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End of the Line: Is Putin Facing a Crisis over Ukraine Now?

Artillery Attack in Ukraine. Image Credit: Creative Commons.
Artillery Attack in Ukraine. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

Kherson could be a turning point for Putin if he is not careful with some comparing it to some significant events in Russian history: 

A former advisor to President Vladimir Putin compared the retreat of Russia’s forces from Kherson to the collapse of the Soviet Union as the Russian military’s mounting failures in the Ukraine war place the Kremlin in an increasingly precarious position.

“The surrender of Kherson is the largest geopolitical defeat of Russia since the collapse of the USSR,” Sergei Markov, a pro-Kremlin political analyst and ex-advisor to Putin, said on Telegram.

“The political consequences of this huge defeat will be really big,” Markov added.

Putin once referred to the disintegration of the Soviet Union as “the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the century.”

Other pro-Kremlin voices have also expressed dismay over the announced pullback.

“The Russian information space predictably reacted to the announcement of the withdrawal with varying degrees of ire and concern,” an assessment from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said. “Russian sources also emphasized that this is a major defeat for Russian forces because they are losing territory that Russia annexed and claims as its own.”

But ISW also noted that prominent voices in the Russian military blogger space also portrayed the decision as a necessary one to preserve the safety of Russia’s troops.

Russia’s humiliating pullback from Kherson comes amid sustained pressure from Ukrainian forces, who have made gradual progress regaining territory as part of a major counteroffensive launched in recent months. They’ve pushed hard to retake Kherson.

Kherson was the first major city and the only regional capital captured by Russia since it launched a large-scale invasion of Ukraine in late February. It’s located in one of the four regions Putin illegally annexed in late September.

The retreat from Kherson is yet another reminder that Russia’s forces do not fully occupy or control the Ukrainian regions Putin now claims as part of Russian territory. The withdrawal from the city also undermines the Kremlin’s propaganda and the narrative they’ve presented to the Russian people that the war is going well.

Putin was not present for a televised announcement of the withdrawal on Wednesday featuring his defense minister and Russia’s top commander in Ukraine, perhaps as an effort to distance himself from the situation.

Ukrainian officials have expressed skepticism over the Kherson withdrawal, with some suggesting it’s a trap, but US Army Gen. Mark Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said on Thursday that “we’re seeing the beginnings” of the Russian withdrawal from Kherson.

John Haltiwanger is a senior politics reporter at Business Insider. He reports on all things politics with a particular focus on national security and foreign policy. John has a BA in History from St. Mary’s College of Maryland and an MSc in International Relations from the University of Glasgow. This first appeared in Insider. 

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John Haltiwanger is a senior politics reporter at Business Insider. He reports on all things politics with a particular focus on national security and foreign policy.

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