward to become Senator, and only then are they considered viable for the presidency. Richard Nixon did this. John F. Kennedy did this. Lyndon B. Johnson did this.

But there are exceptions. Gerald Ford did move from the House of Representatives to the White House – without a stop in the Senate. Ford left the House and filled the vice presidential vacancy that Spiro Agnew’s resignation created. And then, when Nixon resigned, Ford became president. But Ford was not elected to either the vice presidency or the presidency. So his ascendency from representative to the president is heavily qualified and resultant of a uniquely turbulent moment in American history. Oh, and Ford had spent 24 consecutive years in the House. By comparison, AOC has served just three years. In which time she has accomplished roughly nothing.

Bottom line: AOC simply does not have the resume to be president. Nor should she; she’s only 33; if she were elected in 2024, she would become, by far, the youngest president ever. 

Trump 2024? 

Although I acknowledge that a resume doesn’t matter like it used to.

Donald Trump was a political neophyte who defeated Hillary Clinton – one of the most qualified candidates ever to run. Speaking of Hillary, Obama was pretty green, too, when he beat her in the 2008 DNC primary. George W. Bush (kind of) beat Al Gore, the more experienced man. Increasingly, marketing has supplanted accomplishment, even actual policy, as the primary driver of a person’s political appeal. And with respect to marketing, AOC is a virtuoso.

The State of Play for 2024 

The Republicans are in a similarly unusual and uncertain position. Ex-President Trump, who was ousted from office after serving just one term, has another term of eligibility. Typically, in modern presidential history, when a president is ousted after one term, his political career is dead; he isn’t even in the discussion for the upcoming presidential election. Jimmy Carter for example, after losing to Ronald Reagan, never sought political office again, despite being just 56 years old. George H. W. Bush, after losing to Bill Clinton, called it quits, too. Ousted presidents just aren’t viewed as viable candidates; voters already indicated they didn’t like the guy – that’s why they sent him packing.

And losing a U.S. presidential election – the biggest, most visible election in the world – leaves a guy with an indelible stigma, a mark of shame. Think Walter Mondale, Michael Dukakis, Bob Dole, Al Gore. Donald Trump is different, however. By convincing the MAGA base that the 2020 election was fraudulent, Trump has sidestepped the scarlet letter typically pinned on presidential election losers. Despite losing, he remains the most prominent figure in the GOP. His endorsements are coveted. The national media still hangs on every word he says. Unlike the one-term presidents before him, Trump’s political career is not necessarily dead. Trump may well choose to run again in 2024. And if he does, he’ll be a viable candidate. But Trump would face significant hurdles from the Democrats – and from his own party.

A Trump v. AOC showdown is highly unlikely but I suppose anything is possible. Trump and AOC would be billed as the starkest contrast between two presidential candidates ever – but Trump and AOC have more in common than either is likely comfortable admitting. Both are more concerned with marketing than substantive governance; both cater to non-centric bases but govern closer to the center; both do their best work on Twitter; both claim victimhood in nearly every conceivable situation.

Frankly, a Trump v. AOC match-up sounds like the most annoying, most puffed-up, most discouraging combination of candidates possible.  

Harrison Kass is the Senior Defense Editor at 19FortyFive. An attorney, pilot, guitarist, and minor pro hockey player, he joined the US Air Force as a Pilot Trainee but was medically discharged. Harrison holds a BA from Lake Forest College, a JD from the University of Oregon, and an MA from New York University. He lives in Oregon and listens to Dokken. Follow him on Twitter @harrison_kass.

Written By

Harrison Kass is a Senior Defense Editor at 19FortyFive. An attorney, pilot, guitarist, and minor pro hockey player, he joined the US Air Force as a Pilot Trainee but was medically discharged. Harrison has degrees from Lake Forest College, the University of Oregon School of Law, and New York University’s Graduate School of Arts & Sciences. He lives in Oregon and regularly listens to Dokken.

11 Comments

11 Comments

  1. Jon

    August 3, 2022 at 3:29 pm

    AOC may be the least qualified politician in the country. What a stupid idea. The only people who really would want her to run would be someone who wants Trump to win. Same with Harris or Biden running.

  2. Error404

    August 3, 2022 at 4:34 pm

    By the time US ushers in the next president after senile and disease-racked joe Biden is gone from the scene, the US will find itself behind Russia and china.

    By 2025, Russia would have left the ISS, and have put aloft its own space station, while china could possibly be operating more than one space station. US, on the other hand, would find itself grappling with one mishap after another in space while trying to keep ISS alive.

    Whose fault is it.It’s biden’s fault.

    The many space stations will induce or force Russia and china to build a fleet of spaceplanes to maintain contact with them, and these spaceplanes could form the forerunner of a future military space fleet with capability to crush 1600 Pennsylvania avenue in a single pass. How’s this angling for the 47th president. US must regret Biden’s crazed plan to wage proxy war on Russia and china after rigging and winning 2020 presidential elections.

  3. Jim Higgins

    August 3, 2022 at 4:37 pm

    AOC run for President in 2024-YES, please run and show us a defeat far greater than George McGovern received. Please run AOC, presst please 😎

  4. Dano S.

    August 3, 2022 at 5:07 pm

    The people foolish enough to actually vote for her would really only be voting against Donald Trump, because AOC offers nothing to vote for. Biden/Harris have already made America a laughingstock to the rest of the world. Voting in Occasional Cortex would just cement that reputation.

  5. Ghost Tomahawk

    August 3, 2022 at 8:24 pm

    Trump despite his annoying tweets was an effective leader for the most part. Why? He was able to rally people together and work towards a common goal that benefitted all americans…not just niche americans that have been created by identity politicking. I realize the author of this article is a hard lefty but some objectivity would be nice. Yes Trump is a shameless self promoter but in reality ALL effective politicians are. All effective politicians are narcissists. They have to be to want the Presidency. Douchy wannabe influencers like AOC who cant hold her own line have no business doing my laundry let alone being in congress. Whining abot being a millionaire or shady campaign deals…and yet there she is. Whining about CO2 and global warming…rolling in bullet proff motorcades living in posh apartments living well above her single person needs. PREACH. Please. She needs a gag and so does this author. I get more meaningful work done making my bed than either him or AOC by lunch

  6. Mario

    August 4, 2022 at 7:43 am

    “By 2025, Russia would have left the ISS, and have put aloft its own space station”
    By 2025 russia could hardly buy food…

  7. Bobby

    August 4, 2022 at 7:49 am

    Take a remedial civics course and you’ll discover she’s not old enough!

  8. Kennerly

    August 4, 2022 at 2:39 pm

    There is literally zero indication AOC is even considering running for president. Your source for that is just another article FROM THIS SITE that similarly has no evidence whatsoever.
    Who signed off on this article? What a waste of time.

  9. L'amateur d'aéroplanes

    August 4, 2022 at 3:12 pm

    AOC ? In french : Appellation d’origine contrôlée – controlled designation of origin

  10. Brett

    August 5, 2022 at 10:01 am

    All right wing nutbagger politics all the time. Who owns this site? China? Russia? Trump will be on trial for fraud against the U.S. of A. in 2024 enjoy it!

  11. Surfndestiny

    August 5, 2022 at 12:02 pm

    As crooked as the democrat primary is, demonstrated by Hillary Clinton’s run, only a fool would think that AOC would make it to the top…

    What is this guy smoking?……Lol!..

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