Joe Biden Still Maintains Edge Over Donald Trump According to One Key Poll:
Whether the American people like it or not – and a majority do not – it looks like 2024 could be a rematch between former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden.
As it stands now, however, Trump is likely to once again go down in defeat.
Joe Biden Wins?
According to the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, Biden currently holds an edge over Republican challengers including Trump but also Ron DeSantis.
The Florida governor has yet to officially announce his candidacy for president, but he will likely officially throw his hat in the ring in the coming days.
Joe Biden could actually be building on his edge over Trump.
The recent poll found that among registered voters, Biden led Trump, his predecessor as president, by six percentage points in a hypothetical match-up, 44% to 38%, holding an advantage that has opened up in recent few months. By contrast, a mid-March Reuters/Ipsos poll found that Biden led Trump by five points after trailing him by three points in February.
Trump Still Holds the Lead Among the GOP Contenders
In advance of the 2024 Republican primary, former President Trump still seems very much the candidate to beat.
He maintains a commanding lead over DeSantis. In the current Reuters/Ipsos poll, 49% of registered Republicans picked the former president, which was more than double DeSantis’ 21% support.
Yet, other GOP contenders have even less support. Former Vice President Mike Pence was backed by only 5% of Republicans, with former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, businessman Vivek Ramaswamy and others garnering even less. Moreover, around 10% percent said they did not know which candidate they would support.
What Issues Do Voters Care About?
President Joe Biden, who announced his re-election bid last month, reportedly holds a slight edge with independent voters over a Republican opponent, the Reuters/Ipsos poll found. It was buoyed by his positions on abortion and gun violence.
According to the poll, 63% of registered voters – including 73% of independents – said they were less likely to support a presidential candidate who backs severe restrictions on abortion; while 67% of registered voters said they were more likely to back a candidate who backed stricter gun laws.
Some moderate Republicans have already expressed concerns that abortion bans could result in a backlash in 2024.
However, the border crisis remains another hot-button issue – with 64% of Democrats and 93% of Republicans saying that they favor a presidential candidate who supports tougher measures to secure the border. Majorities of both parties also said they were concerned that immigration could surge because of the lifting of Title 42.
Former President Donald Trump even predicted last week that May 11, the day that the Title 42 pandemic restriction ended at the U.S.-Mexico border, would be “a day of infamy” with “millions” of migrants arriving. The number of migrants crossing has actually declined since the Trump-era policy expired last week.
The economy still remains a top concern among U.S. voters, and that could be the biggest decider for Americans next year.
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Author Experience and Expertise
A Senior Editor for 19FortyFive, Peter Suciu is a Michigan-based writer. He has contributed to more than four dozen magazines, newspapers, and websites with over 3,200 published pieces over a twenty-year career in journalism. He regularly writes about military hardware, firearms history, cybersecurity, politics, and international affairs. Peter is also a Contributing Writer for Forbes and Clearance Jobs. You can follow him on Twitter: @PeterSuciu.
