Realism and Restraint
In a recent interview, President Joe Biden said China should expect a period of “extreme competition” with the United States. While this is early on in...
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For all the talk of spending targets, the Ankara NATO summit's real work happened elsewhere. Europe is being handed responsibility for NATO's conventional defense...
Western analysts fixate on North Korea's missiles. The real danger is speed — a mass artillery-and-missile salvo in the war's first hours, backed by...
The second Trump administration is reviewing America's military footprint in Europe, and the worst-case outcome is a full withdrawal. Andrew Michta argues that would...
The US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding is being judged on whether it cools tensions in the Persian Gulf. Strategic-studies scholar Andrew Michta argues that's the...
Every week the strait stays restricted, Washington's cushion shrinks — the emergency reserve is down to its lowest level since 1983. Tehran can afford...
Iran’s three Russian-built Kilo submarines brought a quiet, ocean-going threat to the Strait of Hormuz. Their public combat record remained empty, maintenance consumed years,...
Sixteen refineries in five months, against eight in the same stretch last year. At the peak this spring, more than a million barrels a...
The Shah bought the F-14 to stop Soviet MiG-25 overflights, giving Iran the AWG-9 and Phoenix system no other foreign air force possessed. Iran...
No vessel entered any of the three Ukrainian ports in the Odesa region on Wednesday, the first such day since the grain corridor opened...
Oil futures are signaling that traders expect prices to fall over the coming months, despite the war and the disruption around Hormuz. The bet...
Ukraine's long-range drone strikes on Russian refineries have spread the fuel crisis into the countryside just as harvest begins, one analyst argues, with farmers...
Two tankers loaded with Saudi crude reversed course in the Red Sea — without being fired on — after the Houthis threatened any ship...
Iran's strategy is to drag the war out. James Jay Carafano argues that protraction is the only card the IRGC holds, and that Trump...
Trump calls the strait "sort of open." Iran calls the arrangement "a new and different model." Last June, vague wording in a similar deal...
The war began on 28 February with little public explanation. The administration did not make a full case to Congress or to the country,...
The maximalists wanted regime change, the minimalists wanted nothing, and the doubters see only waffling. Carafano's answer: the victor gets to define victory —...
North Korea has roughly 60 nuclear weapons and Kim Jong-un keeps demanding an exponential increase. Bruce Bennett works the problem backward, from Kim's objectives...
Xi's first Pyongyang visit in seven years, a ratified Russia pact, and a declaration that the arsenal is permanent: Andrew Latham on why the...
Last year North Korea's newest destroyer rolled over at its own launch, and the world assumed the program was finished for years. Instead Pyongyang...
The KN-23, North Korea's version the Russian Iskander missile, showed up to fight in the Ukraine war. And it isn't the same platform as...
In a recent interview, President Joe Biden said China should expect a period of “extreme competition” with the United States. While this is early on in...
The U.S. declaration that the Chinese government’s treatment of Uighur Muslims and other minorities in Xinjiang, China constitutes a genocide, has energized the global...
Senators Romney (R-UT) and Cotton (R-AR) announced that they intend to introduce a bill to raise the national minimum wage and mandate E-Verify for all...
White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki announced yesterday that President Joe Biden will “recalibrate” diplomacy with Saudi Arabia. In effect, this means the White...
Nearly a month into his presidency, President Joe Biden has yet to call Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. No U.S. president since Jimmy Carter...
