Former President Donald Trump’s indictments in New York in the Stormy Daniels business fraud case and in federal court for allegedly illegally retaining highly classified documents is not having much of an impact on the 2024 presidential race.
Reports suggest that the Trump classified documents case will not have much of an impact on his support among Republicans, which remains solid. But what about among the general population?
A new Morning Consult poll shows Biden and Trump tied at 42% apiece. Another poll by FiveThirtyEight shows that Biden is less popular at the current point of his presidency than Trump was at the same point in his presidency.
“It’s inevitable that some people will see the prosecution as politically motivated. In fact, an Ipsos/ABC News poll conducted from June 9-10, just after the indictment became public, found that 47 percent of Americans believed the indictment was politically motivated, while 37 percent said it wasn’t and 16 percent weren’t sure, with a broad partisan gap between Republicans, who generally see the indictment as politically motivated, and Democrats, who don’t,” Amelia Thomson-Deveaux wrote in FiveThirtyEight.
“That divide could shape the 2024 race going forward, and result in increasingly different standards for political candidates between voters on different sides of the aisle. And it’s also possible that the unfolding legal drama could further erode trust in institutions like the Department of Justice, particularly among Republicans.”
Biden’s own alleged criminalities and the bribery allegation that looms over his head could negate what would be a slam dunk under normal circumstances.
Donald Trump Doomed? Democrats Should Not Get Overconfident
Democrats who think that Trump breaking the law and ending up on trial will destroy his appeal really do not understand their country. Part of Bill Clinton’s appeal to some was that he was a bad boy like Trump. His impeachment for perjury in the Paula Jones lawsuit and his affair with Monica Lewinsky in the White House made him look more popular to the American public. At the same time, it tainted the Republican Party to the point it has been shy about impeaching Democratic presidents since.
Americans like outlaws. They also do not like unfair play.
“I don’t think we can keep saying enough how unprecedented it is not just to indict a former president of the United States, but the leading opposition candidate, and at some point, I think the Biden administration is going to have to answer for that because it is Biden’s DOJ. It’s his attorney general that has signed off on this, and of course, on the political side, I like to remind everybody, everyone thinks it’s doom and gloom in a general election,” former State Department spokeswoman Morgan Ortagus said.
Ortagus noted that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu returned to power despite having been indicted. Similarly, the recently deceased Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, who has been compared with Trump in the media, returned to office despite criminal allegations against him.
Trump Will Put Biden on Trial
Democrats do not have a good track record against Donald Trump to run on, and their recklessness over the past seven years could prove their undoing. In prior years, being accused of criminality would have been the kiss of death for a presidential campaign.
Even if the facts in the Trump documents case points against him, he will be able to put Biden on trial politically. He can point to the fabricated allegations against him in the past. Those were highlighted by the Durham Report that show the FBI relied on false information when it opened the Crossfire Hurricane Russia collusion investigation. The lies cast by retired Democrat-aligned intelligence professionals abetted by the CIA and FBI about Hunter Biden’s laptop that suggested that the information found in the New York Post’s October 2020 expose was “Russian disinformation” also will help Trump cast the effort against him as a “witch hunt.”
This is a public relations war, and it will be harder for Biden to defend his record and his own alleged corruption against Trump. Both men are very unpopular with the American people; consequently, the candidate who is the least unpopular will win in 2024.
John Rossomando was a senior analyst for Defense Policy and served as Senior Analyst for Counterterrorism at The Investigative Project on Terrorism for eight years. His work has been featured in numerous publications such as The American Thinker, The National Interest, National Review Online, Daily Wire, Red Alert Politics, CNSNews.com, The Daily Caller, Human Events, Newsmax, The American Spectator, TownHall.com, and Crisis Magazine. He also served as senior managing editor of The Bulletin, a 100,000-circulation daily newspaper in Philadelphia, and received the Pennsylvania Associated Press Managing Editors first-place award for his reporting.