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The Embassy

Iran's strategy is to drag the war out. James Jay Carafano argues that protraction is the only card the IRGC holds, and that Trump...

Aerospace & Defense

More than 42 US military aircraft have been damaged or destroyed during the war with Iran, including aircraft caught on the ground at air...

Aerospace & Defense

A US intelligence assessment reported by the Wall Street Journal on 6 August describes a range of ways Putin might test NATO between this...

The Embassy

The war began on 28 February with little public explanation. The administration did not make a full case to Congress or to the country,...

Dr. Andrew A. Michta: Geostrategy

Dr. Andrew A. Michta: Geostrategy

For all the talk of spending targets, the Ankara NATO summit's real work happened elsewhere. Europe is being handed responsibility for NATO's conventional defense...

Dr. Andrew A. Michta: Geostrategy

Western analysts fixate on North Korea's missiles. The real danger is speed — a mass artillery-and-missile salvo in the war's first hours, backed by...

Dr. Andrew A. Michta: Geostrategy

The second Trump administration is reviewing America's military footprint in Europe, and the worst-case outcome is a full withdrawal. Andrew Michta argues that would...

Dr. Andrew A. Michta: Geostrategy

The US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding is being judged on whether it cools tensions in the Persian Gulf. Strategic-studies scholar Andrew Michta argues that's the...

Aerospace & Defense

Aerospace & Defense

The Shah bought the F-14 to stop Soviet MiG-25 overflights, giving Iran the AWG-9 and Phoenix system no other foreign air force possessed. Iran...

Aerospace & Defense

Iran may not expect these terms to be accepted. Stalling costs Tehran plenty, but it costs Washington gas prices and a midterm calendar —...

Aerospace & Defense

Before the 1979 revolution, Iran received 225 American F-4 Phantoms. It used them heavily against Iraq, then kept survivors operational through depot repairs, cannibalization...

Aerospace & Defense

Moscow claims it downed 456 drones across sixteen regions and calls the attack terrorism — while never quite admitting the refinery was hit. Its...

Trillions

Trillions - 19FortyFive

No vessel entered any of the three Ukrainian ports in the Odesa region on Wednesday, the first such day since the grain corridor opened...

Trillions - 19FortyFive

Oil futures are signaling that traders expect prices to fall over the coming months, despite the war and the disruption around Hormuz. The bet...

Trillions - 19FortyFive

Ukraine's long-range drone strikes on Russian refineries have spread the fuel crisis into the countryside just as harvest begins, one analyst argues, with farmers...

Trillions - 19FortyFive

Two tankers loaded with Saudi crude reversed course in the Red Sea — without being fired on — after the Houthis threatened any ship...

The Embassy

The Embassy

Trump calls the strait "sort of open." Iran calls the arrangement "a new and different model." Last June, vague wording in a similar deal...

The Embassy

The maximalists wanted regime change, the minimalists wanted nothing, and the doubters see only waffling. Carafano's answer: the victor gets to define victory —...

The Embassy

Reports indicate that American short-range ballistic missile inventories have been nearly exhausted and Tomahawk stockpiles badly depleted during the war with Iran. Patriot interceptors...

The Embassy

A peace settlement would have to resolve occupied territory, Ukraine's relationship with the West and sanctions, and neither government is close enough to the...

Hermit Kingdom

Hermit Kingdom

North Korea has roughly 60 nuclear weapons and Kim Jong-un keeps demanding an exponential increase. Bruce Bennett works the problem backward, from Kim's objectives...

Hermit Kingdom

Xi's first Pyongyang visit in seven years, a ratified Russia pact, and a declaration that the arsenal is permanent: Andrew Latham on why the...

Hermit Kingdom

Last year North Korea's newest destroyer rolled over at its own launch, and the world assumed the program was finished for years. Instead Pyongyang...

Hermit Kingdom

The KN-23, North Korea's version the Russian Iskander missile, showed up to fight in the Ukraine war. And it isn't the same platform as...

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