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Putin’s Nightmare: Russia’s Military Is Slowly Dying in Ukraine

Ukraine NATO
U.S. Marines fire the FGM-148 Javelin Missile during a live-fire range for exercise Platinum Lion at the Novo Selo Training Area, Bulgaria, Dec. 15, 2016. The exercise brought together eight NATO Allies and partner nations for a live-fire exercise aimed to strengthen security and regional defenses in Eastern Europe. Black Sea Rotational Force is an annual multilateral security cooperation activity between the U.S. Marine Corps and partner nations in the Black Sea, Balkan and Caucasus regions designed to enhance participants’ collective professional military capacity, promote regional stability and build enduring relationships with partner nations. (U.S. Marine Corps photo by Sgt. Michelle Reif)

Russian Combat Capability Below Ninety Percent in Ukraine: Russian losses in Ukraine keep mounting, and on Tuesday, the Pentagon released an assessment that suggests that the Kremlin’s forces have declined below 90 percent of its pre-invasion levels. The U.S. had estimated that Moscow had assembled more than 150,000 troops along the Ukrainian border prior to launching its unprovoked attack on Feb. 24.

“Let me remind that… the combat power that they assembled in Belarus, and in the western part of their country prior to the invasion, it is not an assessment of all Russian military power,” a Department of Defense official said during Tuesday’s press briefing. “But we assessed it for the first time they may be just a little bit below 90 percent on that. And no indications, no tangible indications of reinforcements being brought in from elsewhere in the country, no tangible indications of foreign fighters that have flown into the country … no indications that they’ve moved in foreign fighters from Syria or elsewhere.”

Pentagon officials added there have been no “tangible indications” that Russia has made any effort to resupply its forces from outside the theater, but additional forces could be coming from elsewhere around Russia.

“It’s our assessment that as they look at reinforcements, it’s probably the most likely scenario that they would want to pull in from places not inside Russia. I’d remind you that of the battalion tactical groups that Mr. Putin has available to him across Russia, he’s used about 75 percent in this particular operation. So, I think our assumption would be he’d pull from outside the country first, but that’s an assumption and I really don’t want to get any more detailed than that,” the official added.

Russia’s Reversal of Fortune in Ukraine 

Russia has thus far been largely stalled outside the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv, and earlier this week, Russian troops were even forced to “retreat” after suffering “ irreversible losses” from the suburb of Makariv, about 30 miles west of Kyiv’s city center.

Makariv was “liberated from the invaders thanks to the actions heroic actions of defenders,” the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense announced on Monday. “The state flag of Ukraine was raised over the city of Markarov. The enemy was driven back.”

The town has changed hands multiple times since Russia began its invasion. It was captured by Russia in late February and then liberated on March 2 before again falling to the Russians. As of Wednesday, it was still under Ukrainian control.

A month into the war, Russian troops have thus far failed to capture a single major city, while their advances have been halted on nearly every front by Ukrainian forces. As a result, Moscow has turned to bombard Ukraine’s cities with artillery, missiles, and bombs. The southeastern city of Mariupol has suffered the most, as it is strategically located between the Russian-control Crimea and the eastern Donbas region, where parts were controlled by separatist groups.

Ukraine

NLAW anti-tank missile in Ukraine. Image Credit: Ukrainian Military.

NLAW

NLAW. Image Credit: SAAB.

Russia Calling on China

There have been concerns in Washington that Russia may turn to China to help bolster its war effort. However, the White House said on Tuesday that there has been no evidence that Beijing has provided – or would provide – military support or equipment to Moscow.

The Biden Administration has warned Beijing that there “will absolutely be consequences for large-scale sanctions evasion efforts or support to Russia to backfill them.”

For now, China will likely continue to sit on the fence, as it has little to gain by directly supporting the Kremlin’s invasion.

Even as its casualties mount – including the loss of five generals and upwards of 12,000 troops – Russian Federation President Vladimir Putin has said that the “special military operation” to “demilitarize and deNazify” Ukraine is going as planned.

Yet, if losing so many troops, as well as high-ranking military leaders, was the “plan,” we are left to wonder who came up with it.

Now a Senior Editor for 1945, Peter Suciu is a Michigan-based writer who has contributed to more than four dozen magazines, newspapers and websites. He regularly writes about military hardware, and is the author of several books on military headgear including A Gallery of Military Headdress, which is available on Amazon.com. Peter is also a Contributing Writer for Forbes.

Written By

Expert Biography: A Senior Editor for 1945, Peter Suciu is a Michigan-based writer who has contributed to more than four dozen magazines, newspapers, and websites with over 3,000 published pieces over a twenty-year career in journalism. He regularly writes about military hardware, firearms history, cybersecurity, and international affairs. Peter is also a Contributing Writer for Forbes. You can follow him on Twitter: @PeterSuciu.

4 Comments

4 Comments

  1. Alex

    March 23, 2022 at 2:41 pm

    Please correct me: 2-3 thousand soldiers “die” in Russia every day. Every day at least 50-70 Russian tanks are “destroyed”. I understand that soon to Moscow, right? And why does the map lie and show the defeat, the encirclement of Ukrainian forces? Ah… It’s not the map that’s lying… Got it 🙂

  2. Illurion

    March 25, 2022 at 7:56 pm

    Alex, what you write gets more desperate every day.

    Obviously you secretly agree the Russians are losing.

    Why is it that , every day, you come on here to tell us to “look at the map”…!

    And every day, the “map” hasn’t changed.

    And every day, there are “more” dead Russian soldiers than dead Ukranian soldiers.

    Every day for the last 30 days.

    Get real. The war is almost over, and Russia lost.

  3. Alex

    March 26, 2022 at 3:49 pm

    Illurion, we all understood that you are a Bandera Nazi. But the special military operation of Russia in Ukraine will soon end with the complete defeat of the Bandera Nazis in Ukraine, what will you say then? Like all trolls will you suddenly disappear? And you look at the cards not Ukrainian, but at least German. They are not as truthful as they should be, but at least there is more truth. The whole world understood that Russia would carry out the demilitarization and denazification of Ukraine to the end. What are Biden’s everyday tantrums worth. Well, yours, trolls 🙂

  4. illurion

    March 26, 2022 at 10:27 pm

    I must admit Alex, you are very “funny.”

    NOT funny “HA HA.”

    But funny “STRANGE.”

    You don’t appear to work, or have a job, as you are on this board practically 24 hours a day.

    You continually spout “PRO-RUSSIA” garbage all day long, DESPITE the fact that you CLAIM TO LIVE IN WARSAW POLAND…?

    And NO MATTER HOW MANY TIMES ABSOLUTE FACTS FROM MULTIPLE SOURCES ARE PROVIDED BY THE OTHER POSTERS ON THIS BOARD, “YOU” ALWAYS CLAIM THAT “THEY” ARE LYING.

    When the FACT is that it is YOU, alex, THAT IS THE LIAR.

    I very much doubt that you live in Warsaw.

    I very much doubt that you exist as a person.

    I truly believe that you MAY NOT EVEN BE A SINGLE PERSON, BUT, IN FACT, ARE A “SERIES” OF RUSSIAN INTELLIGENCE AGENTS THAT GO TO WORK IN MOSCOW EVERY DAY IN SHIFTS, AND WRITE ALL OF THIS GARBAGE ON THIS BLOG AS YOUR DAILY WORK ASSIGNMENT.

    As for myself, i am an American citizen, living in the USA, and am certainly not a “bandera nazi”, WHICH IS WHAT YOU CALL EVERYONE THAT DISAGREES WITH YOUR FAKE-NEWS.

    in fact, IT IS “YOU” THAT IS A “NAZI.”

    in fact, IT IS “PUTIN” THAT IS A NAZI.”

    As for “our” idiot American President Biden, we did not elect him, a treasonous conspiracy put him in office, and most Americans want nothing to do with him, and cannot wait until he is out of office. He is an embarrassment to us.

    With that said, “YOUR” IDIOT PRESIDENT PUTIN WAS ALSO NOT ELECTED. HE ALSO WAS PUT IN POWER BY A TREASONOUS CONSPIRACY IN YOUR NATION. ALL OF YOUR “SO-CALLED” ELCTIONS WERE CORRUPTED. PUTIN HAS BEEN YOUR NAZI DICTATOR FOR OVER 20 YEARS.

    So we Americans, like most others on this world, look forward to a world without “BIDEN” in America, or “PUTIN” in Russia, or “XI” in China, or “ERDOGAN” in Turkey.

    The world will be a much better place without BIDEN, PUTIN, XI, AND ERDOGAN.

    Russia has lost the war in Ukraine.

    Hopefully Putin will be eliminated soon for starting it.

    As for YOU, troll, who calls himself ALEX, it will be interesting to see what the NEW RUSSIAN PRESIDENT will do with people like YOU, who supported the traitor Putin.

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